Tag Archives: Panera Bread

Starbucks Is Still a Winner

By Andrew Marder, The Motley Fool

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Last week, Starbucks handed in an excellent second quarter, emphasizing the strengths that it has as a business, and pointing out the road that it has ahead of it. Wall Street wasn’t blown away, and the stock dropped about 1% over the course of Friday. That’s OK, though, because Starbucks met expectations, and proved that its current strategy is going along just fine.

In fact, it was more than just an average quarter, and comparable sales extended their long run of big gains. Revenue, operating margin, and income were all up as well, and management increased its fiscal-year guidance based on that strength. There are still some challenges ahead, but it looks more and more like those will turn into new sources of revenue as the company continues to grow.

Starbucks’ strategy
Start with 1,500 new stores in the U.S., and you have a good idea of what the plan looks like. Starbucks has no intention of slowing down its expansion. More than 300 of those locations will be open this year, and we’re not even talking about China yet. The company had an 8% increase in comparable sales in China, last quarter. That result helped Starbucks to global comparable-store sales growth of 6%, which made it the 13th quarter that the company exceeded 5% growth globally.

The question for investors and management is, “How will Starbucks keep that level of growth up?” Retail sales, tea, and food all come to mind as potential answers. Recently, the company has brought its bagged retail coffee into its reward system, offering customers who buy Starbucks in the grocery stores a reason to come into the cafes.

Starbucks also purchased Teavana at the beginning of the year and has announced plans to expand the business, adding eight stores last quarter with more to come. At the end of the quarter, the company already had more than 325 Teavana locations. That business will open up new consumer markets and give Starbucks something to hold onto as it grows in the United States.

Finally, food made an impact in the quarter, lifting comparable sales. Starbucks is rolling out its La Boulange range and now has a presence in 439 stores in the United States. As that line grows, the company is going to see more and more of its income generated by food. That will not only help growth, but it should also eventually help balance out costs so that a smaller percentage of the business is subject to the broad swings in coffee prices.

Competitors to watch out for
While Starbucks could be said to be in competition with every cafe, I’m looking out for Panera Bread and Kraft . Panera is the cafe that has the best shot at making a dent in Starbucks’ ironsides, with its extensive food menu and rapid growth. The company posted a comparable-sales increase of 3.3% last quarter, and the beginning of its current quarter was even

Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

The Coffee War Is Heating Up

By Chris Hill, The Motley Fool

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The following video is from Tuesday’s MarketFoolery podcast, in which host Chris Hill, along with analysts Jason Moser and Bill Barker, discuss the top business and investing stories of the day.

Several months ago, the Benckiser Group acquired Caribou Coffee for $340 million. On Monday, Caribou Coffee said that it’s closing 15% of locations in the United States and converting another 20% into Peet’s Coffee & Tea stores, which is also owned by Benckiser Group. In this installment of MarketFoolery, our analysts discuss these companies, as well as the continuing raging coffee wars among Starbucks , Dunkin’ Brands‘ Dunkin’ Donuts, and Panera Bread .

Investors can be forgiven for thinking that a company that has returned almost 2,500% since going public probably has its best days behind it. But in the case of Panera Bread, there’s reason to believe that the best is still yet to come. The stock has been on an absolute tear over the past five years, and you’re invited to find out why — and what else there is to look forward to — in The Motley Fool’s brand-new premium report on Panera. Included are key areas that investors must watch, as well as opportunities and threats facing the company both today and in the long term. Don’t miss out on this invaluable investor’s resource — simply click here now to claim your copy today.

var FoolAnalyticsData = FoolAnalyticsData || []; FoolAnalyticsData.push({ eventType: “TickerReportPitch”, contentByline: “Chris Hill“, contentId: “cms.31144”, contentTickers: “NASDAQ:SBUX, NASDAQ:PNRA, NASDAQ:DNKN, NASDAQ:PEET”, contentTitle: “The Coffee War Is Heating Up”, …read more

Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Is Panera One of the Best Companies in America?

By Eric Volkman, The Motley Fool

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Recently, The Motley Fool picked a handful of enterprises to be our 25 Best Companies in America. Considering the sheer number of businesses we had to whittle down, very few ultimately made the cut. But many, of course, are well worth a look and have good upside potential for investors. One that lands squarely in this category is casual dining restaurant chain Panera Bread .

Think of Panera as Subway’s more sophisticated older brother. The company operates or franchises more than 1,600 artisan sandwich shops across the country. These emphasize the quality and freshness of the bread, as implied by that comestible’s occupying 50% of the firm’s name.

The case for Panera
Panera Bread scores well in some, not all, metrics in the four stakeholder categories (i.e., employees, customers, shareholders, and corporate citizenry). Employee satisfaction, according to glassdoor.com, is relatively low — only 33% of the firm’s surveyed workers say they are either “very satisfied” or plain old “satisfied” laboring in its restaurants, while a full 16% feel “very dissatisfied.”

Those scores are worse than the downmarket Subway. The ubiquitous sandwich maker recorded 39% and 12%, respectively, in those numbers. And if we’re going the ubiquitous route, we might as well compare Panera to Starbucks. The mighty coffee chain seems to be doing right by its employees, 59% of whom report being satisfied to some degree. Only 4% say they are very dissatisfied working there.

In terms of customer experience, Panera scores pretty well in certain ratings. It’s particularly strong in the area of brand recognition. In fact, it received a nearly perfect 100% mark in the category according to the data we compiled. It was also well in the 90%-plus range in our “lock-in” and “network” metrics. The former is the degree to which customers feel as if it would be difficult to switch to another company to provide the same types of goods. The latter, meanwhile, refers to the phenomenon in which a firm’s products become perceived as more valuable the higher the number of customers it attracts.

On the down side, the clientele didn’t give Panera high marks for costs — perhaps because it famously refused to offer budget options during the recession. Its food remains comparatively expensive for a nationwide sandwich operation. The company also scored low in what’s known as “economies of skill,” the extent to which it’s automated the customer service process. In this Fool’s experience, it can occasionally take quite a bit of time to get a Panera meal. No, it’s not McDonald’s, but service could be snappier. Perhaps it could learn from such a veteran fast-food operator how to speed up its key processes like bread baking and sandwich assembly.

Panera has done fairly well for its shareholders, delivering solid top- and bottom-line growth over the years. Both have increased every year since at least 2007, with top line coming in just above $1 billion that year and climbing steadily to the …read more

Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Supermarkets Preparing to Eat Restaurants' Lunch

By Rich Duprey, The Motley Fool

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Supermarkets in the U.S. generated around $634 billion in revenues last year, according to the Census Bureau, with Wal-Mart owning the lion’s share. Groceries counted for 55% of the retail king’s $469 billion in total revenues in 2012, sales of which were up about 5% from the year-ago period.

That’s about the same growth rate in sales the top 500 restaurant chains enjoyed last year, but far lower than the top 10 fastest-growing chains’ 20% average growth rate, which underscores why supermarkets may be looking to get more into the restaurant business. Consider it a fast-causal dining experience while doing your grocery shopping.

Cleanup in Aisle 3
Recently privately held Kings Food Markets launched a store in Gillette, N.J., that will feature several new concepts including its MarketSquare restaurant-style food-service offerings. You’ll be able to buy fully prepared meals, and there is also a cheese shop and a coffeehouse that serves cappuccino, espresso, and pastries. Price Chopper plans to offer a similar concept later this year when it opens a new grocery store with 16 quick-service areas.

It’s an idea gaining a lot of traction, though not a new one for some supermarkets. Tops Friendly Markets, for instance, has offered a Tim Hortons in some of its stores for years. Of course, Whole Food Markets has long mastered the melding of the two concepts. Sales there rose 4% to $12.2 million; prepared foods account for some 19% of the total.

A flu shot and a meal
Moving beyond just the deli counter, supermarkets are seeking to attract some of those dollars that have traditionally flowed to restaurants in an effort to shore up their own bottom line. The thinking is that money spent at restaurants is money not spent at the grocery store. It’s a trend that’s crossing over even at convenience stores, where pharmacy chain Walgreen is looking to blur the distinction between its stores and fast-casual restaurants with hand-rolled sushi and sashimi, baristas, and self-serve frozen yogurt stations.

Although grocery stores might be able to siphon off customers from restaurants, tapping into the popularity of fast-casual chains’ ability to provide a reasonable mix of price and quality food, it’s not a two-way street: Panera Bread can’t easily open a produce aisle to attract shoppers. And that may pose a risk to restaurants, which are already competing for scarce discretionary dollars.

According to the Knapp-Track Index of monthly restaurant sales, sales at casual-dining establishments fell 5.4% in February, which was on top of a 0.6% decline in January and a 1.6% drop in December. The tax hikes President Obama pushed through that took effect Jan. 1 seem to be taking their toll. 

As noted by the CEO of Brinker International , the owner of Chili’s and Maggiano’s Little Italy, “casual dining is not necessarily the bright shiny star that it used to be.”

Now with supermarkets elbowing their way into the space, expect the pressure to build even more on restaurants. It may be …read more

Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

3 Growth Stocks for Your Roth IRA

By Nicole Seghetti, The Motley Fool

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With little more than one week left before the tax-filing deadline, it’s time to fund that all-important Roth IRA if you haven’t done so already. Let’s briefly look at why a Roth IRA is so essential in saving for your retirement. Then we’ll discuss a few great stocks for a growth investor’s Roth.

Wave goodbye to Uncle Sam
Hands down, the best way to save for retirement is a Roth IRA. You contribute after-tax dollars to a Roth account. In exchange, you can withdraw earnings both tax and penalty free, as long as you’ve owned the Roth IRA for at least five years and have reached age 59½.

If you’ve not made your contribution for 2012, you have until the April 15 tax-filing deadline. So get going already! But, before contributing, be sure to take a few minutes to familiarize yourself with Roth IRA rules and eligibility requirements.

Stock ideas for the growth investor
For investors yearning for growth, there are great stocks trading at good buys in today’s market. I’ve narrowed it down to three companies, which all boast competitive positions and enticing growth prospects.

Google
Google currently generates the overwhelming majority of its revenues from search advertising. But, in order to remain relevant beyond its core search platform, the California-based company is actively diversifying its business. Its YouTube acquisition, Android mobile software, Google Ad Exchange, Google+ social network, and Chrome browser services are evidence of this. Continued acquisitions will likely propel growth for Google.

Panera Bread
Panera has built its rock-solid corporate reputation on its fresh products, relatively healthy menu offerings, and compassion for its customers and community. Its inviting restaurants continue to entice its more affluent customer base. And, unlike competitor Darden Restaurants, which has been focusing on pricing promotions, Panera has been able to command higher prices in conjunction with enhancing its menu.

Apple
Apple has successfully managed a decade of dazzling growth, and gone about it in a fiscally sensible way. But even though Apple is considered a leading innovator, it faces increasing competition from Samsung. And Facebook may pose an eventual threat with its newly announced Facebook Home, a suite of services that are integrated into Google’s Android phones. But look for the second half of this year to likely be filled with new iProducts. Great news for investors, the stock currently trades at an incredibly cheap forward price-to-earnings ratio of nine, which is half that of the overall stock market!

Take action today
Don’t let the upcoming Roth IRA contribution deadline slip past you. Consider these three attractive growth stocks for your contribution dollars today. Take the time to fund a retirement account, and secure your financial future. Years from now, you’ll be so glad you did.

There’s no doubt that Apple is at the center of technology’s largest revolution ever, and that longtime shareholders have been handsomely rewarded with over 1,000% gains. However, there’s a debate raging …read more

Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Time to Buy Panera?

By Chris Hill, The Motley Fool

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The following video is from Friday’s Motley Fool Money roundtable discussion, with host Chris Hill, and analysts Ron Gross, James Early, and Charly Travers.

Shares of Panera hit an all-time high this week, thanks in part to an upgrade from Goldman Sachs. Can the fast-casual restaurant continue to serve up big returns for investors? In this installment of Motley Fool Money, our analysts talk about Panera’s future.

Investors can be forgiven for thinking that a company that has returned almost 2,500% since going public probably has its best days behind it. But, in the case of Panera Bread, there’s reason to believe that the best is still yet to come. The stock has been on an absolute tear over the past five years, and you’re invited to find out why — and what else there is to look forward to — in The Motley Fool’s brand-new premium report on Panera. Included are key areas that investors must watch, as well as opportunities and threats facing the company both today, and in the long term. Don’t miss out on this invaluable investor’s resource — simply click here now to claim your copy today.

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Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

3 Great Cafe Stocks

By Andrew Marder, The Motley Fool

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I’m a coffee snob, and I don’t mean that in a pleasant way. I’m a jerk about it, and clearly, I’m unapologetic. But that isn’t going to stop me from keeping a close eye on the workings of the biggest prepared coffee sellers in the world. Taste-wise, these guys might be third-tier — seriously, there’s better coffee to be had — but business-wise, they’re top of the heap. Here are three companies that would pair well with almost any portfolio.

Dunkin’ Brands
While Dunkin’ Brands used to be known for just its doughnuts, the brand has expanded over the last decade, and now it’s a major player in the world of coffee. In its last quarter, Dunkin’ opened 256 new franchise locations around the world, and remodeled 205 other locations. While the company also operates Baskin-Robbins, it derives most of its revenue and income from Dunkin’ Donuts. The U.S. portion of Dunkin’ Donuts accounted for 81% of the company’s revenue last quarter.

The next big area for Dunkin’ is the international market. Last quarter, Dunkin’ Donuts only earned 3% of its revenue abroad, while the international portion of Baskin-Robbins brought in 11% of revenue. That shows that the company has the ability to manage overseas locations, it just needs to add more of them. Right now, the international push is costing the company, and those locations are running on a 54% profit margin, which compares poorly to the U.S. segment’s 74% margin.

This is a long-term growth story, with international locations increasing, under a suppressed margin. Then, as marketing backs off and those locations start to operate in a regular fashion, margins expand and everyone wins.

Panera Bread
If you want success in the here and now, you probably won’t do better than Panera Bread . The chain has been surging recently, driven by catering expansion and strong comparable sales growth. Last quarter, catering sales grew 19%, and the company has big plans for keeping that pace up. In-store, comparable sales grew 5% in company-owned locations. That was largely affected by increase in the average check, which was up 5.4%, driven by both product mix and price increases.

Over the next year, look for more of the same from Panera. The catering business is going to be an increasingly big deal, and the company is putting a lot of energy into making it efficient and profitable.

Starbucks
What else could possibly have been on this list? Starbucks is the reason that I can drink the kind of coffee I like — they made coffee fashionable. That hasn’t changed, and the company has had a great 12 months, with acquisitions and new product launches all over the place. Food is starting to play a larger role, and with the addition of a bakery in La Boulange, Starbucks is now in control of its own supply.

The next step is even more international expansion. The company is committing itself to expanding in …read more

Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Why Caring for Your Customers and Community Will Make You More Money, Not Less

By Brendan Byrnes, The Motley Fool

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In the following interview segment, Doug Levy, author and CEO of MEplusYOU, explains what Panera is doing right, to bring the company such incredible success. The full interview with Doug Levy can be seen HERE, in which he discusses his new book, Can’t Buy Me Like. In the book, Levy tackles the changing marketing space, believing that companies must either adapt or continue to put blind faith in increasingly ineffective advertising. Levy also explains a new era that we’ve entered, dubbed the ‘relationship era’, and describes how this will change marketing for all companies, big and small.

Investors can be forgiven for thinking that a company that has returned almost 2,500% since going public probably has its best days behind it. But in the case of Panera Bread, there’s reason to believe that the best is still yet to come. The stock has been on an absolute tear over the past five years, and you’re invited to find out why — and what else there is to look forward to — in The Motley Fool’s brand-new premium report on Panera. Included are key areas that investors must watch, as well as opportunities and threats facing the company both today and in the long term. Don’t miss out on this invaluable investor’s resource — simply click here now to claim your copy today.

var FoolAnalyticsData = FoolAnalyticsData || []; FoolAnalyticsData.push({ eventType: “TickerReportPitch”, contentByline: “Brendan Byrnes”, contentId: “cms.28695”, contentTickers: “NASDAQ:PNRA”, contentTitle: “Why Caring for Your Customers and Community Will Make You More Money, Not Less”, …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Panera Tries a New Pay-What-You-Want Experiment — with Chili

By The Associated Press

Panera Bread Company restaurant (Jeff Roberson, AP)

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Jeff Roberson, AP

By JIM SALTER

ST. LOUIS — Order a bowl of turkey chili at a St. Louis-area Panera Bread cafe and it’ll cost you a penny. Or $5. Or $100. In other words, whatever you decide.

Three years after launching the first of five pay-what-you-want cafes, the suburban St. Louis-based chain on Wednesday quietly began its latest charitable venture that takes the concept on a trial run to all 48 cafes in the St. Louis region.

The new idea experiments with a single menu item, Turkey Chili in a Bread Bowl, available at each St. Louis-area store for whatever the customer chooses to pay. The new chili uses all-natural, antibiotic-free turkey mixed with vegetables and beans in a sourdough bread bowl. The suggested $5.89 price (tax included) is only a guideline. All other menu items are sold for the posted price.

Panera (PNRA) calls it the Meal of Shared Responsibility, and says the potential benefit is twofold: Above-the-cost proceeds go to cover meals for customers who cannot pay the full amount and to St. Louis-area hunger initiatives; and for those in need, the 850-calorie meal provides nearly a day’s worth of nutrition at whatever price they can afford.

“We hope the suggested donations offset those who say they only have three bucks in their pocket or leave nothing,” said Ron Shaich, founder, chairman and co-CEO of the chain and president of its charitable arm, Panera Bread Foundation.

If the experiment works in St. Louis, it could be expanded to some or all of the chain’s 1,600 bakery-cafes across the country, though Shaich said there is no guarantee and no timetable for a decision.

Panera has long been involved in anti-hunger efforts, starting with its Operation Dough-Nation program that has donated tens of millions of dollars in unsold baked goods.

The first pay-what-you-want Panera Cares cafe opened in the St. Louis suburb of Clayton in 2010. Others followed in Dearborn, Mich., Portland, Ore., Chicago and Boston.

At those nonprofit cafes, every menu item is paid for by donations. Kate Antonacci of Panera Bread Foundation said roughly 60 percent of customers pay the suggested retail price. The rest are about evenly split between those who pay more and those who pay less.

The Panera Cares cafes generally bring in 70 to 80 percent of what the traditional format stores do, Antonacci said. That’s still enough for a profit, and Panera uses proceeds for a job training program run through the cafes.

The new idea is fairly low-profile. Shaich said Panera is relying on media reports and word of mouth — no direct marketing, no advertising. Signs in the St. Louis cafes will tout the idea, and hosts and hostesses will explain it to customers.

“We don’t want this to be self-serving,” Shaich said. “We want to make this an intellectually honest …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Panera Trying New Pay-What-You-Want Experiment

By The Huffington Post News Editors

ST. LOUIS — Order a bowl of turkey chili at a St. Louis-area Panera Bread cafe and it’ll cost you a penny. Or $5. Or $100. In other words, whatever you decide.

Three years after launching the first of five pay-what-you-want cafes, the suburban St. Louis-based chain on Wednesday quietly began its latest charitable venture that takes the concept on a trial run to all 48 cafes in the St. Louis region.

Read More…
More on Food

…read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at Huffington Post

Darden Restaurants Earnings: An Early Look

By Dan Caplinger, The Motley Fool

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Earnings season is winding down, with most companies already having reported their quarterly results. But there are still some companies left to report, and Darden Restaurants is about to release its quarterly earnings. The key to making smart investment decisions with stocks releasing their quarterly reports is to anticipate how they’ll do before they announce results, leaving you fully prepared to respond quickly to whatever inevitable surprises arise. That way, you’ll be less likely to make an uninformed knee-jerk reaction to news that turns out to be exactly the wrong move.

Casual dining has seen its ups and downs during the recession and slow recovery, and Darden is no exception. With its numerous chains, including Red Lobster, Olive Garden, and LongHorn Steakhouse, Darden has plenty of exposure to various niches in the casual-dining space. Let’s take an early look at what’s been happening with Darden Restaurants over the past quarter and what we’re likely to see in its quarterly report on Friday.

Stats on Darden Restaurants

Analyst EPS Estimate

$1.01

Change From Year-Ago EPS

(19%)

Revenue Estimate

$2.26 billion

Change From Year-Ago Revenue

4.7%

Earnings Beats in Past 4 Quarters

2

Source: Yahoo! Finance.

Will Darden Restaurants feed its investors well this quarter?
Over the past few months, Darden has made analysts increasingly nervous. They cut back their earnings projections for the just-ended quarter by $0.12 per share, and reduced their calls for fiscal year 2013 by $0.23 and fiscal 2014 by a whopping $0.65. Yet those big reductions haven’t sunk the shares, which have risen 4% since mid-December.

Still, Darden has faced some challenging times lately. Last month, the company had to reduce its guidance in light of extremely poor sales during the first few weeks of February. With Olive Garden sales down 9.5% on a 7% drop in traffic, Darden reduced its sales growth call for the year by about 1.5 percentage points. The company also said it would have to open fewer new Olive Garden stores than it had originally thought, cutting back on menu price increases despite pressure from high food costs.

To find growth, Darden is trying to expand outside the U.S., with a new foray into four Latin American countries to open 57 different restaurants in Brazil, Panama, Colombia, and the Dominican Republic. Brazil in particular has gravitated toward U.S. brands, and a growing middle class has made casual-dining restaurants accessible to more people there.

Still, the big question is whether casual dining as a concept is still viable. Panera Bread has given customers a homier atmosphere and arguably healthier food than most casual-dining fare, successfully holding back the tide of tighter margins. Moreover, even though Chipotle has had its own challenges, its fresh ingredients and fast service still command what many diners see as an advantage over Darden’s offerings.

In its quarterly report, watch to see how …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Will McDonald's Egg White Delight Leave Investors Hungry?

By Steve Symington, The Motley Fool

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Fast food giant McDonald’s recently announced it will release a new breakfast sandwich in April, aptly dubbed the Egg White Delight.

As you might expect, that’s the company’s fancy name for a whole grain Egg McMuffin, sans egg yolk. When all’s said and done, then, McDonald’s hopes hungry fast food fans can enjoy their morning knowing they’ve only consumed 260 calories, compared with the 300 calories they would have otherwise ingested going the classic route.

 

Source: McDonalds.com.

Even so, putting aside the fact that I’m firmly in the camp of folks who love egg yolks and champion their under-appreciated nutritional value, I also can’t help but wonder whether a measly 40-calorie difference can really sway the determined minds of hungry consumers with a hankering for Mickey D’s in the morning. As a basis for comparison, McDonald’s Big Breakfast Platter with Hotcakes — one of which I just so happened to gleefully snarf down last week in a bit of enjoyable due diligence — sports a whopping 1,090 calories. Heck, with that in mind, sometimes I’d be surprised if I didn’t burn 40 calories with a good resounding sneezing fit.  

Of course, the Egg White Delight is just the latest in McDonald’s efforts to bolster its struggling comparable same-store sales, which declined a better-than-expected 1.5% in February, led by a 3.3% drop in the U.S. It’s important to note, however, that last February’s results were helped by an extra day in the month and, excluding those extra 24 hours, domestic same-store sales would have been flat while overall comparable results would have risen 1.7%. All in all, those encouraging numbers helped shares of McDonald’s rise more than 12% year to date, closing at a new 52-week high last Friday.

Healthy competition
Meanwhile, the fast food industry as a whole continues its attempts at winning more business of increasingly health-conscious consumers, including Taco Bell owner Yum! Brands  with its mouth-watering Cantina Bell offerings — the flavor of which, incidentally, also pleasantly surprised me last week. For its part, Yum! Brands enlisted celebrity chef Lorena Garcia to create the Cantina Bell menu to help the chain to better compete with up-and-coming threats in comparatively healthy fast-casual restaurants like Panera Bread and Chipotle Mexican Grille , whose most recent quarterly same-store sales rose 3.8% and 5.1%, respectively.

In addition, Chipotle is also expanding rapidly and increased its number of locations by nearly 15% last year, including 60 new units built in the fourth quarter alone, bringing its total number of restaurants to 1,410. Even so, the power of McDonald’s brand becomes increasingly apparent when we consider that, in 2012, the company not only managed to “reimage” more than 2,400 of its existing locations, but also opened the doors to 1,439 new restaurants worldwide. What’s more, for those of you wondering whether the golden arches have saturated the global market, in 2013, McDonald’s plans to spend more than $1.6 …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Has Panera Bread Become the Perfect Stock?

By Dan Caplinger, The Motley Fool

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Every investor would love to stumble upon the perfect stock. But will you ever really find a stock that provides everything you could possibly want?

One thing’s for sure: You’ll never discover truly great investments unless you actively look for them. Let’s discuss the ideal qualities of a perfect stock, then decide if Panera Bread fits the bill.

The quest for perfection
Stocks that look great based on one factor may prove horrible elsewhere, making due diligence a crucial part of your investing research. The best stocks excel in many different areas, including these important factors:

  • Growth. Expanding businesses show healthy revenue growth. While past growth is no guarantee that revenue will keep rising, it’s certainly a better sign than a stagnant top line.
  • Margins. Higher sales mean nothing if a company can’t produce profits from them. Strong margins ensure that company can turn revenue into profit.
  • Balance sheet. At debt-laden companies, banks and bondholders compete with shareholders for management’s attention. Companies with strong balance sheets don’t have to worry about the distraction of debt.
  • Money-making opportunities. Return on equity helps measure how well a company is finding opportunities to turn its resources into profitable business endeavors.
  • Valuation. You can’t afford to pay too much for even the best companies. By using normalized figures, you can see how a stock‘s simple earnings multiple fits into a longer-term context.
  • Dividends. For tangible proof of profits, a check to shareholders every three months can’t be beat. Companies with solid dividends and strong commitments to increasing payouts treat shareholders well.

With those factors in mind, let’s take a closer look at Panera Bread.

Factor

What We Want to See

Actual

Pass or Fail?

Growth

5-year annual revenue growth > 15%

14.8%

Fail

 

1-year revenue growth > 12%

16.9%

Pass

Margins

Gross margin > 35%

23.5%

Fail

 

Net margin > 15%

8.1%

Fail

Balance sheet

Debt to equity < 50%

0.8%

Pass

 

Current ratio > 1.3

1.73

Pass

Opportunities

Return on equity > 15%

23.5%

Pass

Valuation

Normalized P/E < 20

27.45

Fail

Dividends

Current yield > 2%

0%

Fail

 

5-year dividend growth > 10%

0%

Fail

       
 

Total score

 

4 out of 10

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Total score = number of passes.

Since we looked at Panera Bread last year, the company has dropped a point, as its revenue growth slowed down just enough to pull its long-term growth rate below 15%. The stock hasn’t performed all that well recently, remaining roughly flat over the past year.

Panera has had unusual success in bucking the trends that have hurt some of its fellow eateries. Even as other restaurant chains have …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

My Two Top Stocks: Panera Bread and Baidu

By Kevin Chen, The Motley Fool

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Let’s get straight to it.

Well, they’re the only two stocks I own at the moment, and I couldn’t feel more at ease holding them.

Why Panera Bread?
After buying Panera Bread  for around $129 — more or less its high in the summer of 2011 — you can understand my surprise when the company shed 20% or so of its value. I had inklings of selling the stock early, but I held on because of three things I knew at the time:

1. The company was among the healthiest — if not the healthiest — food options.

2. Ronald Shaich was fanatical about growing Panera.

3. Panera Bread had become a “fourth place.”

On the first point, I’m not sure if I have to explain. Googling for a few minutes, you’ll find plenty of reviews touting Panera as the “Healthiest Fast Food Restaurant.” In fact, in 2008, Health.com rated it America’s No. 1 Healthiest Fast Food Restaurant.

Second, Panera Bread has Ronald Shaich, its talented founder, chairman, and co-CEO. For those who don’t know, before founding Panera Bread in 1993, Shaich co-founded another bakery-cafe chain, Au Bon Pain, in 1981. Now, the history is a bit detailed, but the main takeaway is that Shaich has been in the fast-casual restaurant business for decades. He knows what works and what doesn’t.

Finally and most important, Panera Bread is the only other place I consider workable. You know how Starbucks is famed for creating a “third place” between work and home, a place where you can study, talk with friends, relax? Well, sometimes I need a little more than coffee, and sometimes I’m just deathly tired of going to the same old Starbucks everyday. Panera Bread is the “fourth place.”

So should you buy Panera today? Well, maybe. For me, I wouldn’t.

I still think the company has a great management team as Shaich still holds the same positions. However, the company’s product value has declined, in my opinion. Not only do the portion sizes at Panera Bread seem smaller (or they’ve always been that size and I’ve grown larger), but the food doesn’t have the same finesses or hearty feel it used to.

I am holding onto my Panera shares, though. The company trades at a premium 28 P/E and the company continues to push its stock price higher. Though this may be a risky time to hold, I don’t think there’s any other restaurant that comes close to being a “fourth place.”

Panera Bread makes up $986 of my portfolio.

Why Baidu?
I bought Baidu in February at about $96. Since then, the company has shed more than 8%. However, I’m more bullish than ever.

I bought into Baidu because it commanded more than 70% of China‘s search market even as competition spiked in 2012. Moreover, Baidu has been around for more than a decade; the company just knows so much about Chinese Internet users. And similar to Google search, Baidu search gets smarter and smarter as people use it. …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Taco Bell's Smearing Chipotle With Cool Ranch

By Rick Aristotle, Munarriz, The Motley Fool

Filed under:

Chipotle Mexican Grill is cool, but is Cool Ranch even cooler?

Yum! Brands is introducing new tacos today featuring shells with Doritos Cool Ranch seasoning.

The latest entry to Taco Bell‘s Doritos Locos Tacos are officially hitting the market tomorrow, but Yum! Brands surprised followers on Facebook and Twitter by alerting them that the new menu item is available today.

A year ago Chipotle investors would’ve laughed off any attack from Taco Bell. Isn’t that where young penny-pinchers go to load up in the wee hours? How dare anyone compare Chipotle’s “food with integrity” with the slop being spooned out at Taco Bell?

However, the success last year of the original Doritos Locos Tacos and the slightly more upscale Cantina Bell line appears to be having some kind of effect on Chipotle.

Comps at Taco Bell popped 7% during the third quarter, the first period that the Cantina Bell and Doritos Locos Tacos were available for the entire quarter. Chipotle clocked in with same-store sales growth of just 4.8%.

Most chains would love to see a typical store ringing up 4.8% more in sales than it did a year earlier, but Chipotle investors were used to more growth than that. Things only got worse when Chipotle’s comps only rose 3.8% during the fourth quarter.

Can Chipotle grow faster if Taco Bell has another hit on its hands?

In theory, it shouldn’t play out that way. Chipotle is fast casual. Taco Bell is fast food. Taco Bell competes with burger joints armed with similar value menus and drive-thru windows. Chipotle’s higher-caliber food makes it more likely to lose a customer to rival fast casual darling Panera Bread before it comes up short against Taco Bell.

However, the novelty of the new Cool Ranch Doritos Locos Tacos may wind up costing both Chipotle and Panera in the near term.

There may also be a more pronounced move on Chipotle’s bottom line. Revenue grew at a reasonable 17% clip in Chipotle’s latest quarter, but income only climbed 7% for the period. Chipotle argues that it didn’t raise prices quickly enough as commodity costs inched higher, but could it also be that Chipotle was afraid to tweak its menu with higher price points given Taco Bell‘s thriving at the low end?

We may never know. However, Chipotle better hope that it doesn’t post disappointing comps in the coming quarters. Given the stock‘s lofty valuation multiples, it better prove that it’s the one that’s cooler than Cool Ranch.

Chipotle has been on an absolute tear since the company went public in 2006. Unfortunately, 2012 hasn’t been kind to Chipotle’s stock, as investors question whether its growth has come to an end. Fool analyst Jason Moser‘s new premium research report analyzes the burrito maker’s situation and answers the question investors are asking: Can Chipotle still grow? If you own or are considering owning shares in Chipotle, you’ll want to click here now and …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance