Tag Archives: Last December

China Will Take the Top Spot That America No Longer Wants

By Matt DiLallo, The Motley Fool

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As Americans, we’re a pretty competitive bunch. We’re never thrilled to see our country slip from the top spot of any standing. However, I’d venture to say we’d be downright giddy to give up the top spot, to China no less, when it comes to our oil imports.

That’s exactly what’s on track to happen according to OPEC. The oil consortium now believes that China will overtake the U.S. as the top crude oil importer by 2014. According to the group’s analysis, China oil imports are expected to top 6 million barrels per day this year while U.S. imports are expected to decline below 6 million barrels per day by 2014.

We’re really seeing a monumental shift in demand. However, the shift isn’t completely due to China‘s voracious demand for energy. Last December, China‘s crude oil imports rose just 1.3% to 5.57 million barrels a day. What’s changing is U.S. demand, which plunged 21% last year.

Two main factors have contributed to plunging demand stateside. First, Americans have simply stopped driving as much as we had in the past. Overall, the annual driving per person has slipped by almost 8% since 2005. While the sluggish economy has played a role, it’s not the driving force behind our driving less. Instead, there seems to be an overall shift in our driving pattern which by the end of the day has us using less gas.

The other major factor contributing to the decline in our oil imports is the fact that we’re producing a lot more oil. According to OPEC, “the shale boom in the U.S. is threatening to drastically reduce America’s oil import needs.” As an American, that statement should make you feel proud.

Last year our domestic crude oil output rose to nearly 7.2 million barrels of oil per day, which is the most we’ve produced since the early 1990s. Overall, we produced 84% of our own energy needs last year. According to the International Energy Agency, we could become the largest global oil producer by 2020, while North America could be a net exporter of oil by 2030.

We’re simply seeing stunning production growth here in the U.S. In the Bakken, for example, Continental Resources projects that its production and reserves will increase threefold by 2017. Meanwhile, smaller producers like Kodiak Oil & Gas have seen production grow by triple digits every year since 2010. The company, which expects to drill 75 more wells this year, estimates that it can drill another 950 wells in the future.

Other formations with significant oil resources are still emerging. In the Mississippi Lime formation of Oklahoma and Kansas, SandRidge Energy believes it can drill 11,000 wells over the next 18 years. The company more than doubled its production year over year and it has an ambitious plan to continue growing.

Finally, more well-known production basins like the Gulf of Mexico continue to show they still have some life left. Just

From: http://www.dailyfinance.com/2013/04/13/china-will-take-the-top-spot-that-america-no-longe/

Jinko Solar Earnings: An Early Look

By Dan Caplinger, The Motley Fool

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Spring is finally here, and a new earnings season is right around the corner. On Wednesday, Jinko Solar will release its latest quarterly results. The key to making smart investment decisions on stocks reporting earnings is to anticipate how they’ll do before they announce results, leaving you fully prepared to respond quickly to whatever inevitable surprises arise. That way, you’ll be less likely to make an uninformed knee-jerk reaction to news that turns out to be exactly the wrong move.

Chinese solar stocks have struggled especially hard lately, as a glut of capacity has made many players in the industry unprofitable. Jinko Solar actually earned an annual profit as recently as 2011, but its fortunes have reversed with most of its peers. Let’s take an early look at what’s been happening with Jinko Solar over the past quarter and what we’re likely to see in its quarterly report on Wednesday.

Stats on Jinko Solar

Analyst EPS Estimate

($0.80)

Year-Ago EPS

($2.58)

Revenue Estimate

$244.5 million

Change From Year-Ago Revenue

28%

Earnings Beats in Past 4 Quarters

1

Source: Yahoo! Finance.

Can Jinko Solar shine this quarter?
As dire as Jinko’s earnings appear, analysts haven’t gotten any more pessimistic about them in recent months, keeping their consensus views stable both for its most recent quarter and for full-year 2013. But the stock hasn’t been as fortunate, as it has lost a third of its value since the beginning of 2013.

Solar companies in China have largely survived poor conditions in the industry due to the generosity of government subsidies. Last December, China‘s Ministry of Finance set aside $1.1 billion in solar subsidies, while the Ministry of Science and Technology said it would provide subsidies to 100 different companies. While those subsidies help the industry as a whole, they don’t help shake out weaker players from the industry.

But Jinko may have an inside track to survival. The company got a $1 billion loan from the China Development Bank to help it with European solar projects. With a stronger balance sheet than many of its peers, Jinko appears better poised to survive the inevitable shakeout, while LDK Solar and Yingli Green Energy struggle under more substantial debt burdens. Already, the bankruptcy of Suntech Power has shown that China won’t rescue investors in every solar company.

Still, the fundamental problem in the industry is that capacity far exceeds demand. U.S. giant SunPower has a huge efficiency lead over its rivals, making it most likely to capture its share of the 30 gigawatts of demand that companies with 70 gigawatts of capacity are fighting over. Similarly, First Solar has found ways to remain profitable even with challenges from subsidy-supported Chinese rivals.

In its earnings report, watch carefully for Jinko to comment on the impact of the Suntech bankruptcy on its business. If Jinko can capture …read more

Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

HP: A Small Victory for Shareholders

By Alex Dumortier, CFA, The Motley Fool

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Stocks clawed back some of yesterday’s losses today, with the S&P 500 , and the narrower, price-weighted Dow Jones Industrial Average gaining 0.4%.

Reflecting these gains, the VIX Index , Wall Street‘s fear gauge, fell 2%, to close below 14. (The VIX is calculated from S&P 500 option prices and reflects investor expectations for stock market volatility over the coming thirty days.)

HP: Finally, something to cheer about
Last December, I asked, Is Yahoo! a Model for H-P?, arguing that:

There’s no question that HP could use a board shakeup and possibly a new CEO. Much of the change at Yahoo! came at the impetus of activist investor Dan Loeb. HP already has an activist investor in place: Ralph Whitworth of Relational Investors joined the board in 2011. What is he waiting for?

It appears that the board of Dow component Hewlett-Packard is finally taking some responsibility for the disastrous lapses in governance that have inflicted enormous harm on the company and its shareholders over the past several years.

According to a press release published today, Ray Lane will step down as chairman of the board (though he will remain a board member), to be replaced on a temporary basis by Ralph Whitworth. Two other members, John Hammergren and G. Kennedy Thompson, are also resigning their seats. Whitworth will also replace Hammergren at the head of the Finance and Investment Committee.

Mr. Lane took the measure of shareholder sentiment last month, when he was re-elected to the board in a proxy vote with a noticeably lukewarm 59% of the votes — the third lowest percentage among all eleven directors. Only Messrs. Hammergren and Thompson scored lower, with 54% and 55%, respectively.

The choice of the permanent chairman and new board members will be a crucial test of the company’s resolve to turn itself around. Over the past few years, HP has been a heavyweight champion when it comes to destroying goodwill, both the accounting variety, through disastrous acquisitions, and that of its shareholders. Today’s announcement is a step in the right direction, but the journey to restoring the company’s good name on Wall Street will be a long one.

The massive wave of mobile computing has done much to unseat the major players in the PC market, including venerable technology names like Hewlett-Packard. However, HP‘s rapidly shifting its strategy under the new leadership of CEO Meg Whitman. But does this make HP one of the least-appreciated turnaround stories on the market, or is this a minor blip on its road to irrelevance? The Motley Fool’s technology analyst details exactly what investors need to know about HP in our new premium research report. Just click here now to get your copy today.

…read more

Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Tredegar Increases Quarterly Dividend 16.7%

By Rich Duprey, The Motley Fool

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Plastic film and aluminum parts maker Tredegar is raising its quarterly dividend to $0.07 per share. This will raise the payout by $0.04 per share on an annualized basis and represents a dividend yield of 1.14%. 

The dividend is payable on April 1 to shareholders of record at the close of business on March 15.

It marks the third time in three years Tredegar has raised its dividend, said Tredegar’s president and CEO Nancy M. Taylor. “We are pleased to increase our annual dividend rate by 16.7%, which represents an important element for providing a return to our shareholders.”

Last December, the company paid a $0.75-per-share special dividend to shareholders and said at the time it would consider acquisitions, investments in the business, share buybacks, and dividends as ways to increase value for its owners. Tredegar has paid dividends since 1996.

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The article Tredegar Increases Quarterly Dividend 16.7% originally appeared on Fool.com.

Fool contributor Rich Duprey has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Lithuania shivers as Russia ramps up heating costs

To save money during the harsh Baltic winter, Romanas Ziabkinas did something unremarkable: He turned off his central heating and installed a cheaper electric heater. Now he finds himself neck-deep in legal woes.

His utility company refused to recognize the switch and is suing him for some 25,000 litas ($10,000) in unpaid utility bills for his apartment in Lithuania‘s capital. “Splitting from the Soviet Union was easier than leaving this heating system,” he says.

Ziabkinas plight is extreme but his frustrations over heating costs are shared by a majority of Lithuanians, who have seen prices soar over the past several years, especially since the shuttering of its only nuclear power plant in 2009, forcing the country to import more Russian gas to keep warm. Lithuania‘s decision to scrap atomic power over safety concerns has put it under a new kind of threat: intimidation from Russia, which critics say shows no hesitation to use its energy dominance to bully former vassal states.

While gas prices have tended to fall globally in recent years thanks to deposits of shale gas in places like the U.S., Lithuanian households have looked on in horror in the past seven years as the retail cost of natural gas pumped from Siberia spiked 450 percent — or from $169 to $769 per 1,000 cubic meters.

Lithuania, a country of 3 million people, currently pays Russia a wholesale price of about $540 per 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas piped from Siberia, roughly 15 percent more than Baltic neighbors Latvia and Estonia and 25 percent more than Germany.

Many Lithuanians feel they are being punished by Russia for unsolved political issues, just as the Kremlin has used gas supplies to goad Ukraine and Belarus over political and economic disputes.

Lithuania has demanded compensation from Moscow for alleged damages incurred during the Soviet occupation from 1945 to 1991, and last year enacted a European Union directive to separate gas supply and distribution, a direct blow to Russia‘s commercial interests in the country. Estonia and Latvia, which also receive all their gas from Russia, have done neither — and are thus rewarded with cheaper prices.

Gazprom rarely comments on gas price deals with individual countries, using the secrecy to haggle with each individual nation separately — playing one off the other — in what is seen as an extension of Kremlin foreign policy.

Lithuania has a long-term supply agreement with Russia‘s state-owned gas monopoly Gazprom, which expires in 2015. Russia has justified the price rises by saying the deal allows it to index gas rates to oil prices. The catch is that Russia has given discounts to friendly nations, while sticking to the full price for those with which it has disputes.

“We believe Lithuania should pay a fifth less than it does now,” Prime Minister Algirdas Butkevicius recently told reporters.

Lithuania‘s previous center-right government sued Gazprom in international arbitration court for 5 billion litas ($1.9 billion) over gas price hikes and has called on the EU to investigate the company’s alleged unfair pricing policies. Butkevicius, however, is willing to scrap the litigation in exchange for cheaper gas.

Regardless of the legal outcome, heating now seems a luxury many Lithuanians can’t afford — and with tragic consequences. Last winter a 77-year-old pensioner in the southern district of Alytus was found frozen to death in his house. In another case, an 80-year-old woman who lived alone died in her bed in 2011, her body stuck to the frozen bed sheets.

Many people who can’t afford their heating bill don’t pay it, resulting in an increasingly large income hole that utilities fear they’ll never recover. In Vilnius, the total amount of unpaid heating bills surpassed 40 million litas ($15 million) last year, while in Kaunas, Lithuania‘s second largest city, the number was $17 million.

Toma Gajauskiene, a 25-year-old Lithuanian language teacher, feels that she’s drowning in unpaid heating bills for her apartment in a high-rise building. She earns some 1,200 litas ($460) per month, and has a small child and an unemployed husband to support.

Last December was not too cold, but the heating bill stands at 500 litas, almost half of what I make,” Gajauskiene said. “For January the bill will be at least double, but I simply cannot pay more than 300 litas for heating because my family will not have money to buy food.”

Lithuanians also pay more for heating due to insulation problems stemming from the Soviet era. In the years after World War II, some 80 percent of Lithuania‘s population moved in less than a decade from villages to cities, where they were placed in Soviet apartment blocks hastily and without regard for efficient insulation.

“To the Soviets, it was easier to build new towns and concrete multi-story houses with thin walls and then heat them without counting energy costs. Gas and oil was free those days, but now it’s simply outrageous,” said Vytautas Stasiunas, head of the Lithuanian District Heating Association.

Nearly all of Lithuania‘s leaders have vowed to invest hundreds of millions of dollars in energy-saving housing renovations — promises that have gone unfulfilled.

“There are dozens of awful mistakes made in the energy sector by each and every cabinet since independence. These mistakes are affecting everybody in this country,” Stasiunas said.

Not surprisingly, Lithuanians — who have one of the lowest personal income levels in the 27-member EU — aren’t waiting around and are searching for alternatives.

Ivan Soloduchin, owner of small heating solutions company in Vilnius, says he can’t keep up with orders to help people shut down gas boilers and replace them with firewood boilers or heat pumps. Heating a private home of up to 100 square meters (1,070 square feet) requires up to 20 cubic meters of birch wood. That comes to less than 2,300 litas ($880) for a five-month heating season. Natural-gas users in the same size property would pay up to $500 during a particularly cold month.

“I’m getting up to 10 orders per week, and clients keep on coming even in the middle of winter,” Soloduchin said. “Ten years ago owners of new houses wouldn’t even look my way since firewood was considered dirty and old fashioned — everyone wanted gas boilers. Now things have changed.”

Nerijus Pienelis, who trades firewood in the Elektrenai town some 50 kilometers (30 miles) from Vilnius, says that demand is growing every year.

“It used to be remaining farms and villages where people used my production,” he said. “Now most of the wood goes to the national capital, where even rich people burn it.”

Source: FULL ARTICLE at Fox World News

France targets Islamist-held town in Mali

Fighting erupted between Islamists and Malian soldiers in the city whose capture by militants first prompted French military intervention, while French forces kept up their bombardments of another key town, fleeing residents said Thursday.

Mali soldiers claimed to have recaptured the central town of Konna, although this could not be confirmed, while the French continued airstrikes on the Islamist-held town of Diabaly, at least 125 miles away.

Residents who escaped Diabaly said French bombs continued to hit Islamist positions there overnight but they said the town remained under the control of the radical Islamists who have advanced south after controlling northern Mali for nearly a year.

“There were bombardments last night in Diabaly and civilians have continued to come here to Niono, said Oumar Coulibaly, a resident of Niono. “This morning I saw people who came from Diabaly and the Islamists still occupy the city.”

Diabaly, a town of some 35,000 people, is just 250 miles northeast of the capital of Bamako.

Meanwhile, France has increased its troops strength in Mali to 1,400, said French Defense Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian.

“The actions of French forces, be it air forces or ground forces, are ongoing,” said Le Drian in Paris Thursday. “They took place yesterday, they took place last night, they took place today, they will take place tomorrow.”

Fleeing residents have said that Islamist extremists have taken over their homes in Diabaly and were preventing other people from leaving. They said the militants were melting into the population and moving only in small groups on streets in the mud-walled neighborhoods to avoid being targeted by the French.

“They stationed themselves outside my house with a heavy weapon, I don’t know what sort it was. After that came the bombing, which went on from 7:30 a.m. to 2 p.m., and after that, one of them (rebels) jumped over my garden wall to grab the keys to my car,” said Thiemogo Coulibaly.

In apparent retaliation for the French offensive, the same group controlling northern Mali seized a natural gas complex in neighboring Algeria, taking dozens of people hostage, including Americans. Two foreigners were killed.

In the narrow waist of central Mali, fighting reignited in the town of Konna, which the Islamists attacked last week and seized a day before French launched its military offensive.

A Malian military official, who insisted on anonymity because he was not authorized to speak to journalists, said the fighting began Wednesday between Malian soldiers and Islamists from the group Ansar Dine.

The official claimed that Malian forces had forced the Islamists out of Konna, a claim that could not be immediately corroborated.

Abdrahmane Guirou, a nurse, said four wounded soldiers had been brought to the local hospital.

The first troops from Mali‘s neighbors are expected Thursday, nearly a week after French forces launched their military operation to dislodge Al Qaeda-linked militants from a harsh desert region the same size as France.

Aboudou Toure Cheaka, special representative for the president of the Economic Community of West African States commission, said the troops from Nigeria would be arriving sometime Thursday and forces from Niger are to be deployed soon along the Niger-Mali border.

France expects to ramp up to a total of 2,500 soldiers that will include French Foreign Legionnaires. It has committed helicopter gunships, fighter jets, surveillance planes and refueling tankers in the fight against the Islamists who seized control of northern Mali last year.

A former French colony, Mali once enjoyed a reputation as one of West Africa‘s most stable democracies with the majority of its 15 million people practicing a moderate form of Islam. That changed in April 2012, when Islamist extremists took over the main cities in the country’s north amid disarray following a military coup, and began enforcing their version of strict Shariah law.

Security experts warn that the extremists are carving out their own territory in northern Mali from where they can plot terror attacks in Africa and Europe. Estimates of how many fighters the Islamists have range from less than 1,000 to several thousand. The militants are well-armed and funded and include recruits from other countries.

Despite training from U.S. and other Western trainers, the Mali army has been ineffective in fighting the militants.

Last December, the U.N. Security Council passed a cautious resolution, outlining steps that needed to be taken before an international military intervention, one which diplomats said would not occur before at least September.

But in a surprise move last week, French President Francois Hollande authorized airstrikes in Mali to stop a sudden southward push by three Islamist rebel groups. The Islamists warned that France had “opened the doors of hell” and that all French nationals would pay, as would any country that helped the military intervention.

France‘s allies have offered vocal support for the country’s military operation in Mali, but when it comes to sending troops or weapons, they are agreeing to the bare minimum: a transport plane here and there, a handful of support staff and a lot of promises to think about it.

American officials say they are providing intelligence to its European ally and are considering deploying American aircraft to land in Mali for airlift or logistical support. The U.S. is offering possible surveillance drones, too, but won’t entertain notions of sending American troops to keep terrorists from carving out a safe haven like they did in Afghanistan before the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks.

“We share the same goals as the French and of the states in the region. We support what the French are attempting to do,” said Johnnie Carson, the top U.S. diplomat for Africa, speaking Wednesday at the Wilson Center in Washington.

Source: FULL ARTICLE at Fox World News