Tag Archives: Suntech Power

Why Solar Stocks Were on Fire This Week

By Travis Hoium, The Motley Fool

Videogame SC Mad Video Game Science

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Solar stocks were on fire this week, soaring double digits on a variety of positive news items. China continues to support a few specific players, major projects are now under way, and analysts are starting to buy into the solar industry.

FSLR Total Return Price data by YCharts

These factors have helped solar this week, so here’s what investors need to know.

China continues to prop up solar
Suntech Power and LDK Solar have both defaulted on loans, but that doesn’t appear to be a clear sign that China is willing to let its solar industry consolidate. These two companies along with countless others would be bankrupt in the U.S. or Europe but investments from state-owned entities and loans from state-owned banks have propped up the entire industry.

This week, LDK Solar received a cash infusion of $25.8 million when Fulai Investments agreed to buy 25 million shares. This is the second investment by the company and may help LDK pay back loans it defaulted on last week.  

Yingli Green Energy was also the beneficiary of a $165 million loan agreement with the China Development Bank, which is owned by the Chinese government. This includes a one-year, $110 million loan and a three-year, $55 million loan for working capital needs. Yingli is one of the most indebted companies in the industry, but the government doesn’t look like it is willing to let it fail.  

The reason China is propping up solar is simple. It sees the industry as a key employer and an industry that can grow exports. The government is willing to put billions of dollars behind manufacturers and even solar installations to make sure the industry survives. It’s less clear what that means for U.S. investors. Will debt holders eventually hold all of these companies, which are effectively insolvent anyway? There’s little equity value unless these companies are propped up indefinitely and can grow out of their debt obligations. With losses growing and the next generation of solar products on its way, I don’t see China being a good investment for U.S. investors, even if these companies do survive.

Utility projects get under way
A number of major utility projects marked milestones this week. NRG Energy‘s 26 MW Solar Borrego I Project had its ribbon-cutting and is now producing at full capacity. The company announced a milestone for its electric vehicle to grid, or eV2g, project. The PJM Interconnection will now be a resource for the project in the hopes of making electric vehicles a backup power source for the grid. This has been an academic idea for a while, and now there’s hope it will become an economic reality.

SunEdison, a subsidiary of MEMC Electronic Materials , announced an agreement with Fox Energy, a subsidiary of Foxconn Technology, to manufacture 350 MW of solar modules. This is part of a virtual integration plan where SunEdison will have agreements with outside

Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Is Warren Buffett Betting Big on Solar?

By Travis Hoium, The Motley Fool

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Is Warren Buffett really interested in buying into the ultra-competitive Chinese solar industry? Bloomberg is reporting that Buffett has been sniffing around the remains of Suntech Power , formerly the largest solar manufacturer in the world. The company defaulted on U.S. loans last month and a unit in China entered insolvency, the equivalent of bankruptcy in the U.S.  

Why solar and why now?
This wouldn’t be Buffett’s first move into solar. He has spent billions buying projects from First Solar and SunPower in the southwestern U.S. But these projects aren’t manufacturing facilities like Suntech; they’re power plants that come with predictable costs and predictable cash flows, much more up Buffett’s alley.

The Bloomberg report suggests that Buffett is eying the future profitability of solar in the second half of this year. The profitability thesis is consistent with comments from SunPower and some Chinese manufacturers, but Suntech hasn’t even reported financial statements since the middle of last year. Even then, it was losing millions of dollars. Why would Buffett buy Suntech’s parent company if its largest subsidiary is bankrupt and the continuing operations are losing money?

Maybe he has his eye on the bankrupt portion of Suntech?

Buying on the cheap
What Buffett could conceivably be doing is looking at buying assets out of bankruptcy. Reports are that the banks Suntech owes want to liquidate the assets instead of restructuring debt and continuing operations. If Buffett made an offer for the assets that would exceed liquidation costs it could be a good deal for debtors.

This doesn’t seem like Buffett, though. Buying high-risk assets in a high-risk industry goes against everything he’s done for decades.

Not Buffett’s style
I would be shocked to see Warren Buffett acquire any part of Suntech because it simply doesn’t have the qualities he looks for in a company. It’s not profitable, doesn’t have a differentiated product, doesn’t have a competitive moat, and is on the cutting edge of a new industry. These are all qualities Buffett has stayed far away from in his career.

A more likely possibility would be a position in a U.S. manufacturer like SunPower or First Solar, but even that seems like a stretch. Buffett likes predictable cash flows and big competitive moats, something no one in solar can offer today.

Keeping tabs on one profitable solar company
Investors and bystanders alike have been shocked by First Solar‘s precipitous drop over the past two years. The stakes have never been higher for the company: Is it done for good, or ready for a rebound? If you’re looking for continuing updates and guidance on the company whenever news breaks, The Motley Fool has created a brand-new report that details every must know side of this stock. To get started, simply click here now.

…read more

Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Jinko Solar Earnings: An Early Look

By Dan Caplinger, The Motley Fool

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Spring is finally here, and a new earnings season is right around the corner. On Wednesday, Jinko Solar will release its latest quarterly results. The key to making smart investment decisions on stocks reporting earnings is to anticipate how they’ll do before they announce results, leaving you fully prepared to respond quickly to whatever inevitable surprises arise. That way, you’ll be less likely to make an uninformed knee-jerk reaction to news that turns out to be exactly the wrong move.

Chinese solar stocks have struggled especially hard lately, as a glut of capacity has made many players in the industry unprofitable. Jinko Solar actually earned an annual profit as recently as 2011, but its fortunes have reversed with most of its peers. Let’s take an early look at what’s been happening with Jinko Solar over the past quarter and what we’re likely to see in its quarterly report on Wednesday.

Stats on Jinko Solar

Analyst EPS Estimate

($0.80)

Year-Ago EPS

($2.58)

Revenue Estimate

$244.5 million

Change From Year-Ago Revenue

28%

Earnings Beats in Past 4 Quarters

1

Source: Yahoo! Finance.

Can Jinko Solar shine this quarter?
As dire as Jinko’s earnings appear, analysts haven’t gotten any more pessimistic about them in recent months, keeping their consensus views stable both for its most recent quarter and for full-year 2013. But the stock hasn’t been as fortunate, as it has lost a third of its value since the beginning of 2013.

Solar companies in China have largely survived poor conditions in the industry due to the generosity of government subsidies. Last December, China‘s Ministry of Finance set aside $1.1 billion in solar subsidies, while the Ministry of Science and Technology said it would provide subsidies to 100 different companies. While those subsidies help the industry as a whole, they don’t help shake out weaker players from the industry.

But Jinko may have an inside track to survival. The company got a $1 billion loan from the China Development Bank to help it with European solar projects. With a stronger balance sheet than many of its peers, Jinko appears better poised to survive the inevitable shakeout, while LDK Solar and Yingli Green Energy struggle under more substantial debt burdens. Already, the bankruptcy of Suntech Power has shown that China won’t rescue investors in every solar company.

Still, the fundamental problem in the industry is that capacity far exceeds demand. U.S. giant SunPower has a huge efficiency lead over its rivals, making it most likely to capture its share of the 30 gigawatts of demand that companies with 70 gigawatts of capacity are fighting over. Similarly, First Solar has found ways to remain profitable even with challenges from subsidy-supported Chinese rivals.

In its earnings report, watch carefully for Jinko to comment on the impact of the Suntech bankruptcy on its business. If Jinko can capture …read more

Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

1 Solar Company That Is Out of This World

By Michael Lewis, The Motley Fool

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Solar panel installer and financing company SolarCity may have bucked the trend among struggling U.S. solar players. Since its IPO late last year, the stock has skyrocketed more than 55%, fueled by encouraging statistics such as “a new customer [on average] every five minutes.” At the moment, the U.S. can’t compete with foreign companies when it comes to manufacturing panels, and this company is well aware. After a strong earnings release, and plenty of room to run, this may be the most compelling solar company yet. Here’s what you need to know about SolarCity.

Shining bright
You know the story by now. Tons of U.S. and international solar companies, such as First Solar and China-based Suntech Power (NYSE: STP) have struggled to adapt to the violent shifts in solar demand. The latter is on its way to bankruptcy court and, with $1.14 billion in outstanding debt, could become one of the biggest U.S.-listed Chinese company bankruptcies in many years. This has particularly scary implications for U.S. bondholders, who would likely come second to their Chinese counterparts.

First Solar was only a few years ago the shining star of U.S. solar players, trading at more than $300 per share, and pumping out panels faster than the speed of light. http://theenergycollective.com/josephromm/187511/chinese-companies-solar-panels But, because of Chinese innovation, which has led to a 50% drop in module costs in just three years, the company cannot compete, especially with the volatile short-term shifts in demand

The story is far different for a relatively new solar player, though. SolarCity has taken a more consistent, supplementary approach to the business. This has allowed the stock to outperform, with far less volatility, the solar industry and the market as a whole. Debuting on the market in mid-December, this solar energy system designer, installer, and financier has proven, thus far, that solar can be a predictable, sustainable business.

We can find proof of this in the company’s most recent earnings release.

In 2012, SolarCity’s customer base grew 243%, and installed more than $1 billion worth of solar energy systems. Using cheap, foreign-made solar panels, the company focuses on high-value design and installation — far removing it from the panel manufacturing business, which has been one of the most difficult to run given long lead times for plant building, mismatched with quick shifts in panel demand.

The company, whose chairman is technologist and electric-car-making spaceman Elon Musk, saw recurring operating lease revenue (one of the major cash-faucets) doubled from $7 million, to $14 million in the fourth quarter. Total revenue grew from $20.7 million to $25.3 million. Gross profit margin made a huge leap to 56%, from 40% in the year-ago quarter. Though the company had a negative bottom line, the fourth quarter generated $64.7 million in operating cash flow.

On the full year front, lease revenue jumped 106%, to $47.6 million, total revenues grew to $128.7 million, from $59.6 million, and gross profit margins hit 40%, up from 21% in 2011.

The financials may seem a bit …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Can These Alternative Energy Companies Survive?

By Travis Hoium, The Motley Fool

PWER Net Income TTM Chart

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The alternative energy industry is going through a major transition, which has left a number of companies in bankruptcy. Most recently, Suntech Power, formerly the largest solar manufacturer in the world, defaulted on loans and was forced into insolvency.

Today, I will take a look at the hopes for survival of three high-profile companies in alternative energy that have many challenges ahead.

GT Advanced Technologies
A year ago, I was very bullish on the businesses GT Advanced Technologies operates in, and optimistic about the future of the company. But since then there’s been a continuation of falling prices in end markets, and equipment orders aren’t coming through as quickly as investors once hoped.

The HiCz System was supposed to change the game for solar, bringing cell efficiency from 18.5% to over 22%, a huge improvement for the industry. But its commercial launch has been pushed back to 2014 and it appears that order intake is slower than expected.

Sapphire technology started with a bang for GTAT and could be used for everything from lighting to cell phone screens, but similar cost pressures as those in the solar industry have hurt orders. During the second half of 2013 the industry is expected to pick up as new applications begin to gain market adoption.

The company fell to a $159.4 million loss in Q4 2012; with $297 million in debt versus $418 million in cash the company can’t afford to have many more quarters like that. The problem is that management expects to lose money on a GAAP basis again this year, despite a $1.2 billion backlog.  

Will GTAT survive? I think so because the company has a decent balance sheet and should have long-term growth in the markets it serves. But this isn’t a bet I’d make until we see demand and cash flow pick up, something for which we’ve been waiting a long time.

Power-One
The inverter market is supposed to be hot, but Power-One can’t seem to gain any traction on the stock market. Micro-inverter competitor Enphase has actually been the hotter stock recently, while Power-One bounces around near 52-week lows.  

What’s maddening for Power-One investors is that the company makes money (unlike Enphase) and has a flawless balance sheet (unlike Enphase).

PWER Net Income TTM data by YCharts

Investors are struggling with the direction of results, both on the top and bottom lines. A great balance sheet is only a strength until you start burning cash with losses, something we’ve seen before in alternative energy. If declining sales continue that’s where Power-One is headed.

In the end, Power-One is in a growing business, it’s making a profit, and it’s generating free cash flow. I’m not confident enough to say Power-One will outperform the market but I think this is one company that will survive for years to come.

First Solar
The story of First Solar over the past decade encapsulates that of …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

China Continues to Give Away Solar

By Travis Hoium, The Motley Fool

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Suntech Power isn’t the only solar company in China struggling to pay its bills. Across the board, companies are struggling with huge losses, stoked by excess supply in the industry.

In the U.S., many of these companies would have failed by now, but China funds solar companies through state-run banks such as the China Development Bank. Just last week, ReneSola, which has $902 million in debt and had a gross margin of just 3.3% last quarter, signed another $50.9 million loan agreement with the bank.

This free flow of money has nearly every Chinese solar manufacturer giving away solar panels.

Another bad quarter
Today’s news comes from JA Solar , one of the largest manufacturers in the world. The company shipped 500 MW of solar products in the fourth quarter but managed just $263.2 million in revenue and had a negative-4.6% gross margin. On the bottom line, the company lost $102.4 million, or $2.65 per share, almost as much as the entire company is worth.  

JA Solar shipped 80 MW more product than it anticipated, but even higher shipments couldn’t bring the company close to a profit. If you have to give away solar product at 4.6% below cost, even when you’re running close to capacity, there must be something wrong.

Hanwha SolarOne also recently announced a bad quarter. Shipments were 198.9 MW and revenue was $134.3 million, but the company had a negative 31.3% gross margin and lost $104.4 million, or $1.24 per share. In this case, that’s more than the entire company is worth.  

These aren’t unusual results in the Chinese solar market. Trina Solar and Yingli Green Energy , two more of the world’s largest solar manufacturers, also reported low-single-digit gross margins for the fourth quarter, despite strong shipments. The only hope is that all of this will lead to long-term profits as the solar market grows.

A means to an end — sort of
The goal for China is to basically starve everyone else out of the market. It’s worked in a way. Q.Cells, Energy Conversion Devices, Solyndra, and many others have gone bankrupt trying to compete against subsidized Chinese companies.

The U.S. and Europe are fighting back with tariffs on Chinese solar products, with some success. Companies have had to rely on China for more of their sales recently, and they’re having a hard time charging reasonable prices in the U.S. and Europe. But can companies survive long enough for supply and demand to get back into balance? And will they still be relevant by the time they do?

Fighting against the grain
The problem with China‘s strategy is that they’ve invested so much in technology that will eventually become obsolete. GT Advanced Technologies is constantly improving the efficiency and cost effectiveness of equipment it supplies to solar manufacturers. This summer, the company should be releasing a new HiCz product that brings efficiency to a …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Bankruptcies Are a Healthy Sign for the Solar Industry

By Travis Hoium, The Motley Fool

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Suntech Power is officially in bankruptcy, and once again, one of the flagship companies in the industry is now deciding how to pay back as much as it can to creditors. If we look back, there are some very notable bankruptcies in solar. Energy Conversion Devices was once a hot technology, Q.Cells was once the largest solar manufacturer in the world, and of course we all remember Solyndra. But this doesn’t mean the solar industry is in trouble. In fact, the opposite is true.

In a normal business cycle, bankruptcies are a healthy sign of a maturing industry. In the case of solar, companies with poor cost structures or weak technology will fall by the wayside, leaving their market share to healthier companies with better technology. Since the solar market has around 70 GW of supply and only about 30 GW of demand right now, companies will have to go bankrupt to bring the industry into balance.

More companies will fall
If there’s more than double the capacity the world currently demands for solar modules, then more companies will fall. In China, the balance sheet is a huge differentiator, which is why I think Yingli Green Energy and LDK Solar are next on the chopping block.

We may also see consolidation of some suppliers, making one larger, more powerful company. Now that China has let Suntech go bankrupt, I think it’s more likely that companies see this as a warning sign and make preemptive moves to stay alive. In the end, fewer companies will be left in the solar industry, which is a good thing in a maturing industry.

Costs drive companies out
A lot of focus in solar over the past two years has been about cost differentiation. This is the first thing that will get a company in trouble, as Q.Cells, Solyndra, and Energy Conversion Devices found out. Canadian Solar , now the third largest module maker in the world, said earlier this week that its manufacturing costs have fallen from $1.31 per watt in Q2 2011 to $0.51 per watt in Q2 2012. Companies that can’t keep up with that rapid reduction in costs will find themselves with falling margins and growing losses.

That’s why First Solar‘s module business is in trouble right now. It makes modules that are less efficient than Chinese modules, such as Canadian Solar‘s, and now has higher costs. Costs aren’t the only thing that will sink a company in solar, but they’re still key.

Differentiation is the new key
What we’re seeing with recent bankruptcies is that product differentiation has to be combined with low costs to survive. Suntech’s cost structure wasn’t terribly different from that of any other Chinese solar manufacturer, but they’re also making the same product as these competitors. So when the company ran into a fraud  at an investment it made, the company couldn’t fall back on …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

JA Solar Earnings: An Early Look

By Dan Caplinger, The Motley Fool

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Earnings season is just about over, with almost all companies already having reported their quarterly results. But there are still a few companies left to report, and JA Solar is about to release its quarterly earnings report. The key to making smart investment decisions with stocks releasing their quarter reports is to anticipate how they’ll do before they announce results, leaving you fully prepared to respond quickly to whatever inevitable surprises arise. That way, you’ll be less likely to make an uninformed knee-jerk reaction to news that turns out to be exactly the wrong move.

The solar industry has suffered for years under intense competition and falling subsidies among cash-strapped governments across the globe. JA Solar in particular has had massive losses over that timeframe. Can the solar company recover? Let’s take an early look at what’s been happening with JA Solar over the past quarter and what we’re likely to see in its quarterly report on Monday.

Stats on JA Solar

Analyst EPS Estimate

($1.53)

Year-Ago EPS

($0.55)

Revenue Estimate

$248.5 million

Change From Year-Ago Revenue

(20%)

Earnings Beats in Past 4 Quarters

0

Source: Yahoo! Finance.

Will JA Solar shine or go dark this quarter?
Over the past few months, analysts have actually had mixed views of JA Solar. They’ve gotten a lot more pessimistic about the just-ended quarter, widening earnings-per-share loss estimates by $0.25. But for fiscal 2013, they’ve narrowed their consensus loss by a full $1 per share in just the past week. The stock has shared that enthusiasm in part, rising 5% since mid-December despite having fallen back from loftier gains more recently.

After years of losses, the solar industry is now starting to see its problems come to a head. JA Solar rival Suntech Power defaulted on its bonds earlier this week, representing the first time that a Chinese solar company has had a default and forcing bondholders to go to court to try to reorganize the company. Although the Chinese central government isn’t likely to bail out Suntech, local governments might help Suntech, as a similar bailout for LDK Solar came from local sources.

With JA Solar having convertible bonds come due in just two months, it could face some of the same challenges, although JA Solar’s balance sheet is fairly healthy by industry standards and might actually benefit from Suntech’s exit. That may be behind analysts’ long-term upgrade of their 2013 consensus. Moreover, recent news that JA Solar started shipping components on a 35-megawatt Israeli solar project may have boosted optimism about the company’s continued viability.

In its earnings report, watch to see if JA Solar manages to keep its gross margins positive. With only so much cash to burn, JA Solar needs the consolidation among Chinese solar companies to happen sooner rather than later in order to get itself into a competitive position in which …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Onetime Solar Billionaire Shi Zhengrong Suffers Blow As Suntech Power Collpases

By Laura He, Contributor

Shi Zhengrong, founder of solar giant Suntech Power and once one of China‘s richest men, saw a significant part of his empire collapse into bankruptcy on Thursday amid financial pressures and internal conflicts, despite a huge Chinese government effort to bail out an ailing industry beset by plunging solar panel prices and steep Western tariffs on Chinese solar products. …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at Forbes Latest

First Solar Lowers the Bar

By Rich Duprey, The Motley Fool

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Typically when companies forecast lower sales or profits, their stocks usually take a hit. It’s not always easy to tell whether it’s having a fire sale or burning down its house. Maybe it is time to get out — or maybe it’s time to buy more!

In the case of solar-module maker First Solar , I think it’s time to grab your belongings and head for the exits. Even though it was able to beat analyst profit expectations for the fourth quarter, it still fell far short on revenues, missing by about $150 million or so. And with its first-quarter outlook looking dismal — it guided to revenues of just $650 million to $750 million, far below Wall Street‘s $822 million guess — there’s no reason to be optimistic that there’s a turnaround in its future.

Cloudy skies
The problem is that First Solar was no longer happy being a module shop. It thought that operating on a grand scale of becoming a design-build construction firm for utility-scale solar power plants was where the growth would be, but there’s precious little going on there, either.

The company had 3 gigawatts of projects in its pipeline during the third quarter, but that fell to 2.9 gigawatts by the fourth, which, when you account for those it can’t yet recognize revenue on, leaves just 2.2 gigawatts in the pipeline. For all of 2012, First Solar recorded just 1.1 gigawatts of new bookings, and factoring in the 1.4 gigawatts of shipments it had, gives it a book-to-bill ratio of 0.8 when what it should be targeting at the very least is a one-to-one.

First Solar can’t even begin to think about giving full-year guidance until after the second quarter is put to rest, because two projects — the 300-megawatt Stateline Solar Farm in California and the 250-megawatt Silver State South project in Nevada — have yet to be permitted, and trade disputes between the U.S. and India and China and Europe remain ongoing. Until all those are ironed out, or at least more clarity is provided, the solar shop has no idea how its business will fare.

Of course, we still need to dig a bit further, so don’t blindly sell on these bearish signals. We’ll just use the announcement as a jumping-off point for additional research.

Like lemmings over the cliff
It’s no surprise why First Solar wanted to minimize its exposure to the module market. Depressed pricing from the continuing inventory glut is crushing everyone from ReneSola to Suntech Power .

ReneSola reported earnings last week that showed it recording its sixth consecutive quarterly loss, which widened to $50 million from the nearly $37 million loss it posted last year. As a recent Reuters story noted, solar panel prices plunged 30% in 2012 on top of a 30% tumble the year before that .

Suntech is so beaten up that it defaulted on $541 million in bond payments that were due on Friday. I …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Consolidation in Chinese Solar Is Here

By Travis Hoium, The Motley Fool

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A Chinese solar company has defaulted on loans and has been brought into bankruptcy by Chinese banks. Many investors never thought this would happen. The free flow of money from state-run banks to the solar industry has been going on for years and a bailout from either a Chinese bank or a local government was always thought to be just days away.  

There was no such luck for Suntech Power , who held the title of largest solar module manufacturer for two years. The company defaulted on U.S. convertible notes on Friday, which triggered a default on Chinese debt and the end was near.

The last day of Suntech as we know it
We know that Suntech had over $2.2 billion in debt, most of it with Chinese banks who have long been forgiving of troubles in solar. So, when the company defaulted on U.S. debt and still refused to pay investors, the thought was that U.S. investors would force the company into involuntary bankruptcy. In fact, eight Chinese banks filed a petition for insolvency with the Chinese court.  

This may seem like a small detail of Suntech’s bankruptcy but it’s very important to other companies in the industry. The central Chinese government has said it won’t bail out solar firms because consolidation and bankruptcies will be good for the industry. In December, the State Council said it would even ban local governments from propping up failing companies, as LDK Solar’s local government did last year.

Until today, those words seemed hollow to companies and many industry observers. But the central government, local governments, and state-run banks didn’t interfere with the bankruptcy of Suntech. In fact, the banks were the ones that caused it.

Where Suntech goes from here is currently unknown. The local Wuxi government now has seats on the board and it’s likely the government will bail out local manufacturing, which accounts for about three-quarters of the company’s manufacturing. Other assets may be sold to pay off other debts. We’ll know more about Suntech’s and the banks’ plans in the next few days.

What this means for Chinese solar
Yingli Green Energy and LDK Solar should be watching the Suntech saga closely because with $2 billion and $3.3 billion of net debt, respectively, they could be heading for a similar fate. Neither company has the ability to pay back loans and if Suntech can go down so will they.

The balance sheet problems are bad, but there are also strategic implications. As the cost of solar panels has fallen, the less tangible qualities have become more important. Quality, service, warranty, etc. are now considered by installers just as much as cost. If these companies are effectively insolvent why would I trust a warranty? Why would I choose Yingli over a manufacturer with less debt that may be there to service my products in five years? LDK is a supplier to solar manufacturers and …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

What Can We Expect From Suntech Power?

By Travis Hoium, The Motley Fool

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Suntech Power defaulted on bonds last Friday, but the company has yet to file for bankruptcy or receive an anticipated bailout from the government. Alison Southwick sat down with Fool analyst Travis Hoium to discuss what this means for Suntech as well as two highly indebted companies in China, LDK Solar and Yingli Green Energy

A solar company with fewer money problems

Investors and bystanders alike have been shocked by First Solar’s precipitous drop over the past two years, but, unlike Suntech, the company is still profitable. Is First Solar headed for a similar fate or ready for a rebound? If you’re looking for continuing updates and guidance on the company whenever news breaks, The Motley Fool has created a brand-new report that details every must-know side of this stock. To get started, simply click here now.

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Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Only One of These Stocks Won't Be a Winner

By Rich Duprey, The Motley Fool

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Ten days and counting. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added to its string of consecutive days moving higher, notching another 83-point gain to close above 14,500 for the first time ever. Jobless claims came in lower than anticipated yesterday and a bunch more economic data is due out today so we could see the index extend its winning streak to yet another day.

These three stocks had nothing to celebrate, however. But don’t go running over the cliff with them like a bunch of lemmings just yet — this could just be a temporary situation. Let’s first see whether they had good reason to fall as panic-fueled routs can sometimes lead to excellent buying opportunities.

Company

% Change

VirnetX

(27.8%)

LDK Solar

(10.1%)

Navidea Biopharmaceuticals

(7.9%)

That’s nuts
Proving it doesn’t matter if you win the battle only to lose the war, VirnetX announced its patents were validated by a jury, but it nevertheless lost its patent infringement case against Cisco because the jury says it didn’t violate them.

VirnetX claims to essentially owns the rights to the entire family of 4G and LTE security standards and has enjoyed a string of victories over industry behemoths such as Microsoft and Apple, the latter of which got socked with a $368 million penalty because its FaceTime software violated VirnetX’s patents. Those are the same ones that Cisco was accused of infringing upon.

But this time the jury ruled that, although VirnetX’s patents are valid over the prior art claims Cisco advanced, the network equipment maker’s routers that run virtual private networks didn’t violate them. Seems a bit of a head scratcher in reasoning, but VirnetX says it’s still going to assert its patents and license the technology and, besides, the Apple decision remains unaffected.

While disappointing certainly, the market‘s reaction seems a bit overblown. After a string of wins, one loss should hardly cause the elimination of more than a quarter of VirnetX’s market cap.

Lights out
With Suntech Power teetering on the brink of bankruptcy because the Chinese government won’t bail it out, the prospects for other solar shops surviving are diminishing as well. LDK Solar suffered a loss on the market yesterday second only to Suntech’s because it could soon be in the same financial crisis as its peer.

Suntech is expected to be pushed into default today over missed bond payments and LDK could face a similar situation next year. The Chinese government has suggested consolidation is needed in the industry and its decision to let Suntech go under rather than throw good money after bad is the first tangible evidence that it was serious.

But other solar shops might face more dire circumstances sooner than LDK, as the Fool’s Travis Hoium points out JA Solar has bonds due in May and Trina Solar follows in July. Not every solar company is on the brink of folding financially, of course, …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Chinese Solar: First Bond Default Likely Tomorrow

By Travis Hoium, The Motley Fool

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We’re mere hours away from the likely default of one of the largest solar manufacturers in the world: Suntech Power . The latest news reports have bondholders forcing the company into an involuntary bankruptcy tomorrow if the company doesn’t pay back $541 million in bonds. If that takes place it would be the first default for a bond issued by a company from mainland China.  

The likely default has implications for Suntech as well as many other companies in the solar industry.

What happens to Suntech?
In all likelihood, Suntech will go into some sort of default tomorrow. It’s likely that stockholders will be wiped out and bondholders will be heading to court to try and retrieve some assets. But it’s possible the company will survive in some form.

What we know for sure is that the central government or state-run banks won’t be running to Suntech’s rescue. If that were to happen it would have been done by now. Rumors are that the local Wuxi government will use its multi-billion dollar fund to bailout local manufacturing for Suntech. As I’ve said before, China‘s government is more concerned with employment than losing money, which is why local governments have helped LDK Solar and it looks like Suntech is next.

If the company does continue making panels it will be interesting to see how customers respond to a company that was losing loads of money, was mismanaged, and now had to be bailed out by a local government. If Suntech’s finances were bad as a well-known public company, then I would hate to see how much it loses under government control.

What about the rest of Chinese solar?
The real fun begins when we think about the future of the giant Chinese solar industry. China‘s new government has said that consolidation in solar is necessary and it will allow companies to combine or fail but this is the first indication that they’ll actually let that happen. Even in the past few weeks investors thought a white knight would arrive to save Suntech.

This has huge implications across the industry because Chinese solar manufacturers have billions of debt that they can’t possibly refinance on the open market or fund with money-losing operations. JA Solar  has convertible bonds due in May, Trina Solar has convertible bonds due in July of this year, and LDK Solar has bonds due in February of next year. Each of these companies could potentially face the same challenges Suntech has had to face this week.

For those of you who have followed my solar coverage on Fool.com over the past year, you know I’ve said over and over again that highly indebted Chinese solar companies are incredibly risky and worth avoiding at all cost. If you must play in Chinese solar, do it with a less leveraged company like JinkoSolar , which is at least less likely to default in the next six months. Personally, …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Why Suntech's Shares Plunged

By Travis Hoium, The Motley Fool

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Although we don’t believe in timing the market or panicking over market movements, we do like to keep an eye on big changes — just in case they’re material to our investing thesis.

What: Shares of Suntech Power fell 23% today on concerns the company will go bankrupt.

So what: Suntech has a $541 million bond payment due on Friday, and even though 60% of bondholders have agreed to a delay in payment, it appears 40% may force the company into bankruptcy. Bloomberg is reporting that China‘s central government won’t bail out the company and sees it as a healthy sign for solar if Suntech goes bankrupt.  

During the day today, there were rumors that the local government would somehow rescue the company, but that is pure speculation at this point. No matter what, equity holders are in trouble.

Now what: I’ve been negative on solar stocks for a long time now, and this is exactly why. Suntech had too much debt and was losing too much money to survive. It’s unclear if Suntech will be in bankruptcy court voluntarily or involuntarily, or whether it’ll just be sued by bondholders, but this will come to a head on Friday. No reason to buy Suntech now, and I’d stay away from all Chinese solar stocks, because this won’t be the last one to meet this fate.

Interested in more info on Suntech Power? Add it to your watchlist by clicking here.

The article Why Suntech’s Shares Plunged originally appeared on Fool.com.

Fool contributor Travis Hoium and The Motley Fool have no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don’t all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 – 2013 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Suntech Power on the Brink of Bankruptcy?

By Travis Hoium, The Motley Fool

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Suntech Power is in a pickle that could lead to consequences as severe as an involuntary bankruptcy. On Monday, the company announced a forbearance agreement with lenders, essentially holding off payment on $541 million of bonds due on Friday. As more reports have emerged, it appears the forbearance agreement was only with 60% of bondholders and the other 40% want nothing to do with it.

Right now, it appears Suntech has no interest in paying bondholders on Friday and there’s now speculation this could lead to lawsuits and even an involuntary bankruptcy. Bloomberg interviewed a hedge fund manager who said that the fund sees it as worthwhile to pursue a lawsuit if they aren’t paid on Friday. But statements from law firm Wilmer Cutler Pickering Hale and Dorr LLP were even more telling. Bloomberg quotes partner James Millar as saying: “Every piece of information that I’ve looked at suggests that they will default on Friday.” That’s telling no matter what side you are on.  

What is interesting with this debate is that the company could have converted bonds into stock if it would have alerted bondholders three days prior to maturity, which was yesterday. Since it didn’t, it appears that the company will be forced to pay cash or wind up in court.  

Implications across solar
Suntech is the news of the day but this has much wider impact on the solar industry than just one company. China‘s state-run banks haven’t come to the rescue of Suntech even though it has billions of dollars of debt outstanding with them. China may finally be willing to let a few companies fail.

This is bad news for Yingli Green Energy and LDK Solar , in particular. Yingli has $2 billion of net debt, and at last count LDK Solar had $3.3 billion of net debt, both unsustainable in any normal business environment. Will the government let them fail as well, taking multiple gigawatts out of the industry’s overcapacity? Many companies hope so.

A Suntech failure would be good for everyone else
If Suntech goes down it would really be good for everyone else in the industry. Solar is oversupplied right now and Suntech would take 2 GW of that supply off the market. I think U.S. solar companies would benefit the most but there would be winners in China as well.

JA Solar and Jinko Solar have two of the better balance sheets, and they could pick up some of the slack. Trina Solar would also be able to fill in, and with a bigger brand name than JA or Jinko it could experience expanding margins.

Foolish bottom line
This is exactly what the solar industry needs, even if solar stocks aren’t reacting that way today. Keep an eye on Suntech’s developments over the next few days to see if it evades this somehow, or if bondholders try to …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Suntech Shutters Arizona Solar Plant

By Rich Smith, The Motley Fool

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Chinese solar-panel manufacturer Suntech Power is halting production at it Goodyear, Ariz., solar-panel manufacturing facility on April 3, laying off 43 employees in the process.

In a statement announcing the closure, Suntech cited “higher production costs” in the U.S. as contributing to the decision. However, the company also noted that U.S. “import tariffs on solar cells and aluminum frames” manufactured abroad have increased its cost of doing business. Also, “global solar module” production has reached a state of “oversupply,” with the result that Suntech has less pricing power to charge the prices it would like to charge on the modules it produces. As a result, the company is facing higher input costs, and getting lower prices on its output from the factory.

Summing up the situation in a nutshell, Suntech America Managing Director E.L. “Mick” McDaniel observed, “Although it’s a tough time to be a solar manufacturer, there’s never been a better time to be a solar customer.”

For Suntech, the situation has meant production at its Goodyear plant is down from 50 MW of production in 2011, to 15 MW annually as of this past November — and heading for zero. Suntech shares dropped 5.2% on the news Tuesday, closing at $1.09.

The article Suntech Shutters Arizona Solar Plant originally appeared on Fool.com.

Fool contributor Rich Smith and The Motley Fool have no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don’t all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 – 2013 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance