Tag Archives: Standard Chartered

Biggest Fib Of The Year: China GDP Grows 7.5% In Q2

By Gordon G. Chang, Contributor Moments ago, Beijing’s National Bureau of Statistics announced that gross domestic product in the second calendar quarter increased 7.5% from the same period last year, hitting median estimates squarely on the nose.  The announcement confirms China’s growth is slowing but does not fully capture the recent falloff.   What is the real growth figure?  Seeking Alpha thinks it is around 6.7%, but even that figure is high.  Among other factors, the severe contraction of aggregate financing in June, the marked fall in exports in May and June, and the evident shrinkage of the manufacturing sector throughout the quarter all point to an economy growing in the low single digits.  Moreover, it is unlikely that NBS, in releasing the Q2 number, had made proper adjustments to account for two phenomena.  First, Beijing’s official statistics have not been adequately adjusted for inflation, as Standard Chartered’s Stephen Green has pointed out.  Second, fake trade invoicing substantially inflated GDP numbers.  Rampant falsification has resulted in the simply unbelievable report of 14.7% export growth in April, the first month of the just-ended quarter.  Although some say export growth was about 6% then, it seems like it was actually closer to 3%. The most intriguing Q2 indications, however, are the comments of China’s finance minister, Lou Jiwei.  Mr. Lou, speaking in Washington on Thursday, said growth in the first half of 2013 was probably less than 7.7%, “but not too far from it.”  Then he spoke these words: “Our expected GDP growth rate this year is 7%.”  To get to 7% for the entire year after growing 7.7% in Q1 and being “not too far” from 7.7% in Q2, Lou was indirectly telling everyone that China would be expanding at an average of 6.4% in the third and fourth quarters.   Of course, it’s theoretically possible that Lou thinks the economy will fall off the cliff only in the second half of the year, but it is much more likely he knew Q2 growth was far below 7.7% and was preparing everyone for unexpectedly poor performance.  In any event, Beijing immediately censored its finance minister.  Xinhua News Agency, for instance, omitted a striking comment from Lou about the possibility that growth could fall to 6.5% and then erased his 7% forecast for this year, claiming he in fact predicted 7.5%.  The also official—and more authoritative—People’s Daily reported the 7% prediction by carrying another—and more accurate—Xinhua dispatch. What does the utter confusion in official media tell us?  There are two principal points to keep in mind.  First, the differing versions of Lou’s remarks in China’s media suggest there is sharp disagreement among senior leaders over what to do about the economy.  Reformers generally believe—correctly—that reform will decrease growth at first so that the leadership, to allow necessary restructuring to proceed, must de-emphasize gross domestic product as a measuring stick and back off its GDP growth targets.  Lou’s admission of under-target 7% growth signaled, in a subtle way, the leadership was behind reform.  In all probability, those opposed to …read more

Source: FULL ARTICLE at Forbes Latest

Is This Your Last Chance to Buy Lloyds?

By David O’Hara, The Motley Fool

Filed under:

LONDON — Shares in Lloyds   are 10% off their high for the year. They are now just 2% more expensive than they were back at the beginning of 2013. By comparison, the FTSE 100 index is up 10%.

Like the rest of the banks, Lloyds fell recently following the Cyprus scare. Bank share prices then suffered again when their new regulator announced that it wants the sector to raise more capital.

Why I expect a big rise
The market could dramatically reappraise Lloyds shares when the company reports its first-quarter results at the end of the month. If investors come around to my analysis, the result could be a 20% share price rise.

Lloyds’ forthcoming Q1 results could be the first announcement in a long time that does not contain huge provisions for Payment Protection Insurance (PPI) compensation payouts. So far, Lloyds has set aside 6.5 billion pounds to pay customers for PPI misselling. At the end of 2012, 2 billion pounds of this provision remained unutilized.

I also expect that impairments at Lloyds in 2013 will be considerably lower than they were one year ago. In 2012, writedowns on assets and loans totalled 5.7 billion pounds — 40% less than the previous year.

Lloyds’ first-quarter results, scheduled for 30 April, are a fantastic opportunity for the bank to demonstrate just how profitable it could be going forward. If the bank can show further provisions for PPI are unlikely and that impairments are still falling fast, 5.6 billion pounds could be added to group profit before tax for the full year.

Even better, recent comments from Business Secretary Vince Cable show that even he has been sticking up for the banks. We may have passed the peak of political pressure to punish the sector.

How high could Lloyds’ shares go?
Six weeks ago, shares in Lloyds traded around 55 pence. Analysts expect that the company will make 5.6 pence in earnings per share for 2014. Rival banks Standard Chartered and HSBC today trade close ten times 2014 forecasts. I think that the banks will spend the next month demonstrating their value to investors. If Q1 results can inspire earnings upgrades, I would expect Lloyds’ shares to end May trading around 60 pence.

Making quick gains on blue-chip shares like Lloyds can help you to build your portfolio fast. If you would like to learn more investment techniques that could yield big profits, get the free Motley Fool report “10 Steps to Making a Million in the Market.” This special report could change the way that you invest forever. Just click here to get this totally free report today.

The article Is This Your Last Chance to Buy Lloyds? originally appeared on Fool.com.

David owns shares in Lloyds Banking Group. The Motley Fool owns shares in Standard Chartered. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Should I Buy HSBC Holdings or Standard Chartered?

By Roland Head, The Motley Fool

Filed under:

LONDON — Investing in emerging markets like Asia, Africa, and Latin America is one of the best ways to access high levels of growth — but buying shares directly in foreign companies can be complicated and risky, and it isn’t suitable for all private investors.

One way to have your cake, and eat it, is to buy shares in the banks that finance growth in emerging markets, such as HSBC Holdings  and Standard Chartered  .

Both of these FTSE 100 banks generate the majority of their income abroad and escaped the worst of the financial crisis — but which one looks to be the better buy for the next five years?

HSBC vs. Standard Chartered
I’m going to start with a look at a few key statistics that can be used to provide a quick comparison of these two companies based on their 2012 results:

  HSBC Standard
Chartered
Turnover 50,087 million pounds 12,711 million pounds
Operating margin 27.3% 35.8%
2012 dividend growth 9.8% 10.5%
Price to tangible book ratio 1.37 1.66

The figures above show that Standard Chartered is significantly smaller than HSBC and was more profitable last year.

Both provided near-identical dividend increases to their shareholders, although HSBC‘s historic yield of 4.2% is considerably higher than Standard Chartered‘s 3.2%.

One of the reasons for Standard Chartered‘s superior profitability is that it does much less business in the U.K. and Europe than HSBC, reducing its exposure to the loss-making, stagnant economies of the western world.

However, it’s fair to say that both banks look healthy and profitable at the moment.

What’s next?
Are the trends we identified above about to change, or should we expect more of the same?

Analysts’ forecasts are notoriously unreliable, but FTSE 100 companies generally get the benefit of the most comprehensive analysis, and tend to deliver fewer surprises than smaller companies.

With that in mind, let’s take a look at some forward-looking numbers for HSBC and Standard Chartered. These apply to the companies’ current financial years:

  HSBC Standard
Chartered
Forecast P/E ratio 10.5 10.7
Forecast dividend yield 4.6% 3.5%
Forecast dividend growth 11.6% 8.9%
Forecast earnings per share growth 69.8% 18.2%

These figures, which are based on the companies’ guidance figures and analysts’ forecasts, place an almost identical P/E valuation on both banks, despite the huge earnings per share increase forecast for HSBC.

One reason for this is probably that HSBC‘s U.K. and European operations are expected to return to profit in 2013, after losing $3.4bn in 2012. Such a big shift will provide a noticeable uplift to earnings per share, but it isn’t a sign of a long-term trend, so doesn’t deserve a premium P/E rating.

Both banks are expected to increase their dividends by around 10% in 2013, but HSBC‘s current 4.6% forward dividend yield looks especially attractive to me.

Which share should I buy?
HSBC and Standard Chartered are both attractive investments, and in my view, which one you choose depends on what you are looking for.

The majority of HSBC‘s income comes from Asia, plus the U.K. and Europe. Standard Chartered offers similar Asian exposure, …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

China's new leadership faces myriad challenges

China named the Communist Party‘s No. 2 leader, Li Keqiang, premier on Friday as a long-orchestrated leadership transition nears its end, leaving the new leaders to confront uneven economic growth, unbridled corruption and a severely befouled environment that are stirring public discontent.

The rubber-stamp legislature endorsed Li for the post, voting 2,940 in favor, with three opposed and six abstaining. A day earlier, the legislature similarly appointed Xi Jinping to the ceremonial post of president, making him China‘s pre-eminent leader following his ascent last November to head the Communist Party and the military.

Though the outcome of the legislative session was a foregone conclusion, it’s the result of years of fractious behind-the-scenes bargaining. They hail from different factions: Li Keqiang (pronounced lee kuh chahng) is a protege of the now-retired President Hu Jintao while Xi Jinping (pronounced shee jin ping) is the son of a revolutionary veteran with backing among party elders.

After Li’s selection was announced, he and Xi shook hands and smiled for photographers in the Great Hall of the People. Evidence of their and their patrons’ ability to forge consensus will be seen Saturday when appointments to the Cabinet and other top government posts are announced.

The son of a revolutionary veteran, Xi cuts an authoritative figure with a confidence and congeniality that was lacking in his predecessor, the aloof and stiff Hu. New Premier Li, from a low-level officials’ household, has appeared to be a cautious administrator, like Hu, and has not been associated with particular policies on his rise.

Together, Xi and Li now steer a rising global power beset with many domestic challenges that will test their leadership. Chief among them are a sputtering economy that’s overly dominated by powerful state industries.

Chinese leaders want to nurture self-sustaining growth based on domestic consumption and reducing reliance on exports and investment. Consumer spending is rising, but not as fast as Beijing wants, which has forced the government to support an economic recovery with spending on public works and investment by state companies.

“If the official data is to be believed, China has been moving in the wrong direction for the past decade — towards ‘more investment, less consumption,'” wrote Standard Chartered economists Stephen Green and Wei Li in a research note. “This could create problems.”

An increasingly vocal Chinese public is expressing impatience with the government‘s unfulfilled promises to curb …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at Fox World News

3 Shares to Race Ahead of the FTSE 100

By G. A. Chester, The Motley Fool

Filed under:

LONDON — The FTSE 100 is on a terrific bull run, finishing today’s trading session at 6,529 points after soaring 16% in four months.

I don’t think you necessarily have to back risky recovery stocks or speculative small caps to outperform the market if this bull run continues. I reckon three companies that are giants in their respective sectors should do well — not perhaps delivering the outsize returns that some poorer-quality companies will notch up (if you can pick the right ones!), but returns ahead of the market all the same.

My three for a continuing bull run are: mining giant BHP Billiton , banking behemoth HSBC , and heavyweight asset-manager Schroders .

BHP Billiton
If the stock market bull run is to have real legs, it will require a truly improving economy. Stocks can’t go higher indefinitely on sentiment alone. A global economic recovery will inevitably be allied to demand for resources in China and other industrializing countries. Step forward, mining giant BHP Billiton.

All miners had a poor 2012, dogged by weak prices and rising costs. But analysts are tentatively penciling in improving revenues and earnings going into 2014. In BHP Billiton’s case, after it took an earnings hit of more than 40% during the first half of the current year, the City expects the decline to have moderated to about 30% by the company’s June year-end.

For fiscal year 2014, the consensus is for BHP‘s earnings to rise about 30% — and this forecast has been ticking up from where it was three months ago. At a current share price of about 2,100 pence, you’re paying not much more than 10 times forecast FY 2014 earnings.

HSBC
Valued by the market at more than 130 billion pounds, HSBC is more than three times the size of its nearest Footsie banking peer, Standard Chartered.

While the fortunes of Standard Chartered, Royal Bank of Scotland, Lloyds Banking, and Barclays are all — to a greater or lesser degree — tied to the economies of a single country or region, HSBC is a truly global giant with revenue well-balanced between Europe, the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific region. As such, HSBC is poised to thrive in a recovering world economy.

A current price-to-book value of 1.3 may not sound too attractive, but HSBC‘s net assets are forecast to increase rapidly over the next couple of years. If the group makes analyst estimates of 660 pence per share in net assets by the end of 2013 and the market ups its P/B rating to two (let’s not forget the P/B was between 2.5 and three before the financial crisis), then HSBC‘s shares could trade at more than 1,300 pence compared withabout 725 pence today.

Schroders
The reason why an asset manager such as Schroders can be expected to race ahead in a bull market is really quite simple. If Schroders can increase assets under management and keep the cost base low, the …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Dow May Open Lower as Investors Target 9th Day of Gains

By Roland Head, The Motley Fool

Filed under:

LONDON — After hitting record closing highs for the last eight days, will the Dow extend its winning streak to nine days? Stock index futures at 7 a.m. EDT indicate that the Dow Jones Industrial Average may open down by 0.2% this morning, while the S&P 500 may open 0.24% lower.

Retail data will be in focus this morning when February’s retail sales figures are released at 8:30 a.m. EDT. Consensus forecasts suggest that sales rose by 0.7% in February after gaining 0.1% in January. Also due at 8:30 a.m. EDT, import prices are expected to have risen by 0.5% in February after rising 0.6% in January, while at 10 a.m. EDT, analysts expect that inventories may have risen by 0.6% in January after gaining 0.1% in December.

The retail industry will also be the main focus of today’s corporate earnings announcements. Guess?, Vera Bradley, and Men’s Wearhouse are all due to report after the close tonight, while Express is due to report before the opening bell this morning. Aircraft manufacturer Boeing may also be actively traded after the FAA approved the company’s plans to fix the battery issues that have been behind the global grounding of its 787 Dreamliner aircraft.

European markets
Markets moved lower in Europe this morning as investors took profits and reacted to the latest eurozone industrial-production figures, which showed that output fell by 0.4% across the single-currency zone in January, missing expectations for a 0.1% fall. Meanwhile, reports indicated that the EU parliament is likely to vote against last month’s EU budget deal later today, which could trigger months of further negotiations.

At 7:10 a.m. EDT, the DAX was down 0.25%, the CAC 40 was down 0.47%, the FTSE MIB was down 1.57%, and the IBEX 35 was down 0.79%. In London, the FTSE 100 was down 0.86% despite a 2.9% gain for Asia-focused life insurance company Prudential, which reported a 25% increase in operating profit in 2012. The index was dragged back by security-outsourcing specialist G4S, which fell 2.7% after it reported the departure of its chief financial officer, despite a 10% rise in revenue last year. Other big fallers included Standard Chartered and British American Tobacco, both of which went ex-dividend today.

If you’re looking for shares that can outperform the wider market, you need to look beyond the news headlines. This free Motley Fool report, “The Top Growth Share For 2013,” highlights a share that gained 38% in 2012, during which time the wider market rose just 6%. The company is a household name, and its earnings per share have risen by 44% since 2009 — so click here now to download your free copy of this report while it is still available.

The article Dow May Open Lower as Investors Target 9th Day of Gains originally appeared on Fool.com.

Roland Head does not own shares in any of the companies …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Standard Chartered Raises Dividend By 10.5%

By Maynard Paton, The Motley Fool

Filed under:

LONDON — The shares of Standard Chartered  rallied 50 pence to 1,830 pence this morning after the bank lifted its full-year dividend by 10.5%.

A $0.84 per share payout was revealed for 2012, up from the $0.76 per share declared for 2011.

The dividend news accompanied full-year results that showed operating income up 8% to 19 billion pounds and pre-tax profits up 1% to $6.8b. Excluding a $667m fine paid to various American authorities for processing Iranian transactions, profits advanced 11%.

The FTSE 100 member said 2012 had been its tenth year of unbroken growth in income, profit, and dividends, with the last decade showing a compound growth rate of at least 15%.

Sir Jon Peace, Standard Chartered‘s chairman, said:

Standard Chartered remains a growth story and we are sticking to our strategy, focusing on the basics of good banking, in markets we know well, with clients and customers with whom we have deep relationships. We are entering the new year with strong momentum in both of our businesses and the Board remains confident for the year ahead.”

Sir John also said the group’s bonus pool had been reduced by 7% to reflect the group’s performance and the impact of the U.S. fines.

Based on today’s figures, Standard Chartered is valued at 12 times earnings and offers a 3% income.

Of course, whether today’s figures, the current valuation and the general prospects for banks all combine to make Standard Chartered a buy remains your decision.

However, if you already own Standard Chartered shares and are looking for a different investment opportunity, this exclusive in-depth report reviews an attractive alternative.

In fact, the blue chip in question offers a 5.7% income and has just been declared the “Motley Fool’s Top Income Stock For 2013”!

Just click here to download the report — it’s free.

The article Standard Chartered Raises Dividend By 10.5% originally appeared on Fool.com.

Maynard does not own any share mentioned in this article. The Motley Fool owns shares in Standard Chartered.
 The Motley Fool owns shares of STANDARD CHARTERED. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days.

Copyright © 1995 – 2013 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

(function(c,a){window.mixpanel=a;var b,d,h,e;b=c.createElement(“script”);
b.type=”text/javascript”;b.async=!0;b.src=(“https:”===c.location.protocol?”https:”:”http:”)+
‘//cdn.mxpnl.com/libs/mixpanel-2.2.min.js’;d=c.getElementsByTagName(“script”)[0];
d.parentNode.insertBefore(b,d);a._i=[];a.init=function(b,c,f){function d(a,b){
var c=b.split(“.”);2==c.length&&(a=a[c[0]],b=c[1]);a[b]=function(){a.push([b].concat(
Array.prototype.slice.call(arguments,0)))}}var g=a;”undefined”!==typeof f?g=a[f]=[]:
f=”mixpanel”;g.people=g.people||[];h=[‘disable’,’track’,’track_pageview’,’track_links’,
‘track_forms’,’register’,’register_once’,’unregister’,’identify’,’alias’,’name_tag’,
‘set_config’,’people.set’,’people.increment’];for(e=0;e<h.length;e++)d(g,h[e]);
a._i.push([b,c,f])};a.__SV=1.2;})(document,window.mixpanel||[]);
mixpanel.init("9659875b92ba8fa639ba476aedbb73b9");

function addEvent(obj, evType, fn, useCapture){
if (obj.addEventListener){
obj.addEventListener(evType, …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Should I Buy Royal Bank of Scotland or Lloyds Banking Group?

By Roland Head, The Motley Fool

Filed under:

LONDON — Royal Bank of Scotland Group   and Lloyds Banking Group   were both forced into humiliating tax-payer funded bailouts during the financial crisis — and last week, both banks reported hefty losses for 2012, suggesting that they haven’t yet managed to put their problems behind them.

I believe that both banks will eventually recover and that it’s only a question of time until the government sells its shareholdings back into the private sector.

Today, I’m going to look at both banks to see which offers the greater potential for new investors.

RBS vs. Lloyds
I’m going to start with a look at a few key statistics that can be used to provide a quick comparison of these two companies, based on their 2012 results:

  RBS Lloyds
Price to tangible book value 0.69 0.94
Core Tier 1 ratio 10.3% 12%
Group net interest margin 1.93% 1.93%
Group loan to deposit ratio 100% 121%

RBS remains — in theory at least — a strong value play, trading at around 69% of its tangible asset value, whereas Lloyds’ share price has pretty much caught up with its book value, leaving very little upside in this area.

However, both banks are continuing to sell off non-core assets, and RBS especially is likely to do more in this area over the next year, meaning the underlying book value of the business could shrink further.

Looking at the other statistics, Lloyds has moved ahead of RBS with a substantially higher core tier 1 ratio and a stronger group loan to deposit ratio, which gives it the ability to extend its lending when attractive opportunities arise, without compromising the security of its balance sheet.

What’s next?
Are the trends we identified above about to change, or should we expect more of the same?

Analysts’ forecasts are notoriously unreliable, but FTSE 100 companies generally get the benefit of the most comprehensive analysis, and tend to deliver fewer surprises than smaller companies.

With that in mind, let’s take a look at some forward-looking numbers for RBS and Lloyds. These apply to the companies’ 2013 financial years:

  RBS Lloyds
Forecast P/E ratio 12.8 11.3
Forecast dividend yield 0.4% 0.6%
Forecast earnings per share 24p 4.5p

These figures, which are based on the companies’ guidance figures and analysts’ consensus forecasts, suggest that both banks are expected to return to profit in 2013, ending the run of impairments and exceptional charges that drove both of them into the red in 2012.

Analysts are also hoping that dividend payments will begin — although even if it is financially prudent, this will be a politically sensitive subject, and I wouldn’t be surprised if dividends get postponed until 2014.

Which share should I buy?
For me, the main point in buying RBS or Lloyds is because you want to profit from the recovery potential of the shares. If you want to invest in a healthy, dividend-paying bank, then you are more likely to buy BarclaysHSBC, or Standard Chartered instead.

On this basis, I would buy RBS, because its less advanced recovery …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Big banks, under pressure, on defense at Davos

If there is one place bankers should be able to let down their guard a little, you would think it would be at the World Economic Forum in Davos, an exclusive gathering of 2,500 of the globe’s financial and corporate elite.

Yet even here top banking executives found themselves on the defensive. It’s a reflection of how big banks — blamed by some politicians and the public for the 2007 financial crisis and the resulting Great Recession — are still grappling with pressure from recent scandals and moves toward increasingly complex regulation.

During a panel discussion on global finance at the forum, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon criticized the “huge misinformation” about the risks actually posed by banks.

He and other top bankers at the discussion, including UBS chairman Axel Weber, found themselves stressing that that banks play an essential role in making economies grow — by lending to businesses so they can invest and expand.

“Banks continue to lend and grow and expand, finance is a critical part of the how the economy is run,” he said said at an all-star panel where he was challenged both by a top International Monetary Fund official and a hedge fund manager, whose firm is a client of Dimon’s bank.

“Everyone I know is trying to do a very good job for their clients.” Dimon

There have been plenty of negative headlines and investigations over the last year that show banking in a far harsher light: Several top banks are under investigation for rigging key interest rates, HSBC has been fined for allowing money-laundering and Standard Chartered has been penalized for dealing with Iran. Even Dimon’s own bank has suffered an embarrassing $6 billion trading loss on complex derivatives.

All of which has only given ammunition to the critics who say banks are too loosely regulated, too unethical and still so large that their collapse would threaten the economy.

Governments and regulators have moved to clamp down on banks and their risky practices since 2007. In the United States, legislation known as Dodd-Frank seeks to avoid taxpayer-funded bailouts of banks by barring them from engaging in risky trading on their own account. The European Union is considering proposals to have banks separate their riskier investment banking operations from the rest of their business. Meanwhile, the British government is moving toward a different proposal to require banks to “ring-fence” their retail banking within their organization.

Beyond that, banks are also being required to hold more financial padding against possible losses through an international agreement known as Basel III.

However, the push to regulate leaves many dissatisfied. Critics of the banking industry claim that some of the new measures — such as requirements to hold capital buffers against losses — were in fact around ahead of the 2007 crisis but were ineffective as banks found ways around them.

Banks themselves agree that the capital measures are needed, but there are concerned that, because these new rules are often being imposed on a national or regional basis, they can overlap for banks that do business in more than one country. And there is no one global standard that would level the playing field, and prevent banks from simply moving their operations to places that allowed high-risk practices.

Plus the increased costs involved in following the new rules will hit profits and could even shrink the availability of credit.

To add to the mix, the Basel III rules, which have been accepted by both bank critics and bankers, will not come into effect until 2019.

That sense of dissatisfaction about the state of banks and the attempts to regulate them burst through during the Davos global finance panel.

Min Zhu, the deputy managing director of the International Monetary Fund, said the banking industry was “still too big” compared to the size of the global economy. Min also warned that other financial organizations, such as hedge funds, are playing a too-large, too-little regulated role known as “shadow banking” where risky practices that could cause a crisis remain beyond a regulator’s reach.

“All the debate going on, and the financial sector has not changed very much. We’re not safer yet. Five years on, we are still debating whether we have too much or too little regulation,” he said.

“I would say the financial sector has a long way to go.”

Axel Weber, chairman of Swiss bank UBS and former head of Germany‘s central bank, added that global regulators “have clearly made up their minds that banks are too big.”

Dimon complained about “huge misinformation” about the risks posed by banks and that regulators were casting their net too wide, with too many agencies involved.

“We’re trying to do too much too fast,” he said. “Everyone thinks it was one thing that sank the system.”

One skeptic of capital requirements is Edward J. Kane, a professor of finance at Boston College. He believes that big banks would likely find a way to circumvent them, as they did before the crisis by moving risk to off-balance sheet entities, for example — and still had the power to shape regulation in their interests.

“We were told before the crisis that capital requirements on banks would be the medicine that would prevent us from having crises, but they failed,” he told The Associated Press.

A better way to discourage excessive risk-taking, Kane proposes, would be to charge banks a simple premium that reflects what the taxpayer would have to pay in case the bank needs to be bailed out.

“There will always be financial crises,” he said. “Regulators are always outgunned, outcoached and playing from behind. What we can try to do is control the incentives and make the crises less deep.”

____

Christina Rexrode in New York contributed to this article.

Source: FULL ARTICLE at Fox World News