Tag Archives: Burlington Northern

3 Reasons Buffett Should Buy Markel

By Steve Symington, The Motley Fool

BMW X1 EV/Hybrid spy shots

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Shortly after Berkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett spent $12 billion in cash last month to acquire 50% of H.J. Heinz , he told the world he was ready for more.

Of course, there’s certainly reason to believe the man given his past acquisition record; he spent $46.3 billion over the past seven years for Berkshire’s stakes in Iscar, Marmon, Burlington Northern, and Lubrizol.

With that in mind, I noted recently that it might be a good idea for Buffett to shell out some dough to acquire a much smaller financial holding company like Markel .

Source: AP.

Today, I’d like to spend a little more time exploring that thought, so here are three big reasons Markel could be a great fit with Berkshire.

Markel sports a deep bench of management including CEO Alan Kirshner as well as president, CIO, and renowned value investor Tom Gayner. I’ve spent a little time analyzing their words over the last couple months, so I’ll reference you to those previous articles (see here and here) to get an idea of just how effectively they are running their business.

With this in mind, if Berkshire were to purchase Markel with its autonomous leadership team, we could rest assured Buffett would have no problem letting them continue doing what they do best, especially considering what he wrote in his 2009 letter to Berkshire shareholders:

We tend to let our many subsidiaries operate on their own, without our supervising and monitoring them to any degree…Most of our managers, however, use the independence we grant them magnificently, rewarding our confidence by maintaining an owner oriented-attitude that is invaluable and too seldom found in huge organizations.

Additionally, Buffett later went on to shun the inefficiencies of “a stifling bureaucracy” — another stance with which (as I noted back in February) Markel’s Kirshner wholeheartedly agrees.

The best things in life are free
Like Berkshire, Markel also operates a number of insurance subsidiaries, but instead with its current focus primarily resting on traditionally difficult-to-insure niche markets that range from specialty schools to museums, sports leagues, horses, health clubs, boats, and event cancellation (to name just a few). 

In addition, last December, Markel announced its largest acquisition to date in buying rival insurer Alterra , which greatly expands its insurance and reinsurance operations.

So how can this benefit the Oracle of Omaha aside from simply generating additional underwriting profits?

Like Berkshire with Buffett, Markel relies on Gayner’s investing prowess to make the most of its shareholder equity. The big difference, however, is that Berkshire’s massive balance sheet allows Buffett to also invest its insurance float, which gave him more than $73 billion in free money to work with in 2012.

While the added capital from the Alterra deal could very well give Markel the flexibility to eventually do the same on its own going forward, to be able to invest Markel’s shareholder equity and insurance float would be icing on the cake for Buffett and Berkshire.

Investing in the …read more

Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Greenbrier Earnings: An Early Look

By Dan Caplinger, The Motley Fool

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The new earnings season is about to begin, but a few companies on off-quarter fiscal years are just now getting around to reporting their quarterly results. Greenbrier is about to release its quarterly earnings report. The key to making smart investment decisions with stocks releasing their quarterly reports is to anticipate how they’ll do before they announce results, leaving you fully prepared to respond quickly to whatever inevitable surprises arise. That way, you’ll be less likely to make an uninformed knee-jerk reaction to news that turns out to be exactly the wrong move.

Railroads have enjoyed a renaissance in recent years, as high fuel costs have made trains a more energy-efficient way to transport goods. Greenbrier doesn’t run a railroad, but it provides the train-cars and other equipment that railroads need in order to operate. Let’s take an early look at what’s been happening with Greenbrier over the past quarter and what we’re likely to see in its quarterly report on Thursday.

Stats on Greenbrier

Analyst EPS Estimate

$0.37

Change From Year-Ago EPS

(35%)

Revenue Estimate

$442.9 million

Change From Year-Ago Revenue

(3.3%)

Earnings Beats in Past 4 Quarters

3

Source: Yahoo! Finance.

Will Greenbrier run off the rails this quarter?
Analysts have had mixed thoughts about Greenbrier’s earnings prospects in recent months. They reduced their calls for the quarter that ended in February by $0.03 per share, but they upped their full-year fiscal 2013 estimates by the same amount. The stock, meanwhile, has soared, rising nearly 40% just since the beginning of the year.

The big drama for Greenbrier during the last quarter has come from rival American Railcar‘s buyout bid for the company. With activist investor Carl Icahn involved in both companies, American Railcar‘s bid of $20 per share back in December sent Greenbrier shares soaring, and now, Greenbrier’s stock trades well above that figure. Greenbrier CEO William Furman said that he’s open to discussions about consolidation, but so far, no deal has been accepted.

But just last week, Greenbrier gave investors a taste of how much business activity it has seen recently. The company reported that it had gotten orders for 5,400 railcars with a total value of about $575 million. Nearly half of those orders were for tank cars, showing the importance of the energy industry to Greenbrier’s sales. Burlington Northern and Canadian National Railway have both taken advantage of transportation bottlenecks to key energy-producing areas to offer rail-based transport, and Greenbrier stands to benefit from the demand.

The big question is whether pipeline development will end oil and gas producers’ flirtations with rail. Greenbrier thinks producers will stick with rail regardless, and Phillips 66‘s deal to bring Bakken crude by rail to a New Jersey refinery is just the latest in extensive activity to move energy products.

In its quarterly report, watch for updates on the company’s strategic plans, …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

4 Warren Buffett Myths Debunked

By Steve Symington, The Motley Fool

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Thanks to the 14% rally in shares of Berkshire Hathaway so far this year, CEO Warren Buffett has once again overtaken Spanish retail titan Amancio Ortega as the world’s third-richest person. All told, the Oracle of Omaha now has an eye-popping net worth of approximately $54.6 billion.

It’s only natural, then, for people to explore exactly how Buffett amassed his fortune in their efforts to even partially replicate his success. This widespread speculation, however, has resulted in oft-repeated bits of misinformation. As a result, many retail investors fall victim to persistent myths regarding Buffett’s investing style.

Here are five such misconceptions, and why they’re wrong.

Myth No. 1: Buffett hates share buybacks
In reality, Buffett only loathes poorly executed buybacks, and made as much clear in 2011 when Berkshire announced it would be willing to repurchase its shares at a price of up to 110% of book value. Of course, Buffett fans were understandably confused when that happened, considering it was the first time Buffett had declared his willingness to repurchase Berkshire’s shares since he took the helm in 1965.

Later in 2012, folks were even more confused when Buffett repurchased $1.2 billion of Berkhire’s Class A shares at around 116% of book value, simultaneously raising his limit to 1.2 times. So did this move signal a deterioration of Buffett’s long-standing strict criteria for identifying superior investments? Hardly.

In fact, Buffett circumvented the move when he devoted an entire page of Berkshire’s 2011 shareholder letter to explaining his stance on stock repurchases, with the following paragraph summing things up nicely:

Charlie and I favor repurchases when two conditions are met: first, a company has ample funds to take care of the operational and liquidity needs of its business; second, its stock is selling at a material discount to the company’s intrinsic business value, conservatively calculated.

Myth No. 2: Buffett only buys cheap stocks 
I find this widespread assumption especially puzzling knowing Buffett himself is often quoted as saying, “It’s far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price.”

This is exactly how Buffett built his empire and, incidentally, it also helps to reaffirm the notion held by Fool.com co-founder David Gardner that winning businesses tend to keep on winning. That’s not to say Buffett is willing to pay any price for great businesses, but if there’s anyone who knows how to weigh risk versus reward, rest assured it’s him. In the end, the overall quality of the business consistently trumps its price — and rightfully so. 

What’s more, this misconception becomes even more apparent each time Buffett uses Berkshire to acquire new businesses. Sure enough, financial pundits around the world wondered whether Buffett had lost his marbles in 2009 when Berkshire spent $26.3 billion to buy the remaining shares of Burlington Northern at a 30% premium to their value at the time.

More recently, the world thought Uncle Warren went crazy again when Berkshire and 3G Capital acquired Heinz …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

This Has Been a Huge Win for Buffett

By Steve Symington, The Motley Fool

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Since Warren Buffett released his annual letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders earlier this month, I’ve spent some time dissecting the world-famous CEO‘s unsurprisingly eloquent words of wisdom.

First, I explored the value of Buffett’s relatively hidden series of bolt-on acquisitions. After all, while it may seem crazy that any company could quietly spend $2.3 billion to absorb 26 distinct, profitable businesses into its existing operations in a single year, Berkshire managed to do just that in 2012.

Next, I noted Buffett’s propensity for outperforming the broader market over the long haul, thanks (in Buffett’s words) not just to Berkshire’s “outstanding businesses, a cadre of terrific operating managers, and a shareholder-oriented culture,” but also largely to the company’s incredible ability to effectively function as a defensive stock.

Let’s talk about the big boys
Now, we’re going to take a look at an excerpt from Buffett’s letter in which he highlights the strengths of some of Berkshire’s larger “outstanding businesses”:

Last year I told you that BNSF, Iscar, Lubrizol, Marmon Group and MidAmerican Energy — our five most profitable non-insurance companies — were likely to earn more than $10 billion pre-tax in 2012. They delivered. Despite tepid U.S. growth and weakening economies throughout much of the world, our “powerhouse five” had aggregate earnings of $10.1 billion, about $600 million more than in 2011. Of this group, only MidAmerican, then earning $393 million pre-tax, was owned by Berkshire eight years ago.

Buffett goes on to note the $9.7 billion gain in annual earnings delivered to Berkshire by the five companies was “accompanied by only minor dilution,” thanks to the fact that three of the five businesses were acquired on an all-cash basis. The fifth, of course, was Burlington Northern, of which 70% was paid for in cash with the remainder covered by newly issued Berkshire shares, which increased the amount outstanding by 6.1%. 

Sure enough, here’s yet another example that Buffett knews what the heck he was doing when he acquired five huge, solidly profitable companies to the benefit of Berkshire shareholders with little dilution. Of course, that’s not to mention Buffett has also been actively working to reverse at least some of that dilution, most notably through the company’s recent substantial share buybacks.

Even still, let’s put things in perspective by digging a little deeper to see just how effective these acquisitions have been. In addition to owning 89.8% of MidAmerican, here’s the skinny on Buffett’s remaining aforementioned purchases, circa the end of 2011:

  • May, 2006: Purchased an 80% stake in Iscar for $4 billion in cash.
  • December 2007: Acquired 64% of Marmon Holdings for $4.8 billion in cash.
  • November, 2009: Acquired the remaining stake of BNSF for $26.3 billion in cash and stock.
  • March, 2011: Acquired Lubrizol for $9 billion in cash, at the same time assuming $700 million of its debt.
  • In “early” 2011: Acquired an additional 16% of Marmon for approximately $1.5 billion, bring Berkshire’s stake to 80%.

When we consider the fact …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Buffett Wins Big From Railroad Crude Shipments

By Arjun Sreekumar, The Motley Fool

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While the North American energy boom has boosted oil and gas production to record levels, companies have run into major difficulties with respect to transport. Major oil production centers, like North Dakota‘s Bakken Shale and Alberta’s oil sands, remain grossly underserved by pipelines.

Largely as a result of this state, prices for crude oil extracted from these locations have been severely depressed. Until very recently, Bakken crude traded at a substantial discount to the main domestic crude benchmark, West Texas Intermediate (WTI), while crude produced from Canada‘s oil sands continues to trade at a nearly $30 discount to WTI.

But energy companies are highly resourceful. Spotting the tremendous opportunity in these wide price disparities, they’ve increasingly turned toward other methods of transporting crude oil. Even legendary investor Warren Buffett is cashing in on this trend.

Let’s take a look at how some of these alternative transport options are quickly displacing pipelines as the main source of outbound capacity from key North American resource plays.

Buffett rides the rails to profits
Over the past year or so, one of the most intriguing developments in the energy space with regard to oil and gas transportation has been the accelerated use of railcars and barges. Warren Buffett is one of the more famous investors to have reaped the rewards from this trend, through his purchase of Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corp., one of the largest railroad companies in the U.S.

When he bought Burlington Northern back in 2009, he said the investment was a bet on the future of the the railroad industry and the company itself, but also a bet on the future direction of the U.S. economy. Given the rapid rise in the importance of rail transport in shipping crude oil, it turned out to be a great decision. Of the nearly 750,000 barrels per day of crude oil produced in the Bakken in October last year, an estimated 52% was transported via rail, as compared to 38% through pipelines.

Railroads displacing pipelines in Bakken
As the biggest rail-car shipper in the Bakken, Burlington Northern continues to enjoy high demand for crude oil shipments, which more than offset declines in coal shipment volumes. By the end of this year, the company expects to increase crude oil shipments by some 40% to 700,000 barrels per day. Burlington’s outlook highlights the fact that rail transport has quickly gained competitiveness against pipelines.

While shipment costs for rail tend to be higher, it offers greater flexibility and can transport oil to distant markets that are inaccessible via pipeline. Railcars have become so popular in the Bakken, in fact, that they are now giving Enbridge‘s North Dakota pipeline system a run for its money.

In recent months, Enbridge’s pipeline system, which can move some 210,000 barrels a day from Minot, N.D., to Clearbrook, Minn., has been losing volumes to railcars. According to a company spokesman, Enbridge is “seeing reduced volumes on our North Dakota system as some producers …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance