Tag Archives: Ultra Petroleum

Why the Rest of the World Can't Keep Up With America's Energy Renaissance

By Tyler Crowe, The Motley Fool

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The U.S. energy renaissance has been one of the bright spots in American industry, and its success has also brought an unforeseen boom in manufacturing. Much of the recent boom has been from unconventional sources such as shale, a resource that wasn’t even mentioned in the Energy Information Administration‘s Energy Outlook Report 10 years ago. Today, it accounts for more than 30% of total natural gas production in the United States.

We aren’t the only ones with reserves, but we harnessed these unconventional sources effectively and economically, and we did it faster than any other country. According to a panel of experts at the 2013 Energy Forward Conference, only China will be able to effectively match the U.S. in terms of shale gas production for 10 to 15 years.

Let’s take a look at a few reasons we won the shale gas race. 

Regulations and governmental structure
Unlike many other countries around the world, the U.S. has a robust system that protects individual property and patents. According to a Wells Fargo panelist at the 2013 Energy Forward Conference, the U.S. is one of the few countries in the world where an individual landowner has mineral rights for anything found on his or her property, and contract rights can be structured for extraction from that individual landowner.

This negotiation process with multiple stakeholders fosters a competitive environment for drilling companies to be as efficient as possible and create the highest rate of return. In the case of most other countries, a drilling company will need to negotiate with a regulatory body for a petroleum contract that will regulate the amount of costs it can recover from drilling operations, and all land negotiations will need to go through that regulatory body, according to Robert Beck of Anadarko Petroleum.

Another reason that shale gas development has not as quickly developed is a lack of clear patent protection laws, especially in China. While both Schlumberger and Haliburton have expressed an interest in developing Chinese shale gas, a lack of intellectual-property protection has them hesitant to going all in. Rather, both companies have taken minority interests in smaller, Chinese-based companies and plan to take orders of drilling fluids and equipment. These kinds of moves are not necessary in the U.S. and have allowed companies to protect and profit from their expertise.

Costs
Much of the technology that sparked gas boom got started years ago, but it wasn’t until around 2009 when it really took off as a viable source of production.

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration.

At that time, natural gas prices were high, and the cost for using new drilling technology was still economically feasible. Even though natural gas prices fell for the next couple of years, gas companies got very good at finding high-probability sites for wells and reducing well completion costs. From 2006 to 2012, gas specialist Ultra Petroleum reduced drilling costs by 30%. Today, the average shale gas well costs somewhere in the range of $3 million to $4 million. 

According

From: http://www.dailyfinance.com/2013/04/14/why-the-rest-of-the-world-cant-keep-up-with-americ/

What's Driving the Natural Gas Rally?

By Arjun Sreekumar, The Motley Fool

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If you haven’t noticed, natural gas prices have soared over the past month and a half, helping reverse a lengthy decline that began in the summer of 2011. Gas futures in New York settled at a 20-month high on Friday, led by colder-than-expected weather that helped reduce stockpiles below the five-year average for the first time since 2011.

Cold weather erases stockpile surplus
March saw uncharacteristically strong demand for home heating because of unusually chilly temperatures. The trend is expected to continue, with MDA Weather Services, a provider of meteorological forecasts, predicting colder-than-usual temperatures in the north-central states and hotter-than-usual weather for Texas and the Southeast for next week.

In the week ended March 29, the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported that 94 billion cubic feet, or bcf, of natural gas were withdrawn from underground storage, exceeding Wall Street‘s consensus for a draw of 92 bcf. That pushed the amount of working gas in storage down to 1.687 trillion cubic feet, or tcf, a decrease of 779 bcf from a year earlier and 37 bcf below the five-year average.

In addition to bullish storage data, gas price gains accelerated following the release of Baker Hughes‘ rig count data, which indicated that the number of rigs drilling for natural gas fell by 14 to end the week at 375 — the lowest level since May 1999.  

According to Johan Spetz, an analyst at Goldman Sachs, gas prices will have to rise further in the second half of the year to spur production growth. According to his calculations, prices will need to average about $4.50 per thousand cubic feet in the latter half of the year to balance the market.  

Winners and losers
If prices do end up moving higher still, some low-cost natural gas producers stand to see further gains. One company worth keeping an eye on is Ultra Petroleum , a pure-play gas producer whose stock price closely tracks the price of natural gas; since mid-February, shares are up almost 30%.

Ultra was one of the lowest-cost producers last year, with all-in costs of roughly $3 per thousand cubic feet equivalent, less than half the industry average of $6.31. If gas prices rise further, its Pinedale Field and Marcellus assets will become even more profitable — a catalyst that’s sure to send the company’s stock higher.

Some companies are already reacting to the surge in gas prices by resuming or ramping up gas drilling. For instance, Encana announced in February that it plans to increase the number of rigs it has running in the Haynesville shale by three this year, because of the play’s improved profitability.

Others, however, are opting to wait till prices rise much higher before they divert their resources away from liquids-rich plays.

For instance, Chesapeake Energy recently announced that it has no plans to resume drilling in gassier plays and is instead opting to ramp up operations in the oil-rich Eagle Ford play. Similarly, …read more

Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Are We in a Natural Gas Bull Market?

By Joel South and Taylor Muckerman, The Motley Fool

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After hitting record lows last year, natural gas prices are finally moving higher, with storage volume levels 32% lower compared with the same time last year. Natural gas production also continues to be curtailed, with drilling rigs receding 36% year over year. 

Gas prices are currently hovering around $4 per MMbtu, more than double the price from last April. Does this mean we’re now in the throes of a natural gas bull market? Check out the following video for more information in addition to a few recommendations on ways investors can profit from the rise in gas prices.

There are many different ways to play the energy sector, and The Motley Fool’s analysts have uncovered an under-the-radar company that’s dominating its industry. This company is a leading provider of equipment and components used in drilling and production operations and is poised to profit in a big way from it. To get the name and detailed analysis of this company that will prosper for years to come, check out the special free report: “The Only Energy Stock You’ll Ever Need.” Don’t miss out on this limited-time offer and your opportunity to discover this company before the market does. Click here to access your report — it’s totally free.

The article Are We in a Natural Gas Bull Market? originally appeared on Fool.com.


Joel South owns shares of Devon Energy. Taylor Muckerman has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Ultra Petroleum, owns shares of Devon Energy and Ultra Petroleum, and has options on Ultra Petroleum. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don’t all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 – 2013 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

What Pulled the Dow Back From the Brink Today

By Dan Caplinger, The Motley Fool

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The 170-point opening plunge for the Dow Jones Industrials raised many fears that the long-awaited correction for the U.S. stock market was finally at hand. Coming on the heels of an extremely disappointing jobs report, the Dow’s decline showed that fears of overall economic weakness were finally starting to break the complacent attitude that most investors have maintained, even through the Cypriot banking crisis, and other more remote global economic difficulties. Yet, by the end of the day, that fear had apparently subsided, and the Dow closed with a loss of just 41 points.

A couple of Dow stocks even managed sizable gains on the day. Boeing jumped 1.4% on news of another successful test flight in its attempt to get its 787 Dreamliner back in the air after battery problems grounded the aircraft back in January. According to a press release, today’s flight completed the necessary final certification test for the battery system, and now, the company will gather and analyze data, and work with the FAA in hopes of getting the Dreamliner up and flying again as soon as possible.

JPMorgan Chase also defied the Dow decline, rising nearly 1%. Late in the day, a Bloomberg report cited a draft copy of legislation that would require JPMorgan and other major banks with assets of $400 billion or more to hold higher amounts of capital than standards under the Basel III accord. With some lawmakers citing the competitive advantages that big banks have over their smaller rivals as justifying the higher capital standards, JPMorgan will face substantial political resistance if it tries to extricate itself from the higher standards.

Finally, several energy companies did well today, with oil and gas exploration company Ultra Petroleum soaring more than 7%, and Arch Coal rising more than 5%. Speculation that natural gas prices may have finally bottomed out lifted several smaller nat-gas producers in the space, which have suffered for a long time from a glut of the clean-burning fuel. Meanwhile, Arch Coal and other coal producers have hoped for nat-gas to return to more sustainable levels, because rising gas prices could end the trend among utility customers to switch from coal to gas, and therefore boost demand and prices for coal. Even with prices having risen to nearly $4 from around $1.80 last April, natural gas could have further to run on the upside.

With big banks like JPMorgan still trading at deep discounts to their historic norms, investors everywhere are wondering if this is the new normal, or whether finance stocks are a screaming buy today. The answer is different for each bank, so to help figure out whether JPMorgan is a buy today, I invite you to read our premium research report on the company today. Click here now for instant access!

…read more

Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Strong Quarter for Natural Gas

By Joel South and Taylor Muckerman, The Motley Fool

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Late-season cold weather has helped to reduce the levels of natural gas in storage, and this combined with receding production has brought natural gas prices up by 16% in the past month, which is a huge win for natural gas producers and their investors. In this video, Motley Fool energy analysts Joel South and Taylor Muckerman give investors the names of a few low-cost natural gas producers that are poised to lock in some of the best returns in the industry from these climbing natural gas prices.

There are many different ways to play the energy sector, and The Motley Fool‘s analysts have uncovered an under-the-radar company that’s dominating its industry. This company is a leading provider of equipment and components used in drilling and production operations and poised to profit in a big way from it. To get the name and detailed analysis of this company that will prosper for years to come, check out the special free report: “The Only Energy Stock You’ll Ever Need.” Don’t miss out on this limited-time offer and your opportunity to discover this under-the-radar company before the market does. Click here to access your report — it’s totally free.

The article Strong Quarter for Natural Gas originally appeared on Fool.com.


Joel South and Taylor Muckerman have no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Range Resources. It recommends and owns shares of Ultra Petroleum and has the following options: long Jan. 2014 $30 calls, long Jan. 2014 $40 calls, and long Jan. 2014 $50 calls. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 – 2013 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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3 Attractive Natural Gas Acquisition Targets

By Tyler Crowe, The Motley Fool

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Several major integrated oil and gas companies are in a rough spot — they just can’t seem to meet production goals. In 2013, ExxonMobil expects total production to decline by about 1%, and it isn’t the only one hurting. The one distinct advantage these big oil companies have is a mountain of cash to buy a company or two. It is the fastest way to get a boost in production without rolling the dice on a new speculative play.

The one risk a company has with an acquisition is that it could overpay for the asset, and then the production gains would be offset by the price tag. Let’s take a look at a simple calculation that can help evaluate the value of a company, and then see what natural gas companies could be had for a deep discount.

Getting bang for your buck
While there are certainly some very complicated methods for evaluating an energy company, a quick and dirty method is to see how the enterprise value of the company (all equity and debt minus cash) compares to the total proved reserves on the company’s books. For example, when BHP Billiton bought independent gas company Petrohawk back in 2011, it paid $12.1 billion for a company that had 3.4 trillion cubic feet of natural gas in proven reserves. This means that the company paid about $3.55 per thousand cubic feet of natural gas for the company’s reserves. Based on an S&P Capital IQ screen of exploration and production companies with a total enterprise value of $1 billion-$15 billion, an average company in this space would have an enterprise value per thousand cubic feet equivalent of $6.65. So based on this metric, its seems as though BHP got a pretty good deal.

Since oil and gas price spreads have deviated so far from a BTU-equivalency basis, its not as effective to use this metric when evaluating oil-heavy companies. If you want to do your own calculations, be sure to use per-barrel oil equivalency for oil-heavy companies. Also, If you want to see a couple liquids-heavy assets that could be acquisition targets, click here. Based on this calculation, here are three natural gas companies trading at a deep discount:

Ultra Petroleum
Ultra certainly hasn’t seen any love lately. Natural gas prices have fallen, and so has the share price of Ultra. Despite being one of the low-cost producers in the space, Ultra has an enterprise value per thousand cubic feet equivalent of about $1.67. Not only is the company valued much lower than its peers, but it’s value is less than half of what a thousand cubic feet of natural gas trades for at the Henry Hub spot price. 

What is even more surprising about this low price tag is that the company may be sitting on much, much more gas than what is on its proven reserves. The company has just barely begun to tap its 260,000 acres in the Marcellus Shale, …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

3 Attractive Acquisition Targets for Oil Majors

By Tyler Crowe, The Motley Fool

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For a major oil and gas company to meet its production growth targets, it takes a lot of capital and a little luck. If it can’t meet those production goals through exploration, the company may go out and buy a company or two. For example, when ExxonMobil wanted to get in on the shale plays in Alberta last year, it bought Celtic Exploration for $2.6 billion. The deal bolstered the company’s holdings in the area by about 139 million barrels of oil equivalent of proved and probable reserves, a much-needed boost for a company that has struggled to meet its production goals as of late.

Like investors, major oil companies are always looking to get value out of their purchases. Today, let’s look at a way to value a company for an acquisition and see if there are any companies that could be on he block for potential buyout.

Getting bang for your buck
While there are certainly some very complicated methods for evaluating an energy company, a quick and dirty method is to see how the enterprise value of the company (all equity and debt minus cash) compares to the total proved reserves on the company’s books. For example, Berry Petroleum , which was just acquired by LINN Energy for a final price tag of $4.3 billion, had just over 274 million barrels of oil equivalent in proved reserves. This means that the company paid about $15.33 per barrel of oil equivalent for the company’s reserves. Based on an S&P Capital IQ screen of exploration and production companies with a total enterprise value between $4 billion and $45 billion, an average company in this space would have an enterprise value per barrel of oil equivalent of $21.53. So based on this metric, it appears that LINN didn’t overpay for this asset.

There is also one thing to consider when using a metric like this. Companies evaluate barrel of oil equivalents based on a BTU equivalency, but gas and oil spot prices trade at very different rates than this basis. For example, a gas-heavy company like Ultra Petroleum would have a value of about $9.69 per barrel of oil equivalent. This is misleading because over 95% of its reserves are in gas. Keep this in mind if you do this kind of calculation on your own.

Using this method for evaluating companies, let’s take a look at a couple companies that could be selling at a deep discount.

Devon Energy
Some people might see Devon’s $11 billion in debt as a little too much bulk for a $28 billion. But with an enterprise value of $8.97 per barrel of oil equivalent, Devon could be a great deal for someone who wants a well-diversified portfolio. Overall, Devon itself is pretty well-diversified, with about 47% of proven reserves in oil and natural gas liquids. One of the possible reasons for the lower price tag may be that the company has 68% of all its proven …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Will the Niobrara Be a Boom or a Bust for Oil Companies?

By Matthew DiLallo, The Motley Fool

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The Niobrara Formation, which is found mainly in Colorado and Wyoming, has been touted by some companies as potentially having more oil than the Bakken, while others have found it to be a complete bust. This presents a problem to the many natural gas producers that are turning to the play in hopes of diversifying their revenue into more lucrative oil and natural gas liquids. Listen to these emerging players talk about the potential of the play and you’ll hear some very mixed signals. Why is the play a bust for some and a boom for others?

The big busts
First, let’s take a look at some of the big busts. Ultra Petroleum was really hoping that the Niobrara would add some liquids production growth to the company’s natural-gas-heavy portfolio. Unfortunately, the Niobrara isn’t turning out to be the solution. On the company’s last earnings call, CEO Michael Watford said:

In Colorado’s DJ Basin, our results in the Niobrara have been disappointing. Although our core and log data indicate the presence of oil in the rocks, the petroleum system is immature, under-pressured and not commercial. This has been verified by completion of test results from both a vertical and a horizontal well. Ultra assembled 139,000 low-cost acres and deployed it over the past two years and has no significant lease expirations until 2014. We’ll continue to monitor industry activity in the region but have no immediate plans for additional exploration in the area.

It turns out that it’s not the only company having trouble in the Niobrara. Rex Energy , a driller focused on the Marcellus and Utica, had also built up a position in the region only to drill a couple of duds. The company entered the DJ Basin in 2010 and was optimistic when giving the initial results of wells in close proximity to the acreage it was building up. Unfortunately, two years later it had written down most of the value of its acquired acreage and was looking to unload it. What happened is that it drilled two non-commercial wells and saw better opportunities to deploy capital within its current portfolio. Such are the risks of energy exploration.

The booms?
Other companies, like Quicksilver Resources , see great potential in its Niobrara acreage. It’s not alone; it recently closed an acquisition and exploration agreement with Shell  that covers 320,000 acres and an area of mutual interest that covers 850,000 acres. Quicksilver not only picked up some cash in the deal but it also picked up a world-class partner. It’s also looking to further de-risk its acreage by signing on another third-party joint venture partner to help further fund its development. Quicksilver is very optimistic about the play and sees the Shell venture as validation of its efforts that this play will pan out. 

Shell’s not the only energy giant that’s looking for big things from the Niobrara. ConocoPhillips has amassed 130,000 acres in what it …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

3 Lessons From the Natural Gas Revolution

By Tyler Crowe, The Motley Fool

CHK Chart

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The shale gas revolution in the U.S. has rocked the energy industry like a hurricane, and in its wake there have been a lot of lessons we have learned along the way. With natural gas prices stabilizing and some natural gas producers eking out profits again, it seems as good of a time as ever to reflect on what the boom in natural gas has taught us about the energy space. Let’s look at three lessons that should shape the industry for the next couple years to come.

1. Take a deep breath and pace yourself. We could also call this lesson “Ode to Chesapeake Energy “, because it serves as the quintessential example of what not to do. When horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing proved to be a viable way to access scores of shale gas, exploration and production companies bought exploration leases from anyone within earshot of a shale play. In doing so, they put themselves in a bit of trouble because they broke three crucial rules:

  • Don’t outpurchase your production: When an E&P company leases energy rights, they have a certain time window to start producing and need to continue producing or risk losing the lease. With so much new land and not enough capital to drill, several gas companies, including Cheaspeake and Enerplus , have walked away from gas leases, taking a loss on the original purchase.
  • Don’t outproduce your infrastructure: What makes natural gas more difficult than oil is the ability to transport and store gas. Many companies have resorted to to flaring off gas because they have no means of transporting it. The most glaring example is in the Bakken, where the Energy Information Administration reports that more than one-third of all natural gas produced in the region is flared off.
  • Don’t flood the market: With so much production and so little takeaway capacity, natural gas prices fell through the floor. Last April, the Henry Hub spot price hit a 10-year low, thanks in large part to copious amounts of natural gas that hit the market. Natural gas companies such as Chesapeake, Ultra Petroleum, and EXCO Resources all saw their share prices tumble with gas prices as well.

CHK data by YCharts.

What was so devastating was that companies couldn’t slow down production enough to break the cycle, so it took until rock-bottom last April before production slowed enough to stabilize prices. Now, prices are slowly inching back up. Let’s hope companies will learn some patience when expanding into newer speculative plays.

. The U.S. has some inherent disadvantages against global competitors. We have a mature consumer market with relatively high manufacturing costs. Surprisingly, though, the emergence of cheap natural gas has emerged as a strong competitive advantage for the United States. Many might point directly to production increases, but what is just as important is America’s method for pricing natural gas. The U.S. is one of the very few countries in the world that dictates natural gas prices based on a spot price. Much of Europe …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Natural Gas Prices Surging: Invest Here?

By Joel South and Taylor Muckerman, The Motley Fool

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Natural gas prices are trading up around 30% this month, with April futures nipping at the $4-per-million-BTU mark not seen since the end of 2011. The late winter weather helped lower the weekly storage level by 18.5% year over year, but should we expect prices to move back toward $3 per million BTU once seasonal spring weather sets in?

Not likely. With record low gas prices in 2012, natural gas producers started withdrawing capital away from drilling natural gas wells and shutting down or overhauling rigs to tackle oil liquids plays. Total natural gas land rigs have been diminishing sharply since October, with March’s total gas rig count down 34.9% year over year, according to Baker Hughes.

With both small and large gas players moving capital away from dry gas wells for the past year and a half, gas prices should increase for two reasons. The first is entry time to recommit to drilling gas wells. It takes an incredible amount time to deal with labor, rig, and lease holding contracts. According to Ultra Petroleum Chairman and CEO Mike Watford, once capital is removed, gas prices become sticky, since companies are hesitant to recommit money and secure new contracts and get new drilling permits until natural gas prices are high enough to support re-entry for the long term.

Second, outside the view of low-cost natural gas producers, most E&P companies are focusing production on oil plays, and with crude prices ensuring healthy profits, no incentive remains for new entrants into the U.S. natural gas market. Natural gas insiders and analysts believe prices will stabilize between $4 and $5 dollars in North America for the long term, which will supply healthy margins for low-cost natural gas producers.

In the following video, Motley Fool energy analyst Joel South speaks with Taylor Muckerman about a few of his favorite low-cost natural gas players in this space.

With the swelling of the global middle class, energy consumption will skyrocket over the next few decades, so long-term investors know that you want exposure to this space now. We’ve picked one incredible natural gas company that presents a rare “double-play” investment opportunity today. We’re calling it “The One Energy Stock You Must Own Before 2014,” and you can uncover it today, totally free, in our premium research report. Click here to read more.

The article Natural Gas Prices Surging: Invest Here? originally appeared on Fool.com.


Joel South and Taylor Muckerman have no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Range Resources and Ultra Petroleum, owns shares of Ultra Petroleum, and has options on Ultra Petroleum. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don’t all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Will These Companies Be Crushed by Debt?

By Taylor Muckerman and Joel South, The Motley Fool

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Spending hundreds of millions to billions of dollars simply to maintain growth is a key characteristic of much of the energy and materials space. Due to shareholder expectations, companies that aren’t generating cash from operations typically turn to debt or equity sales. Each of the four companies discussed in the video below has driven up its debt levels to heights that worry Motley Fool analyst Taylor Muckerman.

Two companies on the wrong side of the fence
Of the four companies, two materials companies worry him the most. AK Steel is trying to survive in the maligned United States steel industry, and Berry Plastics is finding it tough to overcome interest expenses stemming from acquisition-related debt. Both of these companies need to figure out a way to right their ship, and quickly.

Will a natural gas rebound bail these producers out?
Two natural gas prices also “passed” Taylor’s screen, and he believes they have a chance to rebound along with natural gas prices. Writedowns in 2012 forced Ultra Petroleum and Quicksilver Resources into precarious situations, but with prices climbing, these companies should be fine.

High debt levels have led Chesapeake Energy to sell assets. Could the companies above follow suit? Energy investors would be hard-pressed to find another company trading at a deeper discount than Chesapeake Energy. Its share price depreciated after negative news surfaced concerning the company’s management and spiraling debt picture. While the debt issues still persist, giant steps have been taken to help mitigate the problems. To learn more about Chesapeake and its enormous potential, you’re invited to check out The Motley Fool‘s brand-new premium report on the company. Simply click here now to access your copy.

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Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Will Shorts Be Burned by This Natural Gas Company?

By Matt DiLallo, The Motley Fool

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Investors in natural gas exploration and production company Ultra Petroleum‘s have had a rough couple of years. These investors once basked in the natural gas-fueled rally that saw Ultra’s shares soar more than 6,000% from 2001 to 2008. Many of those same investors were later badly burned as natural gas prices collapsed, sending the company’s shares down nearly 80% since hitting its peak in the summer of 2008.

Some of those same investors are now betting against the company. With the price of natural gas stuck below $4, these investors see continued tough times for the company. At last count, short interest stood at 13.8%. But should investors really be hating this natural gas company?

Why it’s hated
Few companies are more levered to natural gas than Ultra Petroleum. While many of its peers are now focusing on oil and liquids plays, Ultra’s focus continues be on developing its long-life natural gas reserves in the Pinedale and Jonah fields as well as continuing the exploration of the Marcellus shale. Investors shorting the stock don’t believe this is the right path, given the continued low price of natural gas.  

It also didn’t help that it’s exploration in Colorado’s Denver-Julesburg Basin has been a disappointment. According to CEO Michael Watford: “Although our core and log data indicate the presence of oil in the rocks, the petroleum system is immature, under-pressured, and not commercial. … We’ll continue to monitor industry activity in the region but have no immediate plans for additional exploration in the area.” The company built up 139,000 acres in the play and will now turn its exploration capital elsewhere.

The final concern here is the company’s debt. At just under $2 billion, that’s still a lot of debt for a company with a market capitalization of about $3 billion. A further concern here is that until recently, the company was outspending its income. While the company has pulled back the reins on its spending and is now cash flow-positive, investors see a company that lacks flexibility in the face of depressed natural gas prices.

Why it should be loved
The good news, though, is that Ultra is one of the lowest-cost producers of natural gas. The company breaks even at $3 gas, whereas many of its competitors need gas to be north of $6 to turn a profit. With its costs so low, it can drill for gas when its peers can’t. Further, Ultra estimates that it has 17 trillion cubic feet equivalent of future reserves on 4,600 future drilling locations.

Some of its most promising acres are in the Marcellus shale, where it has very strong partners in Anadarko Petroleum and Royal Dutch Shell  to help it along the way. While partnering can be a blessing and a curse, in this case we’re talking about world-class partners. In the short-term, though, the company won’t be doing much work with either company as its Shell venture in …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance