Tag Archives: Tempur Pedic

Is Select Comfort's Stock Destined for Greatness?

By Alex Planes, The Motley Fool

Filed under:

Investors love stocks that consistently beat the Street without getting ahead of their fundamentals and risking a meltdown. The best stocks offer sustainable market-beating gains, with robust and improving financial metrics that support strong price growth. Does Select Comfort fit the bill? Let’s take a look at what its recent results tell us about its potential for future gains.

What we’re looking for
The graphs you’re about to see tell Select Comfort‘s story, and we’ll be grading the quality of that story in several ways:

  • Growth: Are profits, margins, and free cash flow all increasing?
  • Valuation: Is share price growing in line with earnings per share?
  • Opportunities: Is return on equity increasing while debt to equity declines?
  • Dividends: Are dividends consistently growing in a sustainable way?

What the numbers tell you
Now, let’s take a look at Select Comfort‘s key statistics:

Source: SCSS Total Return Price data by YCharts.

Passing Criteria

3-Year* Change 

Grade

Revenue growth > 30%

71.8%

Pass

Improving profit margin

(78.1%)

Fail

Free cash flow growth > Net income growth

(19.2%) vs. 119.7%

Fail

Improving EPS

77.9%

Pass

Stock growth (+ 15%) < EPS growth

183.7% vs. 77.9%

Fail

Source: YCharts. * Period begins at end of Q4 2009.

Source: SCSS Return on Equity data by YCharts.

Passing Criteria

3-Year* Change

Grade

Improving return on equity

(41.8%) **

Fail

Declining debt to equity

(100%)

Pass

Source: YCharts. * Period begins at end of Q4 2009.
** Begins at Q4 2010 due to abnormally high starting value in 2009.

How we got here and where we’re going
Despite significant growth on some metrics, Select Comfort‘s had a hard time justifying its share price of late — which may explain why shares have fallen so far in the past few months. At three of seven passing grades, Select Comfort‘s performance definitely leaves room for improvement. For curious investors, the question is: will that improvement happen in 2013? If not now, when?

Select Comfort‘s been tossing and turning uncomfortably all year. Its latest agony, which arrived last month, warned of a short-term sales weakness that resulted in big profit target cuts on Wall Street. Despite the worry, Select Comfort‘s forward P/E is an even 10  as of this writing, and could easily slip into single digits on one underwhelming day. Keep in mind, also, that the average $1.85 price target cited last month is still a 35% increase over 2012’s result.

That makes Select Comfort, surprisingly, the best bargain by far in the shrinking mattress segment. An acquisition last year left only Tempur-Pedic and Mattress Firm remaining to contend with Select Comfort, and at present both have P/E’s more than twice as high as that of the maker of Sleep Number beds. This is a bit surprising, as the last time I examined Tempur-Pedic, it was the best value, and part of that rationale was that its growth rates were reportedly lower than Select Comfort‘s. …read more

Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Why Mattress Firm Shares Jumped

By Jeremy Bowman, The Motley Fool

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Although we don’t believe in timing the market or panicking over market movements, we do like to keep an eye on big changes — just in case they’re material to our investing thesis.

What: Shares of Mattress Firm Holding were springing higher today, gaining as much as 13% after providing promising 2013 guidance in its quarterly report.

So what: Despite today’s gain, It wasn’t exactly a great quarter for Mattress Firm. Adjusted earnings per share fell from $0.56 to $0.30, and although revenue grew 37% in the quarter, that growth came entirely from new and acquired stores as same-store sales fell by 1.6%. The results missed expectations on both top and bottom lines. EPS guidance of $1.90 to $1.98 for 2013 was within range of estimates, while revenue guidance of $1.24 to $1.25 billion was ahead by about 3%.

Now what: The earnings report won Mattress Firm an upgrade from The Street from sell to hold based on strong revenue growth and solid return on equity, and Raymond James also upgraded the stock to “outperform” from “market perform.” Citigroup noted that sales could increase by more than expected as mattress prices continue to go up. The upside revenue guidance was enough to bring shares of industry rivals Tempur-Pedic and Select Comfort up significantly. Still, I’d remain wary of these companies, as the industry is extremely competitive and the durable nature of mattresses means that any meaningful innovation is likely to be copied before it reaches most consumers.

Don’t miss the next update on Mattress Firm. Add the stock to your Watchlist by clicking right here.

The article Why Mattress Firm Shares Jumped originally appeared on Fool.com.

Fool contributor Jeremy Bowman has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of Citigroup and Tempur-Pedic International. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don’t all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 – 2013 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Mattress Firm Earnings: An Early Look

By Dan Caplinger, The Motley Fool

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Earnings season is just about over, with almost all companies already having reported their quarterly results. But there are still a few companies left to report, and Mattress Firm is about to release its quarterly earnings report.

The key to making smart investment decisions with stocks releasing their quarter reports is to anticipate how they’ll do before they announce results, leaving you fully prepared to respond quickly to whatever inevitable surprises arise. That way, you’ll be less likely to make an uninformed, knee-jerk reaction to news that turns out to be exactly the wrong move.

Few businesses sound simpler than selling mattresses, but Mattress Firm burst onto the scene in late 2011 to plenty of hoopla and immediate share-price gains. Since then, though, the business has cooled off. Let’s take an early look at what’s been happening with Mattress Firm over the past quarter and what we’re likely to see in its quarterly report on Tuesday.

Stats on Mattress Firm

 

 

Analyst EPS Estimate

$0.32

Change From Year-Ago EPS

(49%)

Revenue Estimate

$261.5 million

Change From Year-Ago Revenue

39%

Earnings Beats in Past 4 Quarters

4

Source: Yahoo! Finance.

Will Mattress Firm stay solid this quarter?
Over the past few months, analysts haven’t budged on their calls for Mattress Firm‘s earnings, either for the just-ended quarter or for the fiscal 2014 year. The stock, though, has moved sharply higher, rising nearly 30% since mid-December.

Mattress Firm came public during a time of huge growth for the mattress industry. But after timing its IPO to perfection, Mattress Firm and its industry peers ran into tough times. Rival Tempur-Pedic lost nearly half its value in a single day last June after slashing its earnings guidance by nearly a third. Select Comfort followed suit shortly thereafter with its own troubles, although its stock didn’t fall as much as Tempur-Pedic’s did because its business held up somewhat better. Even as recently as December, Mattress Firm cited weak conditions in cutting back on its outlook for the full 2013 fiscal year.

Since then, though, improving conditions in the economy could spell relief for Mattress Firm and its peers. Tempur-Pedic decided last September to gain exposure to the lower end of the mattress market by buying Sealy. From a macroeconomic perspective, an improving housing market traditionally has boded well for furniture and mattress companies that cater to new homeowners seeking to furnish their homes, and housing has definitely been on the upswing lately.

Just yesterday, Mattress Firm got an upgrade from analyst Stifel Nicolaus, which cited the weak conditions from early 2012 as providing easy comparisons that the mattress seller can use to show accelerating growth. At the same time, by keeping expectations relatively low, Mattress Firm‘s management could be setting itself up for positive news and an earnings beat that’s consistent with its past quarters.

In its quarterly report, watch for …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Mattress Firm to Host Fourth Fiscal Quarter and Fiscal Year 2012 Earnings Conference Call

By Business Wirevia The Motley Fool

Filed under:

Mattress Firm to Host Fourth Fiscal Quarter and Fiscal Year 2012 Earnings Conference Call

HOUSTON–(BUSINESS WIRE)– Mattress Firm Holding Corp. (NAS: MFRM) today announced that the company will release financial results for the fourth fiscal quarter and fiscal year ended January 29, 2013 after the market closes on Tuesday, March 26, 2013.

The company will host a conference call for investors and other interested parties beginning at 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time on Tuesday, March 26, 2013. The call will be hosted by Steve Stagner, Chief Executive Officer, and Jim Black, Chief Financial Officer.

The conference call will be accessible by telephone and the Internet. To access the call, participants from within the U.S. may dial (877) 407-3982, and participants from outside the U.S. may dial (201) 493-6780. Participants may also access the call via live webcast by visiting the company’s investor relations website at www.mattressfirm.com.

The replay of the call will be available from approximately 8:00 p.m. Eastern Time on March 26, 2013 through midnight Eastern Time on April 9, 2013. To access the replay, the domestic dial-in number is (877) 870-5176, the international dial-in number is (858) 384-5517, and the passcode is 410722. The archive of the webcast will be available on the company’s Web site for a limited time.

About Mattress Firm

Houston-based Mattress Firm is one of the nation’s leading specialty bedding retailers, offering a broad selection of both traditional and specialty mattresses from leading manufacturers, including Tempur-Pedic, Sealy, Simmons and Stearns & Foster.

Mattress Firm
Investor Relations:
Brad Cohen,713-343-3652
ir@mattressfirm.com
or
Media:
Sari Martin, 203-682-8345
mattressfirm@icrinc.com

KEYWORDS:   United States  North America  Texas

INDUSTRY KEYWORDS:

The article Mattress Firm to Host Fourth Fiscal Quarter and Fiscal Year 2012 Earnings Conference Call originally appeared on Fool.com.

Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 – 2013 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance