Tag Archives: Michael Hewson

Markets Shored Up by China's 7.5% Growth Rate

By The Associated Press

markets shored up by china's 7.5 percent growth rate

Filed under: , ,

APIn this photo taken July 10, 2013, a man walks past the downtown skyline of Shanghai, China.

LONDON (AP) – Relief over China’s economic growth rate helped shore up the mood in financial markets Monday ahead of a raft of U.S. corporate earnings and retail sales figures.

The world’s second-largest economy grew 7.5 percent from a year earlier in the second quarter. Though the figure is down on the previous quarter’s 7.7 percent, there had been fears that it may have fallen below 7 percent in the wake of efforts by the country’s monetary authorities to clamp down on risky lending. A sharp drop would hurt companies around the world that have become increasingly reliant on breakneck Chinese growth to boost earnings.

“China’s growth rate might still be on a steadily declining path, but investors were happy enough to see it come in line with expectations, growing by 7.5 percent in the second quarter,” said Chris Beauchamp, market analyst at IG. “Beijing was keen to emphasise that internal consumption was picking up the slack, and helpfully retail sales rose strongly during June.”

Combined with an easing in tensions over Europe’s financial crisis and diminishing fears about the Federal Reserve’s plans to rein in its monetary stimulus, the figures bode well for markets.

“We could be in for a week of quiet, steady gains for stock markets,” he said.

Following a 1 percent rise in the Shanghai Composite Index to 2,059.39, European stock markets have posted solid gains. The FTSE 100 index of leading British shares was up 0.3 percent at 6,565, while Germany’s DAX rose 0.1 percent to 8,225. The CAC-40 in France was 0.4 percent higher at 3,872.

Wall Street was poised for a solid opening with Dow futures and the broader S&P 500 futures up 0.2 percent.

How they open could hinge on a run of earnings, notably from Citigroup. June retail sales figures will also be closely monitored an hour before the bell on how they affect the debate over when the Fed will start ‘tapering’ its monetary stimulus. The median expectation in the markets is that they rose around 0.8 percent during the month.

“Today’s retail sales data for June could well feed into the tapering debate if we get an improvement in line with recent consumer confidence numbers which have been much better than expected,” said Michael Hewson, senior market analyst at CMC Markets.

For weeks now, the Fed’s monetary stance has been the main driver in markets. The Dow and the S&P 500 struck all-time highs last week partly on an indication from the Fed that the monetary stimulus may be in place for longer than expected. At the moment, the Fed is buying around $85 billion of assets in the markets, and that’s helped prop up stocks for months.

The dollar has faltered in recent days as expectations of …read more

Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Oil falls to near $93 on lower demand forecasts

Oil fell to near $93 a barrel Friday, dragged down by a combination of lukewarm forecasts for demand and sufficient supplies.

Benchmark oil for May delivery was down 33 cents to $93.18 per barrel at midday Bangkok time in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

The contract dropped $1.13 to finish at $93.51 a barrel on Thursday after the International Energy Agency lowered its forecast for global oil demand in 2013 by 45,000 barrels to 90.6 million barrels a day. Its predictions were similar to those made earlier this week by OPEC and the U.S. Energy Department.

Brent crude, which sets the price of crude used by many U.S. refineries to make gasoline, rose 2 cents to $104.40 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange in London. Brent has dropped about 12 percent in the past two months amid Europe‘s ongoing financial crisis, increased supplies and tepid forecasts for demand.

“Concerns about European demand continue to weigh on the oil price,” said Michael Hewson of CMC Markets.

US inventories at their highest levels in years and the IEA lowering its forecasts for oil demand are pushing prices lower,” he said in a commentary.

In other energy futures trading on the Nymex:

— Heating oil rose 1 cent to $2.908 per gallon.

— Gasoline added 1.2 cents to $2.852 per gallon.

— Natural gas rose 1.2 cents to $4.151 per 1,000 cubic feet.

From: http://feeds.foxnews.com/~r/foxnews/world/~3/ywbQ4Re-kMI/

Oil falls below $94 ahead of US inventory figures

Oil prices fell below $94 a barrel Wednesday ahead of the release of supply figures expected to show an increase in crude stockpiles.

Benchmark oil for May delivery was down 30 cents to $93.90 per barrel at midday Bangkok time in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract gained 84 cents to finish at $94.20 a barrel on Tuesday.

Oil investors are waiting for fresh information on U.S. stockpiles of crude and refined products. Data for the week ending April 5 is expected to show an increase of 1.4 million barrels in crude oil stockpiles, according to a survey of analysts by Platts, the energy information arm of McGraw-Hill Cos.

The Energy Department’s Energy Information Administration releases its report Wednesday morning.

Michael Hewson of CMC Markets said that “the likelihood of a rise in inventories later this week is serving to cap gains” in benchmark crude prices.

Brent crude, which sets the price of oil used by many U.S. refineries to make gasoline, rose 7 cents to $106.30 per barrel on the ICE Futures exchange in London.

In other energy futures trading on the Nymex:

— Wholesale gasoline fell 1.5 cents to $2.928 per gallon.

— Natural gas rose 2 cents to $4.037 per 1,000 cubic feet.

— Heating oil was nearly unchanged at $2.961 per gallon.

…read more

Source: FULL ARTICLE at Fox World News

China's Economic Woes Weigh On Asia Stock Markets

By The Associated Press

Filed under: , , ,

By AMELA SAMPSON

BANGKOK — World stock markets edged off recent highs in uneven trading Tuesday as worries grew about China‘s recovery and Europe‘s doldrums.

Japan‘s Nikkei 225 did an about-face after spurting higher in the morning. After hitting 12,461.97, an intraday high not seen in more than four years, the benchmark sank 0.3 percent to close at 12,314.81. That finish put an end to an eight-day winning streak.

The index has been boosted recently by the weakness of its currency against the greenback and expectations of action by the Bank of Japan to shore up the country’s stalling economy once a new bank chief is installed.

The Dow, which has closed every trading session higher since March 1, also appeared to be losing steam. Dow Jones industrial futures fell 0.1 percent to 14,362. S&P 500 futures fell 0.1 percent at 1,549. European stocks were almost flat in early trading. Britain’s FTSE 100 rose slightly to 6,505.36. Germany’s DAX was nearly unchanged at 7,985.99. France’s CAC-40 dipped less than 0.1 percent to 3,835.57.

Evan Lucas, strategist at IG Markets in Melbourne, said Australia‘s resource and mining stocks took a hit from falling commodities prices and data suggesting that China‘s economic growth is choppy also didn’t help. OZ Minerals fell 2.5 percent. Fortescue Metals Group dropped 3 percent.

Chinese economic figures over the weekend were largely disappointing and prompted many investors to book some recent gains and take to the sidelines after a rally that’s seen many stock indexes around the world push up to multi-year highs.

“It does feel like an off day and people feel like taking profits,” Lucas said.

Sponsored Linksadsonar_placementId=1505951;adsonar_pid=1990767;adsonar_ps=-1;adsonar_zw=242;adsonar_zh=252;adsonar_jv=’ads.tw.adsonar.com’;

The soft Chinese industrial production and retail sales figures stoked some concerns that the recent pick-up in the country’s growth rate may have stalled. In addition, higher-than-expected inflation of 3.2 percent in February raised questions about the government‘s ability to do more to shore up the world’s second-largest economy.

Hong Kong‘s Hang Seng fell 0.9 percent to 22,890.60. Australia‘s S&P/ASX dropped 0.6 percent to 5,117.90. South Korea’s Kospi shed 0.5 percent to 1,993.34.

“It’s been a tepid start to the week after weekend Chinese economic data came in on the weaker side of expectations, while investors absorb the latest Italian downgrade, as well as a surprise dive in manufacturing and industrial output in the French economy,” Michael Hewson, senior analyst at CMC Markets, said in an email commentary.

Among individual stocks, China Railway Construction Group fell 6.5 percent in Hong Kong. China Railway Group shed 5.1 percent. The declines come days after the government announced it would dismantle the railways ministry and move its operations into a newly created company. The ministry had been under criticism for heavy debt and corruption.

The Dow Jones industrial average posted its seventh straight day of gains on Monday. The streak began …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Oil rise capped by varying demand estimates

The price of oil rose Thursday, but gains were limited by conflicting estimates for crude demand for 2013.

Benchmark oil for March delivery was up 10 cents to $97.11 per barrel at midday Bangkok time in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract dropped 50 cents Wednesday to finish at $97.01 a barrel on the Nymex after a U.S. government report showed an increase in U.S. oil supplies.

Crude supplies increased by 600,000 barrels, or 0.2 percent, to 696 million barrels, which is 9.8 percent above year-ago levels, the U.S. Energy Department’s Energy Information Administration said in its weekly report. The American Petroleum Institute, meanwhile, reported that crude inventory fell by 2.3 million barrels for the week ending Feb. 8. The API relies on voluntary reports from distributors and pipeline operators, while submissions for the government‘s report are mandatory.

The Paris-based International Energy Agency lowered its consumption forecast by 85,000 barrels a day compared with data from a month ago. The IEA expects the world to use 90.7 million barrels of crude oil a day this year. That is 1 million barrels a day more than OPEC‘s estimate, released Tuesday, of 89.7 million barrels a day. OPEC raised its 2013 forecast for global demand, citing signs of recovery in the global economy.

Analysts said oil prices have avoided dramatic fluctuations because of the difficulty in pinpointing what energy demand will be this year.

OPEC revised its demand outlook higher for 2013, while the IEA revised its demand outlook lower for the same period,” said Michael Hewson of CMC Markets, adding that oil prices have been “hemmed in by divergent views on the demand outlook for 2013.”

Brent crude, used to price international varieties of oil, was up 6 cents at $117.94 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange in London.

In other energy futures trading on the Nymex:

— Wholesale gasoline rose 1.3 cents to $3.048 a gallon.

— Natural gas fell 0.6 cent to $3.298 per 1,000 cubic feet.

— Heating oil rose 0.2 cent to $3.208 a gallon.

…read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at Fox World News

Oil falls on US home sales, manufacturing report

The price of oil fell Wednesday after monthly home sales and manufacturing data raised concerns about the U.S. economy’s growth prospects.

Benchmark oil for March delivery was down 13 cents to $96.55 per barrel at midday Bangkok time in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The February contract, which expired Tuesday, rose 68 cents to close at $96.24, a four-month high.

A drop in U.S. sales of previously occupied homes for December from November hurt sentiment, as did a report by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond showing a drop in manufacturing in the central Atlantic region.

Michael Hewson of CMC Markets said in a market commentary that the reports raised “concerns about the US manufacturing sector once again.” A downturn in factory production would likely reduce demand for energy and cause prices to fall.

Ample supplies of oil and gasoline are also weighing on prices. There also remains some uncertainty about the outcome of negotiations in Washington on the U.S. debt limit. Congress is set to vote later in the day on a measure to raise the country’s borrowing limit. Otherwise it could face an economically calamitous, first-ever default.

Brent crude, used to price international varieties of oil, was down 26 cents to $112.16 per barrel on the ICE Futures exchange in London.

In other energy futures trading on Nymex:

— Natural gas rose 2.9 cents to $3.587 per 1,000 cubic feet.

— Wholesale gasoline fell 0.3 cent to $2.844 per gallon.

— Heating oil fell 0.3 cent to $3.053 a gallon.

Source: FULL ARTICLE at Fox World News

Oil price flat on ample supplies, US uncertainty

The price of oil was flat Tuesday, kept in a holding pattern by ample supplies and uncertainty about the outcome of negotiations in Washington on the U.S. debt limit.

Benchmark oil for February delivery was down 1 cent to $95.55 per barrel at midday Bangkok time in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract fell 9 cents to settle at $95.56 a barrel on the Nymex on Monday.

Concerns linger about the U.S. economy, with lawmakers wrangling over spending cuts and the nation’s debt ceiling. Though Republican lawmakers are expected to accept a temporary increase in the borrowing limit, a final deal is still not in sight.

Leaders in the U.S. Congress on Monday unveiled legislation to permit the government to continue borrowing money through May 18 in order to stave off a first-ever default on U.S. obligations. It is slated for a vote on Wednesday.

“Despite the firmer tone in equity markets oil prices have struggled to match the positive sentiment … Concerns about oversupply continue to limit upside progress,” Michael Hewson of CMC Markets said in an email commentary.

Brent crude, used to price international varieties of oil, was up 3 cents to $111.92 per barrel on the ICE Futures exchange in London.

In other energy futures trading on the Nymex:

— Natural gas added 5.9 cents to $3.625 per 1,000 cubic feet.

— Wholesale gasoline rose 0.5 cent to $2.816 per gallon.

— Heating oil rose 1.7 cents to $3.059 a gallon.

Source: FULL ARTICLE at Fox World News

Oil down after Europe industrial production falls

Oil prices fell Tuesday after industrial production shrank in the 17 countries that use the euro, raising concerns of a prolonged recession in the region.

Benchmark crude for February delivery was down 29 cents to $93.85 per barrel at midday Bangkok time in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract rose 58 cents to finish at $94.15 per barrel in New York on Tuesday.

Industrial output across the eurozone fell in November for the third straight month, the European Union statistics office said Monday. The worse-than-expected 0.3 percent monthly decline was felt across the whole economy and sparked worries that it was a sign the current recession might linger.

“The weaker than expected European industrial production figures has seen Brent and US crude prices remain under pressure,” Michael Hewson, senior market analyst at CMC Markets, said in a market commentary.

Brent crude, used to price international varieties of oil, was down 27 cents to $110.68 per barrel on the ICE Futures exchange in London.

In other energy futures trading on the Nymex:

— Wholesale gasoline fell 0.9 cent to $2.763 a gallon.

— Natural gas rose 1.7 cents to $3.39 per 1,000 cubic feet.

— Heating oil was nearly unchanged at $3.062.

Source: FULL ARTICLE at Fox World News

Italy's 3-year borrowing rate lowest since 2010

Italy has easily raised €3.5 billion ($4.64 billion) in the sale of 3-year bonds, paying the lowest interest rates for such debt since March 2010, as investors shrug off political uncertainty ahead of elections.

The borrowing rate dropped to 1.85 percent, from 2.05 percent at the last such auction last month. Demand was 1.45 times the offer.

Michael Hewson, senior analyst at CMC Markets, says the rates are dropping despite uncertainty over elections next month because investors see “diminishing risks of a potential euro break-up. “

The election is a race between centrist forces backing caretaker Premier Mario Monti, former Premier Silvio Berlusconi‘s center-right alliance with the Northern League and the center-left Democratic Party led by Pier Luigi Bersani. Bersani leads in the polls and has pledged to continue reforms.

Source: FULL ARTICLE at Fox World News

Oil down after dour Europe jobless report

The price of oil fell below $93 Wednesday after unemployment in the countries that use the euro rose to its highest level since the single currency was founded.

Benchmark oil for February delivery was down 19 cents to $92.96 per barrel at midday Bangkok time in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract fell 4 cents to finish at $93.15 a barrel in New York.

Unemployment in the 17 euro countries rose to 11.8 percent in November from 11.7 percent in October, a reflection of a weak economy and the highest jobless rate since the euro was founded in 1999. Germany, the region’s biggest economy, said industrial orders fell more than expected in November due to weaker foreign demand. German exports also fell.

“The outlook for global commodities is likely to remain uncertain in the next twelve months with low growth hampering demand especially in Europe,” Michael Hewson of CMC Markets said in an email commentary.

Oil traders will be monitoring fresh information this week on U.S. supplies of crude and refined products.

Data for the week ended Jan. 4 is expected to show a rise of 1.5 million barrels for crude oil and an increase of 2.6 million barrels in gasoline stocks, according to a survey of analysts by Platts, the energy information arm of McGraw-Hill Cos. The Energy Department’s Energy Information Administration releases its crude inventories report later Wednesday.

Brent crude, used to price international varieties of oil, fell 12 cents to $111.82 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange in London.

In other energy futures trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange:

— Wholesale gasoline fell 2.3 cents to $2.772 a gallon.

— Heating oil fell 0.3 cents to $3.056 a gallon.

— Natural gas fell 2.6 cents to $3.192 per 1,000 cubic feet.

Source: FULL ARTICLE at Fox World News