Tag Archives: Fail Free

Will Clorox Help You Retire Rich?

By Dan Caplinger, The Motley Fool

Filed under:

Now more than ever, a comfortable retirement depends on secure, stable investments. Unfortunately, the right stocks for retirement won’t just fall into your lap. As part of an ongoing series, I’m looking today at 10 measures to show whether Clorox makes a great retirement-oriented stock.

Clorox is well-known for its stable of consumer products, including its namesake bleach as well as a variety of other cleaning, personal care, and household products. But given the stock‘s popularity, is it still a good value for investors? Below, we’ll revisit how Clorox does on our 10-point scale.

The right stocks for retirees
With decades to go before you need to tap your investments, you can take greater risks, weighing the chance of big losses against the potential for mind-blowing returns. But as retirement approaches, you no longer have the luxury of waiting out a downturn.

Sure, you still want good returns, but you also need to manage your risk and protect yourself against bear markets, which can maul your finances at the worst possible time. The right stocks combine both of these elements in a single investment.

When scrutinizing a stock, retirees should look for:

  • Size. Most retirees would rather not take a flyer on unproven businesses. Bigger companies may lack their smaller counterparts’ growth potential, but they do offer greater security.
  • Consistency. While many investors look for fast-growing companies, conservative investors want to see steady, consistent gains in revenue, free cash flow, and other key metrics. Slow growth won’t make headlines, but it will help prevent the kind of ugly surprises that suddenly torpedo a stock‘s share price.
  • Stock stability. Conservative retirement investors prefer investments that move less dramatically than typical stocks, and they particularly want to avoid big losses. These investments will give up some gains during bull markets, but they won’t fall as far or as fast during bear markets. Beta measures volatility, but we also want a track record of solid performance as well.
  • Valuation. No one can afford to pay too much for a stock, even if its prospects are good. Using normalized earnings multiples helps smooth out one-time effects, giving you a longer-term context.
  • Dividends. Most of all, retirees look for stocks that can provide income through dividends. Retirees want healthy payouts now and consistent dividend growth over time — as long as it doesn’t jeopardize the company’s financial health.

With those factors in mind, let’s take a closer look at Clorox.

<td valign="top"

Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Factor

What We Want to See

Actual

Pass or Fail?

Size

Market cap > $10 billion

$11.4 billion

Pass

Consistency

Revenue growth > 0% in at least four of five past years

3 years

Fail

 

Free cash flow growth > 0% in at least four of past five years

2 years

Fail

Stock stability

Beta < 0.9

0.38

Pass

 

Worst loss in past five years no greater than 20%

Is Netflix's Stock Destined for Greatness?

By Alex Planes, The Motley Fool

Filed under:

Investors love stocks that consistently beat the Street without getting ahead of their fundamentals and risking a meltdown. The best stocks offer sustainable market-beating gains, with robust and improving financial metrics that support strong price growth. Does Netflix fit the bill? Let’s take a look at what its recent results tell us about its potential for future gains.

What we’re looking for
The graphs you’re about to see tell Netflix’s story, and we’ll be grading the quality of that story in several ways:

  • Growth: Are profits, margins, and free cash flow all increasing?
  • Valuation: Is share price growing in line with earnings per share?
  • Opportunities: Is return on equity increasing while debt to equity declines?
  • Dividends: Are dividends consistently growing in a sustainable way?

What the numbers tell you
Now, let’s take a look at Netflix’s key statistics:

Source: NFLX Total Return Price data by YCharts.

Passing Criteria

3-Year* Change 

Grade

Revenue growth > 30%

116.1%

Pass

Improving profit margin

(88%)

Fail

Free cash flow growth > Net income growth

(106.7%) vs. (85.2%)

Fail

Improving EPS

(85.4%)

Fail

Stock growth (+ 15%) < EPS growth

198.9% vs. (85.4%)

Fail

Source: YCharts. * Period begins at end of Q4 2009.

Source: NFLX Return on Equity data by YCharts.

Passing Criteria

3-Year* Change

Grade

Improving return on equity

(93.8%)

Fail

Declining debt to equity

(54.8%)

Pass

Source: YCharts. * Period begins at end of Q4 2009.

How we got here and where we’re going
Netflix’s performance — with the exception of the huge bounce in its stock price — has not been pretty. Investors have to be wondering what’s behind that big bounce and whether it will hold up over the long term. Netflix needs to really clamp down on its costs to improve on a two-out-of-seven performance here. Can it, or will it? Let’s dig a little deeper.

The big news this year isn’t so much Netflix’s progress (although it’s made some), its new in-house shows (although more seem to emerge every week), or its subscriber growth (although that continues apace.) The real story for Netflix shareholders is undoubtedly the massive earnings-related price spike that seems to say “It’s nothing but clear skies ahead.” As a result, much of the commentary has since focused on the share price, and Netflix’s ability to sustain it. Here’s a brief list of some good starting points for further valuation-based research:

There are plenty of arguments on both bull and bear sides of the Netflix fence. On the bull side, we’ve got the expectation of market dominance leading to greater profitability as pretenders fall away like so many clumps of powdered sugar from a delicious donut. Mmm, donut. And on the bearish side, we’ve got the purported threat of Amazon.com‘s …read more

Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Will Intel Help You Retire Rich?

By Dan Caplinger, The Motley Fool

Filed under:

Now more than ever, a comfortable retirement depends on secure, stable investments. Unfortunately, the right stocks for retirement won’t just fall into your lap. As part of an ongoing series, today I’m looking at 10 measures to show whether Intel makes a great retirement-oriented stock.

As a member of the Dow Jones Industrials for more than a decade, Intel’s history as a leader and innovator in the semiconductor space is indisputable. But as the technology industry shifts from PCs to mobile devices, Intel has struggled to keep up. Can the chip giant adapt and conquer the mobile market like it did the PC market decades ago? Below, we’ll revisit how Intel does on our 10-point scale.

The right stocks for retirees
With decades to go before you need to tap your investments, you can take greater risks, weighing the chance of big losses against the potential for mind-blowing returns. But as retirement approaches, you no longer have the luxury of waiting out a downturn.

Sure, you still want good returns, but you also need to manage your risk and protect yourself against bear markets, which can maul your finances at the worst possible time. The right stocks combine both of these elements in a single investment.

When scrutinizing a stock, retirees should look for:

  • Size. Most retirees would rather not take a flyer on unproven businesses. Bigger companies may lack their smaller counterparts’ growth potential, but they do offer greater security.
  • Consistency. While many investors look for fast-growing companies, conservative investors want to see steady, consistent gains in revenue, free cash flow, and other key metrics. Slow growth won’t make headlines, but it will help prevent the kind of ugly surprises that suddenly torpedo a stock‘s share price.
  • Stock stability. Conservative retirement investors prefer investments that move less dramatically than typical stocks, and they particularly want to avoid big losses. These investments will give up some gains during bull markets, but they won’t fall as far or as fast during bear markets. Beta measures volatility, but we also want a track record of solid performance as well.
  • Valuation. No one can afford to pay too much for a stock, even if its prospects are good. Using normalized earnings multiples helps smooth out one-time effects, giving you a longer-term context.
  • Dividends. Most of all, retirees look for stocks that can provide income through dividends. Retirees want healthy payouts now and consistent dividend growth over time — as long as it doesn’t jeopardize the company’s financial health.

With those factors in mind, let’s take a closer look at Intel.

Factor

What We Want to See

Actual

Pass or Fail?

Size

Market cap > $10 billion

$105 billion

Pass

Consistency

Revenue growth > 0% in at least four of five past years

2 years

Fail

 

Free cash flow growth > 0% in at least four of past five years

2 years

Fail

Stock …read more

Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Will Norfolk Southern Help You Retire Rich?

By Dan Caplinger, The Motley Fool

Filed under:

Now more than ever, a comfortable retirement depends on secure, stable investments. Unfortunately, the right stocks for retirement won’t just fall into your lap. As part of an ongoing series, I’m looking today at 10 measures to show whether Norfolk Southern makes a great retirement-oriented stock.

Norfolk Southern has benefited greatly from the rise of rail transportation, which in turn owes its recent success to high energy prices that boost the value of efficient fuel consumption compared to alternatives like trucking and air transport. Below, we’ll revisit how Norfolk Southern does on our 10-point scale.

The right stocks for retirees
With decades to go before you need to tap your investments, you can take greater risks, weighing the chance of big losses against the potential for mind-blowing returns. But as retirement approaches, you no longer have the luxury of waiting out a downturn.

Sure, you still want good returns, but you also need to manage your risk and protect yourself against bear markets, which can maul your finances at the worst possible time. The right stocks combine both of these elements in a single investment.

When scrutinizing a stock, retirees should look for:

  • Size. Most retirees would rather not take a flyer on unproven businesses. Bigger companies may lack their smaller counterparts’ growth potential, but they do offer greater security.
  • Consistency. While many investors look for fast-growing companies, conservative investors want to see steady, consistent gains in revenue, free cash flow, and other key metrics. Slow growth won’t make headlines, but it will help prevent the kind of ugly surprises that suddenly torpedo a stock‘s share price.
  • Stock stability. Conservative retirement investors prefer investments that move less dramatically than typical stocks, and they particularly want to avoid big losses. These investments will give up some gains during bull markets, but they won’t fall as far or as fast during bear markets. Beta measures volatility, but we also want a track record of solid performance as well.
  • Valuation. No one can afford to pay too much for a stock, even if its prospects are good. Using normalized earnings multiples helps smooth out one-time effects, giving you a longer-term context.
  • Dividends. Most of all, retirees look for stocks that can provide income through dividends. Retirees want healthy payouts now and consistent dividend growth over time — as long as it doesn’t jeopardize the company’s financial health.

With those factors in mind, let’s take a closer look at Norfolk Southern.

Factor

What We Want to See

Actual

Pass or Fail?

Size

Market cap > $10 billion

$24 billion

Pass

Consistency

Revenue growth > 0% in at least four of five past years

3 years

Fail

 

Free cash flow growth > 0% in at least four of past five years

2 years

Fail

Stock stability

Beta < 0.9

1.13

Fail

 

Worst loss in past five years no greater than …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Will Sprint Help You Retire Rich?

By Dan Caplinger, The Motley Fool

Filed under:

Now more than ever, a comfortable retirement depends on secure, stable investments. Unfortunately, the right stocks for retirement won’t just fall into your lap. As part of an ongoing series, I’m looking today at 10 measures to show whether Sprint Nextel makes a great retirement-oriented stock.

Sprint has had a long history of being perceived as the odd player out in the U.S. wireless telecom industry, as its two larger rivals have parceled up much of the most lucrative business over the years. But recent events have thrown the former third-wheel back into the competitive mix. Below, we’ll revisit how Sprint does on our 10-point scale.

The right stocks for retirees
With decades to go before you need to tap your investments, you can take greater risks, weighing the chance of big losses against the potential for mind-blowing returns. But as retirement approaches, you no longer have the luxury of waiting out a downturn.

Sure, you still want good returns, but you also need to manage your risk and protect yourself against bear markets, which can maul your finances at the worst possible time. The right stocks combine both of these elements in a single investment.

When scrutinizing a stock, retirees should look for:

  • Size. Most retirees would rather not take a flyer on unproven businesses. Bigger companies may lack their smaller counterparts’ growth potential, but they do offer greater security.
  • Consistency. While many investors look for fast-growing companies, conservative investors want to see steady, consistent gains in revenue, free cash flow, and other key metrics. Slow growth won’t make headlines, but it will help prevent the kind of ugly surprises that suddenly torpedo a stock‘s share price.
  • Stock stability. Conservative retirement investors prefer investments that move less dramatically than typical stocks, and they particularly want to avoid big losses. These investments will give up some gains during bull markets, but they won’t fall as far or as fast during bear markets. Beta measures volatility, but we also want a track record of solid performance as well.
  • Valuation. No one can afford to pay too much for a stock, even if its prospects are good. Using normalized earnings multiples helps smooth out one-time effects, giving you a longer-term context.
  • Dividends. Most of all, retirees look for stocks that can provide income through dividends. Retirees want healthy payouts now and consistent dividend growth over time — as long as it doesn’t jeopardize the company’s financial health.

With those factors in mind, let’s take a closer look at Sprint.

<td …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Factor

What We Want to See

Actual

Pass or Fail?

Size

Market cap > $10 billion

$18.8 billion

Pass

Consistency

Revenue growth > 0% in at least four of five past years

3 years

Fail

 

Free cash flow growth > 0% in at least four of past five years

1 year

Fail

Stock stability

Beta < 0.9

0.98

Fail

 

Is Southern Destined for Greatness?

By Alex Planes, The Motley Fool

SO Total Return Price Chart

Filed under:

Investors love stocks that consistently beat the Street without getting ahead of their fundamentals and risking a meltdown. The best stocks offer sustainable market-beating gains, with robust and improving financial metrics that support strong price growth. Does Southern fit the bill? Let’s look at what its recent results tell us about its potential for future gains.

What we’re looking for
The graphs you’re about to see tell Southern’s story, and we’ll be grading the quality of that story in several ways:

  • Growth: Are profits, margins, and free cash flow all increasing?
  • Valuation: Is share price growing in line with earnings per share?
  • Opportunities: Is return on equity increasing while debt to equity declines?
  • Dividends: Are dividends consistently growing in a sustainable way?

What the numbers tell you
Now, let’s take a look at Southern’s key statistics:

SO Total Return Price data by YCharts.

Passing Criteria

3-Year* Change 

Grade

Revenue growth > 30%

5%

Fail

Improving profit margin

46%

Pass

Free cash flow growth > Net income growth

106.9% vs. 43%

Pass

Improving EPS

29.6%

Pass

Stock growth (+ 15%) < EPS growth

61.8% vs. 29.6%

Fail

Source: YCharts.
*Period begins at end of Q4 2009.

SO Return on Equity data by YCharts.

Passing Criteria

3-Year* Change

Grade

Improving return on equity

10.1%

Pass

Declining debt to equity

(9.3%)

Pass

Dividend growth > 25%

12%

Fail

Free cash flow payout ratio < 50%

1,902% 

Fail

Source: YCharts.
*Period begins at end of Q4 2009.

How we got here and where we’re going
Five out of nine passing grades isn’t a bad showing, but it is a bit disturbing to see such a well-established company’s share price running away from its fundamental growth. More distressing is Southern’s unsustainably high level of dividend payouts relative to free cash flow, which has languished below earnings for many years — as you might expect for such a capital-intensive enterprise.

Southern’s in the process of transitioning toward more gas and nuclear power generation, which will understandably keep capital costs high for at least next several quarters. However, as my fellow Fool Justin Loiseau points out, Southern is hardly alone in overextending itself on dividend payments recently. Of its larger peers, only Exelon is paying out a comparatively reasonable amount of free cash flow in dividends — many utilities fell into negative free cash flow territory in 2012. Utilities have generally been a very mixed bag on a fundamental basis. Not only are they struggling to maintain positive free cash flow, but the only way anyone seems able to grow revenue is by merger, as Duke Energy and Exelon both went through the process last year.

On a more positive note, Southern is doing better than nearly every other utility (except Exelon) at reducing its debt levels relative to equity:

SO Debt to Equity Ratio Chart

SO Debt to Equity Ratio data by <a target=_blank …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Is E*TRADE Destined for Greatness?

By Alex Planes, The Motley Fool

ETFC Total Return Price Chart

Filed under:

Investors love stocks that consistently beat the Street without getting ahead of their fundamentals and risking a meltdown. The best stocks offer sustainable market-beating gains, with robust and improving financial metrics that support strong price growth. Does E*TRADE Financial fit the bill? Let’s take a look at what its recent results tell us about its potential for future gains.

What we’re looking for
The graphs you’re about to see tell E*TRADE’s story, and we’ll be grading the quality of that story in several ways:

  • Growth: Are profits, margins, and free cash flow all increasing?
  • Valuation: Is share price growing in line with earnings per share?
  • Opportunities: Is return on equity increasing while debt to equity declines?
  • Dividends: Are dividends consistently growing in a sustainable way?

What the numbers tell you
Now, let’s take a look at E*TRADE’s key statistics:

ETFC Total Return Price data by YCharts.

Passing Criteria

3-Year* Change 

Grade

Revenue growth > 30%

(21.6%)

Fail

Improving profit margin

(227%)

Fail

Free cash flow growth > Net income growth

(126.9%) vs. 91.3%

Fail

Improving EPS

96.7%

Pass

Stock growth (+ 15%) < EPS growth

(39.5%) vs. 96.7%

Pass

Source: YCharts. *Period begins at end of Q4 2009.

ETFC Return on Equity data by YCharts.

Passing Criteria

3-Year* Change

Grade

Improving return on equity

94.7%

Pass

Declining debt to equity

(50.9%)

Pass

Source: YCharts. *Period begins at end of Q4 2009.

How we got here and where we’re going
E*TRADE hasn’t been doing particularly well on most of its fundamentals — despite improving EPS, the company continues to post losses — but its momentum on equity metrics is enough to convert a middling two passing grades into a solid four out of nine passing grades. But what will it take to get the popular online portfolio platform moving in the right direction again on a revenue and free cash flow basis?

E*TRADE has been in positive territory before. The company’s 2012 was terrible, with profits becoming losses, unfavorable debt restructurings that resulted in big writedowns, and most worryingly, a diminished trading volume among retail investors. Competing brokerages Charles Schwab and TD Ameritrade are diversified in ways E*TRADE isn’t — Schwab has a solid asset management division, and Ameritrade has been growing its investment products revenue at a brisk pace for some time. However, that hasn’t insulated them from the trading decline, as Ameritrade’s profit slipped in its most recent fiscal quarter. A lower profit beats no profit, though, and E*TRADE’s floundering has put up a roadblock in the way of Ameritrade’s rumored acquisition.

E*TRADE is also losing the faith of some major shareholders. One of Citadel’s hedge fund affiliates recently dumped over 27 million shares in a secondary offering, which served to suppress shares that had been rising strongly into 2013 despite the bad earnings news. E*TRADE is also a bit behind the curve in the ETF game. It provides <a target=_blank …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Will Kraft Foods Help You Retire Rich?

By Dan Caplinger, The Motley Fool

Filed under:

Now more than ever, a comfortable retirement depends on secure, stable investments. Unfortunately, the right stocks for retirement won’t just fall into your lap. As part of an ongoing series, I’m looking today at 10 measures to show whether Kraft Foods makes a great retirement-oriented stock.

Kraft Foods is now a greatly diminished part of its former self, holding the slower-growing North American grocery business after Mondelez took the global snack-food segment in its spinoff. For Kraft, though, competitive pressures still persist as the company refocuses on its well-known grocery brands, including Jell-O, Oscar Mayer, Cool Whip, and its namesake Kraft products. Will the slimmed-down Kraft fare better in the industry? Let’s revisit how Kraft Foods does on our 10-point scale.

The right stocks for retirees
With decades to go before you need to tap your investments, you can take greater risks, weighing the chance of big losses against the potential for mind-blowing returns. But as retirement approaches, you no longer have the luxury of waiting out a downturn.

Sure, you still want good returns, but you also need to manage your risk and protect yourself against bear markets, which can maul your finances at the worst possible time. The right stocks combine both of these elements in a single investment.

When scrutinizing a stock, retirees should look for:

  • Size. Most retirees would rather not take a flyer on unproven businesses. Bigger companies may lack their smaller counterparts’ growth potential, but they do offer greater security.
  • Consistency. While many investors look for fast-growing companies, conservative investors want to see steady, consistent gains in revenue, free cash flow, and other key metrics. Slow growth won’t make headlines, but it will help prevent the kind of ugly surprises that suddenly torpedo a stock‘s share price.
  • Stock stability. Conservative retirement investors prefer investments that move less dramatically than typical stocks, and they particularly want to avoid big losses. These investments will give up some gains during bull markets, but they won’t fall as far or as fast during bear markets. Beta measures volatility, but we also want a track record of solid performance as well.
  • Valuation. No one can afford to pay too much for a stock, even if its prospects are good. Using normalized earnings multiples helps smooth out one-time effects, giving you a longer-term context.
  • Dividends. Most of all, retirees look for stocks that can provide income through dividends. Retirees want healthy payouts now and consistent dividend growth over time — as long as it doesn’t jeopardize the company’s financial health.

With those factors in mind, let’s take a closer look at Kraft Foods.

<td valign="top" …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Factor

What We Want to See

Actual

Pass or Fail?

Size

Market cap > $10 billion

$30.4 billion

Pass

Consistency

Revenue growth > 0% in at least four of five past years

3 years*

Fail

 

Free cash flow growth > 0% in at least four of past five years

Will Raytheon Help You Retire Rich?

By Dan Caplinger, The Motley Fool

Filed under:

Now more than ever, a comfortable retirement depends on secure, stable investments. Unfortunately, the right stocks for retirement won’t just fall into your lap. As part of an ongoing series, I’m looking today at 10 measures to show whether Raytheon makes a great retirement-oriented stock.

Raytheon has had great success as a member of the defense industry, providing much-needed weapons systems and sophisticated technology to the military. But with ongoing budget cuts, will the defense contractor feel the pinch? Below, we’ll revisit how Raytheon does on our 10-point scale.

The right stocks for retirees
With decades to go before you need to tap your investments, you can take greater risks, weighing the chance of big losses against the potential for mind-blowing returns. But as retirement approaches, you no longer have the luxury of waiting out a downturn.

Sure, you still want good returns, but you also need to manage your risk and protect yourself against bear markets, which can maul your finances at the worst possible time. The right stocks combine both of these elements in a single investment.

When scrutinizing a stock, retirees should look for:

  • Size. Most retirees would rather not take a flyer on unproven businesses. Bigger companies may lack their smaller counterparts’ growth potential, but they do offer greater security.
  • Consistency. While many investors look for fast-growing companies, conservative investors want to see steady, consistent gains in revenue, free cash flow, and other key metrics. Slow growth won’t make headlines, but it will help prevent the kind of ugly surprises that suddenly torpedo a stock‘s share price.
  • Stock stability. Conservative retirement investors prefer investments that move less dramatically than typical stocks, and they particularly want to avoid big losses. These investments will give up some gains during bull markets, but they won’t fall as far or as fast during bear markets. Beta measures volatility, but we also want a track record of solid performance as well.
  • Valuation. No one can afford to pay too much for a stock, even if its prospects are good. Using normalized earnings multiples helps smooth out one-time effects, giving you a longer-term context.
  • Dividends. Most of all, retirees look for stocks that can provide income through dividends. Retirees want healthy payouts now and consistent dividend growth over time — as long as it doesn’t jeopardize the company’s financial health.

With those factors in mind, let’s take a closer look at Raytheon.

<td …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Factor

What We Want to See

Actual

Pass or Fail?

Size

Market cap > $10 billion

$18.6 billion

Pass

Consistency

Revenue growth > 0% in at least four of five past years

3 years

Fail

 

Free cash flow growth > 0% in at least four of past five years

3 years

Fail

Stock stability

Beta < 0.9

0.73

Pass

 

Worst loss in past five years no greater than 20%

(14.2%)

Pass

Valuation

Will MetLife Help You Retire Rich?

By Dan Caplinger, The Motley Fool

Filed under:

Now more than ever, a comfortable retirement depends on secure, stable investments. Unfortunately, the right stocks for retirement won’t just fall into your lap. In this series, I look at 10 measures to show what makes a great retirement-oriented stock.

MetLife is one of the best-known insurance companies in the industry, serving customers with a variety of different types of policies. But the company suffered greatly during the financial crisis, as low returns on its investment portfolio and liabilities from its policy provisions protecting customers from principal loss left it struggling. Has MetLife made it back? Below, we’ll revisit how MetLife does on our 10-point scale.

The right stocks for retirees
With decades to go before you need to tap your investments, you can take greater risks, weighing the chance of big losses against the potential for mind-blowing returns. But as retirement approaches, you no longer have the luxury of waiting out a downturn.

Sure, you still want good returns, but you also need to manage your risk and protect yourself against bear markets, which can maul your finances at the worst possible time. The right stocks combine both of these elements in a single investment.

When scrutinizing a stock, retirees should look for:

  • Size. Most retirees would rather not take a flyer on unproven businesses. Bigger companies may lack their smaller counterparts’ growth potential, but they do offer greater security.
  • Consistency. While many investors look for fast-growing companies, conservative investors want to see steady, consistent gains in revenue, free cash flow, and other key metrics. Slow growth won’t make headlines, but it will help prevent the kind of ugly surprises that suddenly torpedo a stock‘s share price.
  • Stock stability. Conservative retirement investors prefer investments that move less dramatically than typical stocks, and they particularly want to avoid big losses. These investments will give up some gains during bull markets, but they won’t fall as far or as fast during bear markets. Beta measures volatility, but we also want a track record of solid performance as well.
  • Valuation. No one can afford to pay too much for a stock, even if its prospects are good. Using normalized earnings multiples helps smooth out one-time effects, giving you a longer-term context.
  • Dividends. Most of all, retirees look for stocks that can provide income through dividends. Retirees want healthy payouts now and consistent dividend growth over time — as long as it doesn’t jeopardize the company’s financial health.

With those factors in mind, let’s take a closer look at MetLife.

<td …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Factor

What We Want to See

Actual

Pass or Fail?

Size

Market cap > $10 billion

$43.7 billion

Pass

Consistency

Revenue growth > 0% in at least four of five past years

3 years

Fail

 

Free cash flow growth > 0% in at least four of past five years

4 years

Pass

Stock stability

Beta < 0.9

2.00

Fail

 

Will United Technologies Help You Retire Rich?

By Dan Caplinger, The Motley Fool

Filed under:

Now more than ever, a comfortable retirement depends on secure, stable investments. Unfortunately, the right stocks for retirement won’t just fall into your lap. In this series, I look at 10 measures to show what makes a great retirement-oriented stock.

United Technologies made its way into the elite 30 companies of the Dow Jones Industrials by having a conglomerate’s presence in a variety of businesses, ranging from elevators to air conditioners. But lately it has doubled down on its core aerospace engine and components business. Will the move pay off, given the booming market for commercial aircraft? Below, we’ll revisit how United Technologies does on our 10-point scale.

The right stocks for retirees
With decades to go before you need to tap your investments, you can take greater risks, weighing the chance of big losses against the potential for mind-blowing returns. But as retirement approaches, you no longer have the luxury of waiting out a downturn.

Sure, you still want good returns, but you also need to manage your risk and protect yourself against bear markets, which can maul your finances at the worst possible time. The right stocks combine both of these elements in a single investment.

When scrutinizing a stock, retirees should look for:

  • Size. Most retirees would rather not take a flyer on unproven businesses. Bigger companies may lack their smaller counterparts’ growth potential, but they do offer greater security.
  • Consistency. While many investors look for fast-growing companies, conservative investors want to see steady, consistent gains in revenue, free cash flow, and other key metrics. Slow growth won’t make headlines, but it will help prevent the kind of ugly surprises that suddenly torpedo a stock‘s share price.
  • Stock stability. Conservative retirement investors prefer investments that move less dramatically than typical stocks, and they particularly want to avoid big losses. These investments will give up some gains during bull markets, but they won’t fall as far or as fast during bear markets. Beta measures volatility, but we also want a track record of solid performance as well.
  • Valuation. No one can afford to pay too much for a stock, even if its prospects are good. Using normalized earnings multiples helps smooth out one-time effects, giving you a longer-term context.
  • Dividends. Most of all, retirees look for stocks that can provide income through dividends. Retirees want healthy payouts now and consistent dividend growth over time — as long as it doesn’t jeopardize the company’s financial health.

With those factors in mind, let’s take a closer look at United Technologies.

<td …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Factor

What We Want to See

Actual

Pass or Fail?

Size

Market cap > $10 billion

$85.3 billion

Pass

Consistency

Revenue growth > 0% in at least four of five past years

3 years

Fail

 

Free cash flow growth > 0% in at least four of past five years

3 years

Fail

Stock stability

Beta < 0.9

1.06

Will Merck Help You Retire Rich?

By Dan Caplinger, The Motley Fool

Filed under:

Now more than ever, a comfortable retirement depends on secure, stable investments. Unfortunately, the right stocks for retirement won’t just fall into your lap. In this series, I look at 10 measures to show what makes a great retirement-oriented stock.

Merck isn’t the biggest pharmaceutical company in the Dow Jones Industrials by a long shot, with two major companies well ahead of it in terms of revenue. But despite seeing some of its name-brand drugs go off patent recently, Merck has kept up with the competition. Below, we’ll revisit how Merck does on our 10-point scale.

The right stocks for retirees
With decades to go before you need to tap your investments, you can take greater risks, weighing the chance of big losses against the potential for mind-blowing returns. But as retirement approaches, you no longer have the luxury of waiting out a downturn.

Sure, you still want good returns, but you also need to manage your risk and protect yourself against bear markets, which can maul your finances at the worst possible time. The right stocks combine both of these elements in a single investment.

When scrutinizing a stock, retirees should look for:

  • Size. Most retirees would rather not take a flyer on unproven businesses. Bigger companies may lack their smaller counterparts’ growth potential, but they do offer greater security.
  • Consistency. While many investors look for fast-growing companies, conservative investors want to see steady, consistent gains in revenue, free cash flow, and other key metrics. Slow growth won’t make headlines, but it will help prevent the kind of ugly surprises that suddenly torpedo a stock‘s share price.
  • Stock stability. Conservative retirement investors prefer investments that move less dramatically than typical stocks, and they particularly want to avoid big losses. These investments will give up some gains during bull markets, but they won’t fall as far or as fast during bear markets. Beta measures volatility, but we also want a track record of solid performance as well.
  • Valuation. No one can afford to pay too much for a stock, even if its prospects are good. Using normalized earnings multiples helps smooth out one-time effects, giving you a longer-term context.
  • Dividends. Most of all, retirees look for stocks that can provide income through dividends. Retirees want healthy payouts now and consistent dividend growth over time — as long as it doesn’t jeopardize the company’s financial health.

With those factors in mind, let’s take a closer look at Merck.

<td …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Factor

What We Want to See

Actual

Pass or Fail?

Size

Market cap > $10 billion

$136 billion

Pass

Consistency

Revenue growth > 0% in at least four of five past years

3 years

Fail

 

Free-cash-flow growth > 0% in at least four of past five years

2 years

Fail

Stock stability

Beta < 0.9

0.58

Pass

 

Worst loss in past five years no greater than 20%

Will Johnson &amp; Johnson Help You Retire Rich?

By Dan Caplinger, The Motley Fool

Filed under:

Now more than ever, a comfortable retirement depends on secure, stable investments. Unfortunately, the right stocks for retirement won’t just fall into your lap. In this series, I look at 10 measures to show what makes a great retirement-oriented stock.

Johnson & Johnson is the biggest health-care stock in the Dow Jones Industrials for a reason: It’s a massive health-care conglomerate that includes not only pharmaceuticals, but also consumer products and medical devices. But with other companies taking steps to slim down, will J&J buck the trend and stay big? Below, we’ll revisit how Johnson & Johnson does on our 10-point scale.

The right stocks for retirees
With decades to go before you need to tap your investments, you can take greater risks, weighing the chance of big losses against the potential for mind-blowing returns. But as retirement approaches, you no longer have the luxury of waiting out a downturn.

Sure, you still want good returns, but you also need to manage your risk and protect yourself against bear markets, which can maul your finances at the worst possible time. The right stocks combine both of these elements in a single investment.

When scrutinizing a stock, retirees should look for:

  • Size. Most retirees would rather not take a flyer on unproven businesses. Bigger companies may lack their smaller counterparts’ growth potential, but they do offer greater security.
  • Consistency. While many investors look for fast-growing companies, conservative investors want to see steady, consistent gains in revenue, free cash flow, and other key metrics. Slow growth won’t make headlines, but it will help prevent the kind of ugly surprises that suddenly torpedo a stock‘s share price.
  • Stock stability. Conservative retirement investors prefer investments that move less dramatically than typical stocks, and they particularly want to avoid big losses. These investments will give up some gains during bull markets, but they won’t fall as far or as fast during bear markets. Beta measures volatility, but we also want a track record of solid performance as well.
  • Valuation. No one can afford to pay too much for a stock, even if its prospects are good. Using normalized earnings multiples helps smooth out one-time effects, giving you a longer-term context.
  • Dividends. Most of all, retirees look for stocks that can provide income through dividends. Retirees want healthy payouts now and consistent dividend growth over time — as long as it doesn’t jeopardize the company’s financial health.

With those factors in mind, let’s take a closer look at Johnson & Johnson.

<td valign="top" …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Factor

What We Want to See

Actual

Pass or Fail?

Size

Market cap > $10 billion

$219 billion

Pass

Consistency

Revenue growth > 0% in at least four of five past years

3 years

Fail

 

Free cash flow growth > 0% in at least four of past five years

2 years

Fail

Stock stability

Beta < 0.9

0.55

Pass

 

Will PepsiCo Help You Retire Rich?

By Dan Caplinger, The Motley Fool

Filed under:

Now more than ever, a comfortable retirement depends on secure, stable investments. Unfortunately, the right stocks for retirement won’t just fall into your lap. In this series, I look at 10 measures to show what makes a great retirement-oriented stock.

Many investors think of PepsiCo simply as the also-ran in the cola wars. But even though its identity focuses on its namesake beverage, PepsiCo has huge strength in its snack business, where it dominates the competition with a highly efficient worldwide distribution network. Can PepsiCo finally rise above its cola rival to demonstrate its advantages? Let’s revisit how PepsiCo does on our 10-point scale.

The right stocks for retirees
With decades to go before you need to tap your investments, you can take greater risks, weighing the chance of big losses against the potential for mind-blowing returns. But as retirement approaches, you no longer have the luxury of waiting out a downturn.

Sure, you still want good returns, but you also need to manage your risk and protect yourself against bear markets, which can maul your finances at the worst possible time. The right stocks combine both of these elements in a single investment.

When scrutinizing a stock, retirees should look for:

  • Size. Most retirees would rather not take a flyer on unproven businesses. Bigger companies may lack their smaller counterparts’ growth potential, but they do offer greater security.
  • Consistency. While many investors look for fast-growing companies, conservative investors want to see steady, consistent gains in revenue, free cash flow, and other key metrics. Slow growth won’t make headlines, but it will help prevent the kind of ugly surprises that suddenly torpedo a stock‘s share price.
  • Stock stability. Conservative retirement investors prefer investments that move less dramatically than typical stocks, and they particularly want to avoid big losses. These investments will give up some gains during bull markets, but they won’t fall as far or as fast during bear markets. Beta measures volatility, but we also want a track record of solid performance as well.
  • Valuation. No one can afford to pay too much for a stock, even if its prospects are good. Using normalized earnings multiples helps smooth out one-time effects, giving you a longer-term context.
  • Dividends. Most of all, retirees look for stocks that can provide income through dividends. Retirees want healthy payouts now and consistent dividend growth over time — as long as it doesn’t jeopardize the company’s financial health.

With those factors in mind, let’s take a closer look at PepsiCo.

Factor

What We Want to See

Actual

Pass or Fail?

Size

Market cap > $10 billion

$117 billion

Pass

Consistency

Revenue growth > 0% in at least four of five past years

3 years

Fail

 

Free cash flow growth > 0% in at least four of past five years

5 years

Pass

Stock stability

Beta < 0.9

0.47

Pass

 

Worst …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance