Tag Archives: Week High

There's a BOGO Sale on North American Palladium

By Rich Duprey, The Motley Fool

Filed under:

The world’s top value investors love it when their best stocks ideas are selling at bargain-basement prices. For those investors, companies offering fire-sale prices become no-brainer buys. So regular investors like you and me would do well to emulate the masters and look at companies offering a “buy one-get one” sale on their stocks.

Considering the anticipated shortage of platinum group metals, the prospects for the auto industry to sell 15.3 million cars this year, and a pending mine expansion, you’d expect palladium miner North American Palladium to be doing much better than it is. But other than a few brief periods of rising expectations, its stock has been on a slow, steady decline.

Still you’ll want to do your own due diligence before buying in to see if this is really a chance to pick up a quality stock at a severe discount.

North American Palladium snapshot

Market Cap

$262 million

Revenues (TTM)

$156 million

1-Year Stock Return

(44.8%)

Return on Investment

(3.1%)

Dividend and Yield

N/A

Estimated 5-Year EPS Growth

0%

52-Week High

$3.06

Recent Price

$1.48

% Below 52-Week High

(51.6%)

CAPS Rating

****

Source: FinViz.com. N/A = not available; North American Palladium doesn’t pay a dividend.

Let’s just make sure there’s nothing more seriously wrong with it before you go and plug it into your portfolio.

Platinum records
Although platinum group metals have some diverse applications in industry and jewelry making, the primary use is in the auto industry’s catalytic converter exhaust system, according to NAP‘s primary competitor, Stillwater Mining  . The U.S. Geological Survey estimates that as much as 58% of palladium goes toward the auto industry, with 26% used for jewelry. Electronics and dentistry account for other significant usages. 

So the health of the auto market remains of paramount concern, and in the U.S., at least, it seems to have regained its footing. According to the analysts at WardsAuto, seasonally adjusted light vehicle auto sales will reach 15.33 million in 2013 based on February’s sales numbers, an increase from January’s 15.22 million SAAR. Sales have been stronger than expected, with General Motors, Chrysler, and Ford all recording better-than-expected sales. The industry sold 12.8 million vehicles in 2012.

The growing demand for cars will place new demand for platinum group metals, even as supply concerns mount. South Africa has been beset by strikes, and Zimbabwe said last month it would seize dozens of hectares of land leased by platinum miner Zimplats Holdings. It’s a smaller amount than what comes from top producer South Africa and second place Russia, but it adds to the supply constraints already being felt. Earlier this year, it was rumored that Russia‘s state stockpiles had almost been exhausted, as inventory sales plunged 68% in 2012. Russia flooded the market for years with inventory sales, keeping prices in check, but …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

4 Superball Stocks

By Rich Smith, The Motley Fool

Filed under:

When stocks fall fast and far, they sometimes set themselves up for remarkable rebounds. The following equities suffered dramatic drops over the past week. With help from the 180,000 members of Motley Fool CAPS, we’ll see whether any of them have the potential to bounce back.

It’s been a while, but thanks to last week’s sell-off, we once again have a chance to stand beneath Mr. Market’s silverware drawer in hopes of snagging a bargain. Let’s meet today’s contenders.

Company

How Far From 52-Week High?

Recent Price

CAPS Rating (out of 5)

CVR Partners

18%

$24.46

*****

Rentech Nitrogen

21%

$38.37

**

Dendreon

56%

$5.41

**

InterOil

27%

$72.21

*

Companies are selected by screening on finviz.com for abrupt 5% or greater price drops last week. Recent price and 52-week-high data provided by finviz.com. CAPS ratings from Motley Fool CAPS.

Five super falls — one superball
After 10 straight days of hitting record highs, the Dow Jones Industrial Average finally took a breather on Friday, falling 25 points — but still ending up 0.8% for the week. After a run like this one, you’d think most investors would be sitting pretty right now and counting the money from two straight weeks of capital gains.

You might even be right about that — yet “most investors” isn’t the same thing as “all investors.” Fact is, the owners of more than 2,700 separate stocks actually exited last week poorer than they went into it, as their stocks declined in value. But why?

The answers aren’t always clear. For example, InterOil recently got a vote of confidence in its Elk and Antelope natural gas fields, when the host government of Papua New Guinea confirmed that it was taking a big stake in the projects. The stock received an upgrade from TheStreet.com last week as well, and a positive mention from Westlake Securities on Wednesday, yet the shares shed 7% of their value last week regardless. Similarly, shares of cancer-vaccine maker Dendreon are down $0.50 — 8.5% — despite reporting no bad news whatsoever last week.

In contrast, while bad news was similarly absent at Rentech Nitrogen last week, there’s at least some basis for the selling we saw there. The fertilizer producer is due to report earnings on Tuesday, and while analysts forecast earnings growth over last year, investors may be worried Rentech will fail to grow as much as the Street forecasts. Of course, that doesn’t explain the similar sell-off at fellow nitrogen specialist CVR Partners. That won reported earnings last month, beat estimates then, and isn’t due for another earnings report until late April. Is that fair?

The bull case for CVR Partners
Perhaps not — at least not in the estimation of CAPS investors, who give CVR Partners a Fool complement …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

5 Superball Stocks

By Rich Smith, The Motley Fool

Filed under:

When stocks fall fast and far, they sometimes set themselves up for remarkable rebounds. The following equities suffered dramatic drops over the past week. With help from the 180,000 members of Motley Fool CAPS, we’ll see whether any of them have the potential to bounce back.

It’s been a while, but thanks to last week’s sell-off, we once again have a chance to stand beneath Mr. Market’s silverware drawer in hopes of snagging a bargain. Let’s meet today’s contenders.

Company

How Far From 52-Week High?

Recent Price

CAPS Rating (out of 5)

Liquidity Services

52%

$32.01

*****

Atlantic Power

63%

$5.43

***

VirnetX Holding

19%

$33.80

*

Direxion Financial Bear 3X

65%

$10.75

*

Direxion Small Cap Bear 3X

61%

$9.54

*

Companies are selected by screening on finviz.com for abrupt 5% or greater price drops last week. Recent price and 52-week-high data provided by finviz.com. CAPS ratings from Motley Fool CAPS.

Five super falls — one superball
What a week. Every day for the past five days, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has gone higher and higher. Four days in a row, we hit four new record, all-time highs. Yet despite all the good news, somehow, more than 1,700 separate stocks actually lost money last week. So what went wrong?

Beginning at the bottom of the list, we find a couple of obvious answers. Direxion Financial Bear 3X and Direxion Small Cap Bear 3X are, respectively, exchange-traded funds that bet heavily on financial stocks and small-cap stocks going down, rather than up. In theory, at least, every time these stocks-as-groups decline one point, the ETFs that bet against them gain three points. So you can imagine what happens when the stocks they’re betting against, instead of declining in price, hit new all-time highs.

Less clear is the case against VirnetX Holding. Two weeks ago, the company won a big court victory  in its patent suit against Apple. The prospect of being able to collect on its $368 million jury verdict should be good news for VirnetX. On the other hand, though, investors may be starting to wonder: Even assuming the company gets to collect its $368 million, what is there to justify the remaining $1.36 billion worth of this profitless, revenue-less company’s market cap? (And if the answer turns out to be “nothing,” then why would you want to own it at this price?)

Next up: Atlantic Power. This one looked more like a Power-outage last week, when its Q4 earnings report featured a big revenue miss, “dismal” earnings, and a halving of the dividend. When a company’s expected to earn only a nickel yet somehow manages to lose $0.45 a share instead, you can’t expect investors to react well to that news — and they didn’t.

But enough of the bad news. For a change …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance