Tag Archives: Trailing Avg

Is IMI the Ultimate Retirement Share?

By Roland Head, The Motley Fool

Filed under:

LONDON — The last five years have been tough for those in retirement. Portfolio valuations have been hammered, and annuity rates have plunged. There’s no sign of things improving anytime soon, either, as the eurozone and the U.K. economy look set to muddle through at best for some years to come.

A great way of protecting yourself from the downturn, however, is by building your retirement fund with shares of large, well-run companies that should grow their earnings steadily over the coming decades. Over time, such investments ought to result in rising dividends and inflation-beating capital growth.

In this series, I’m tracking down the U.K. large-caps that have the potential to beat the FTSE 100 over the long term and support a lower-risk income-generating retirement fund (you can see the companies I’ve covered so far on this page).

Today, I’m going to take a look at engineering group IMI , one of the smaller companies in the FTSE 100.

IMI vs. FTSE 100
Let’s start with a look at how IMI has performed against the FTSE 100 over the last 10 years:

Total Returns 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 10-Yr. Trailing Avg.
IMI -25.7% 98.4% 86.5% -16.6% 48.4% 20.2%
FTSE 100 -28.3% 27.3% 12.6% -2.2% 10% 10%

Source: Morningstar. (Total return includes both changes to the share price and reinvested dividends. These two ingredients combined are what make it possible for equity portfolios to regularly outperform cash and bonds over the long term.)

IMI‘s meteoric growth over the last decade earned it promotion into the FTSE 100 in 2010 and means that shareholders have enjoyed an average annual return of twice the FTSE 100 average over the last 10 years — not bad for a company that specializes in “the precise control and movement of fluids”! So does IMI have the makings of a great retirement share?

What’s the score?
To help me pinpoint suitable investments, I like to score companies on key financial metrics that highlight the characteristics I look for in a retirement share. Let’s see how IMI shapes up:

Item Value
Year founded 1862*
Market cap 4.3 billion pounds
Net debt 117 million pounds
Dividend Yield 2.4%
5-Year Average Financials
Operating margin 13.5%
Interest cover 14.0x
EPS growth 15.6%
Dividend growth 10%
Dividend cover 2.1x

*The company that became IMI was founded in 1862, but from 1927-1966, it was part of ICI, which it helped found.

Here’s how I’ve scored IMI on each of these criteria:

Criteria Comment Score
Longevity A long and respectable heritage. 5/5
Performance vs. FTSE Outstanding. 5/5
Financial strength Low debt, strong cash generation, but a big pension deficit. 3/5
EPS growth Strong earnings growth is expected to continue. 4/5
Dividend growth Decent growth with no cuts in more than 20 years. 4/5
Total: 21/25

Unlike many British engineering businesses, IMI has survived and prospered for more than 150 years. Although the nature of its business has changed several times over the years — until the 1990s, its main area of expertise was metals — this isn’t unusual for successful engineering businesses, which tend to be driven by a combination of scientific discovery and economic necessity.

Although analysts’ forecasts suggest IMI‘s earnings growth will …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Is International Consolidated Airlines the Ultimate Retirement Share?

By Roland Head, The Motley Fool

Filed under:

LONDON — The last five years have been tough for those in retirement. Portfolio valuations have been hammered and annuity rates have plunged. There’s no sign of things improving anytime soon, either, as the Eurozone and the U.K. economy look set to muddle through at best for some years to come.

A great way of protecting yourself from the downturn, however, is by building your retirement fund with shares of large, well-run companies that should grow their earnings steadily over the coming decades. Over time, such investments ought to result in rising dividends and inflation-beating capital growth.

In this series, I’m tracking down the U.K. large caps that have the potential to beat the FTSE 100 over the long term and support a lower-risk, income-generating retirement fund (you can see the companies I’ve covered so far on this page).

Today, I’m going to take a look at International Consolidated Airlines Group , the strangely named company that operates British Airways and Spain‘s troubled Iberia airline. IAG released its final results this week, showing that British Airways‘ profits were cancelled out by Iberia’s losses. So can IAG‘s management turn Iberia around to deliver sustainable, long-term growth?

International Consolidated Airlines vs. FTSE 100
Let’s start with a look at how IAG has performed against the FTSE 100 since it was formed in Jan. 2011 through the merger of British Airways, Iberia, and, more recently, bmi:

Total Returns

2011

2012

2013 YTD

3-Yr. Trailing Avg.

International Consolidated Airlines

-45.9%

25.4%

29.4%

4.2%

FTSE 100

-2.2%

10%

8.4%

9.7%

Source: Morningstar

(Total return includes both changes to the share price and reinvested dividends. These two ingredients combined are what make it possible for equity portfolios to regularly outperform cash and bonds over the long term.)

IAG‘s stock market performance since its creation has been fairly unimpressive, and yesterday the group reported a pre-tax loss of 997 million euros for 2012. Another loss seems likely in 2013, as the group faces the exceptional costs and likely disruption from strike action involved in restructuring loss-making Iberia. Despite this, IAG‘s shares have performed strongly so far this year, as analysts have upgraded their expectations for IAG, thanks to the success it has had in integrating bmi into a restructured and profitable British Airways.

What’s the score?
To help me pinpoint suitable investments, I like to score companies on key financial metrics that highlight the characteristics I look for in a retirement share. Let’s see how IAG shapes up:

Item

Value

Year founded

2011

Market cap

4.4 billion pounds

Net debt

1.9 billion euros

Dividend Yield

0%

3-Year Average Financials

Operating margin

2.5%

Interest cover

2.0x

EPS growth

-132%

Dividend growth

n/a

Dividend cover

n/a

Here’s how I’ve scored IAG on each of these criteria:

Criteria

Comment

Score

Longevity

A difficult marriage that may yet fail.

1/5

Performance vs. FTSE

Below average, but too early to really judge.

2/5

Financial strength

Despite this year’s losses, it’s fairly robust.

3/5

EPS growth

Not much growth yet.

1/5

Dividend growth

Doesn’t yet pay a dividend.

0/5

Total: 7/25

IAG currently has the dubious distinction of being one of just three companies in the FTSE 100 that don’t pay a dividend — the others being Royal Bank of Scotland and Lloyds. That’s not a great start for …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance