Tag Archives: TBV

Why Och-Ziff Is Poised to Underperform

By Brian Pacampara, Pacampara, The Motley Fool

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Based on the aggregated intelligence of 180,000-plus investors participating in Motley Fool CAPS, the Fool’s free investing community, investment manager Och-Ziff Capital Management Group LLC has received a distressing two-star ranking.

With that in mind, let’s take a closer look at Och-Ziff and see what CAPS investors are saying about the stock right now.

Och-Ziff facts

Headquarters (founded)

New York (1994)

Market Cap

$1.4 billion

Industry

Asset management

Trailing-12-Month Revenue

$1.2 billion

Management

Chairman/CEO Daniel Och
CFO Joel Frank

Return on Equity (average, past 3 years)

22.2%

Cash / Debt

$162.5 million / $612.4 million

Dividend Yield

31.9%

Competitors

AllianceBernstein L.P.
Citigroup 
UBS Financial Services

Sources: S&P Capital IQ and Motley Fool CAPS.

On CAPS, 26% of the 97 members who have rated Och-Ziff believe the stock will underperform the S&P 500 going forward.

Just yesterday, one of those Fools, All-Star MegaShort, explained why Och-Ziff looked overvalued:

When valuing asset managers, I take tangible book value (TBV) and add a percentage of assets under management (AUM).

The percent of AUM varies depending on the quality of the business (reflected in fees and growth). A great alternative asset manager might be worth 5% of AUM, a mediocre alternative might be worth 3%, a great mutual fund manager 2%, a mediocre mutual fund manager 1%.

[Och-Ziff’s] TBV is -$250M and AUM is $34.6B. To justify the market cap, the percent of AUM needs to be 12.3%. The valuation appears quite unreasonable.

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The article Why Och-Ziff Is Poised to Underperform originally appeared on Fool.com.

Fool contributor Brian Pacampara has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of Citigroup Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 – 2013 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

SI Financial Buying Newport Bancorp

By Rich Smith, The Motley Fool

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It’s been a little over a month since Newport Bancorp issued its Q4 2012 earnings report, showing that the company grew profits ($0.14 per share), but lost assets (which shrank by 1%). Now, it appears that this is the last report the tiny bank holding company will ever make.

On Tuesday, rival banker SI Financial Group , the holding company for Savings Institute Bank and Trust Company, announced that it has agreed to buy Newport for $17.55 per share, payable either in cash, or in the form of 1.5129 shares of SI stock per share of Newport acquired, as the shareholder prefers. As is usual in such cash-and-stock deals, SI has set limits on the amount of either cash or stock it will be required to produce, such that if more than 50% of shareholders choose to be cashed out either in cash or in stock, then payment will be pro rata. (This means that Newport shareholders will have to accept a mix of cash and stock as their purchase price.) The total implied value of SI‘s takeover bid is therefore roughly $61.3 million.

By acquiring Newport, SI will add $449.4 million in assets, $355.0 million in loans, and $289.7 million in deposits. It will also gain entry into the banking markets of Newport and Washington Counties in Rhode Island, where Newport has five full-service branches, and will add Newport’s single branch in Stonington, Connecticut.

SI says it expects the acquisition to be “immediately accretive to its earnings per share, excluding one-time transaction expenses.” Yet, even so, because the deal was announced after hours, it’s hard to say how investors will react to the news. Given that SI says it is paying “116% of Newport Bancorp‘s tangible book value” to acquire the company, and given that SI‘s own price-to-TBV  is only 0.9, a negative shareholder reaction seems likely. Conversely, Newport shareholders will probably be pleased. At $17.55 per share, they’re being offered an immediate 11% premium to Newport’s Tuesday closing share price.

The article SI Financial Buying Newport Bancorp originally appeared on Fool.com.

Fool contributor Rich Smith has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 – 2013 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance