Tag Archives: Perfect World

These Stocks Couldn't Maintain Momentum, Either

By Rich Duprey, The Motley Fool

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All good things must come to an end. After seven straight days of gains, the S&P 500 finally lost four points. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, however, continued its string of up days, tacking on another three points to make it eight consecutive days of new highs.

As the Fool’s Jeremy Bowman pointed out the other day, a better economic outlook here at home is driving the market‘s euphoria while much of the rest of the world teeters on collapse. So don’t go running over the cliff with them like a bunch of lemmings: This could just be a temporary situation. Let’s first see whether they had good reason to fall, as panic-fueled routs can sometimes lead to excellent buying opportunities.

Company

% Change

Diamond Foods

(9.7%)

Perfect World

(8.8%)

Yandex

(8%)

That’s nuts
Last week nut grower Diamond Foods surged higher on no apparent news, which I suggested would end up being a short-term phenomenon because there was no fundamental basis for the rise. That was borne out by yesterday’s crash after Diamond reported earnings that were only in line with analyst expectations.

Despite having lost the Pringles brand to Kellogg following its accounting shenanigans debacle that led to a restatement of its financials, it’s still apparent Diamond Foods wants to be a snack-food player. Starting with its second-quarter results, it’s reporting in two segments now: nuts and snacks. The latter saw revenues rise 7% to $105 million, while nut revenues plummeted almost 30% as volumes cratered 37% from the year-ago period.

Yet it could have been so much more. Kellogg reported fourth-quarter earnings last month showing net sales soaring 18%, as Pringles drove most of the gains. As I noted at the time, “Without the acquisition, sales growth still would have come in at 5.3%, its biggest gain in more than a year, but it shows what Diamond could have enjoyed had it won the brand.” The stock is down almost 12% now from its recent highs.

Game over?
Chinese Web games operator Perfect World also reported earnings the other day in line with expectations, but its outlook for the future is what sank the stock yesterday. It projected first-quarter sales to come in between 592 million yuan, or about $95 million at current exchange rates, to 619 million yuan, which is well below the 643 million yuan consensus estimate of analysts.

Management contends, though, that it’s investing in the future of its business, so that while it makes current-period results weaker than anticipated, it will pay off later on. Perfect World decelerated its in-game promotional activities and focused instead on its pipeline as well as content enhancements for its existing titles, but the market apparently didn’t buy into that argument.

I’ve noted on numerous occasions I’m not a fan of the free-to-play/pay-to-play-more online gaming business model, and I believe the moves by …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Perfect World Misses Where it Counts

By Seth Jayson, The Motley Fool

Filed under:

Perfect World (NAS: PWRD) reported earnings on March 11. Here are the numbers you need to know.

The 10-second takeaway
For the quarter ended Dec. 31 (Q4), Perfect World met expectations on revenues and missed estimates on earnings per share.

Compared to the prior-year quarter, revenue dropped. Non-GAAP earnings per share contracted significantly. GAAP earnings per share dropped significantly.

Margins dropped across the board.

Revenue details
Perfect World reported revenue of $109.1 million. The seven analysts polled by S&P Capital IQ looked for revenue of $109.1 million on the same basis. GAAP reported sales were 11% lower than the prior-year quarter’s $122.8 million.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
EPS came in at $0.47. The four earnings estimates compiled by S&P Capital IQ predicted $0.48 per share. Non-GAAP EPS of $0.47 for Q4 were 48% lower than the prior-year quarter’s $0.90 per share. (The prior-year quarter included -$0.01 per share in earnings from discontinued operations.) GAAP EPS of $0.29 for Q4 were 66% lower than the prior-year quarter’s $0.85 per share. (The prior-year quarter included -$0.01 per share in earnings from discontinued operations.)

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Margin details
For the quarter, gross margin was 76.9%, 540 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 7.8%, much worse than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 12.7%, much worse than the prior-year quarter. (Margins calculated in GAAP terms.)

Looking ahead
Next quarter’s average estimate for revenue is $112.2 million. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $0.62.

Next year’s average estimate for revenue is $493.0 million. The average EPS estimate is $2.24.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a three-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 478 members out of 514 rating the stock outperform, and 36 members rating it underperform. Among 98 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 89 give Perfect World a green thumbs-up, and nine give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Perfect World is outperform, with an average price target of $14.20.

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Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Perfect World Earnings: An Early Look

By Dan Caplinger, The Motley Fool

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Earnings season is winding down, with most companies already having reported their quarterly results. But there are still some companies left to report, and Perfect World is about to release its quarterly earnings report. The key to making smart investment decisions with stocks releasing their quarter reports is to anticipate how they’ll do before they announce results, leaving you fully prepared to respond quickly to whatever inevitable surprises arise. That way, you’ll be less likely to make an uninformed kneejerk reaction to news that turns out to be exactly the wrong move.

The Chinese online-gaming industry has suffered its ups and downs lately, but Perfect World has been particularly hurt by strong competition and other headwinds. Let’s take an early look at what’s been happening with Perfect World over the past quarter, and what we’re likely to see in its quarterly report on Monday.

Stats on Perfect World

 

 

Analyst EPS Estimate

$0.39

Change From Year-Ago EPS

(57%)

Revenue Estimate

$106 million

Change From Year-Ago Revenue

(11%)

Earnings Beats in Past 4 Quarters

1

Source: Yahoo! Finance.

Will Perfect World give investors a winning score this quarter?
Analysts have had mixed views on Perfect World over the past few months, having boosted their views slightly on earnings for the just-ended quarter, but pulling back on the full-year 2013 consensus. The stock, though, has performed reasonably well, rising 7% since early December.

Perfect World is one of many companies in China offering massively multi-player online role-playing games to gamers around the world. Although the Chinese online gaming industry is still growing at a strong rate, Perfect World hasn’t participated nearly as much as its peers. Larger players NetEase and ChangYou have managed to grow their revenue at a fairly substantial rate, but Perfect World has seen revenue drop in the past year, and expects an even bigger contraction this quarter.

In an attempt to boost traffic and promote a coming release, Perfect World gave users early access to its Neverwinter Dungeons & Dragons MMORPG. With one weekend in February and two weekends in March, select gamers in Europe and North America will be able to look at the game for 60 hours, with buyers of the game getting guaranteed slots. The company also has a number of games under development that should launch later this year.

In its quarterly report, watch closely to see how Perfect World fares outside its core Chinese market, where the company has seen solid growth recently. If the company can keep attracting international gamers, then they may prove to be the key to reawakening Perfect World‘s overall revenue growth.

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Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance