Tag Archives: MLM

Why The FTC Won't Take Bill Ackman's Advice To Prosecute Herbalife (Even Though It Should)

By Matt Stroud, Contributor

The following is a diversion from typical “Prison Complex” posts, but it certainly falls within Forbes’ wheelhouse. Plus, it’s fascinating. Don’t fret: we’ll be back to dissecting U.S. prison spending soon. — Matt Stroud ——— In case you haven’t been following along, Wall Street hedge fund manager Bill Ackman has been saying very publicly since December that Herbalife, the multi-billion dollar nutritional supplement multi-level marketing company (MLM), is a sham. Ackman is so convinced of Herbalife’s fraudulence that he’s placed a billion-dollar Wall Street bet that the company’s dishonest business practices will eventually kill it. To bolster his public outrage, Ackman has repeatedly invited the U.S. Federal Trade Commission to conduct an investigation into the company’s inner workings. He’s not alone on that front. California congresswoman Linda Sanchez made a similar call recently. New York City Councilwoman Julissa Ferreras did the same. So did the National Consumers League in March. And while FTC representatives have said they find the company’s business practices “disturbing” — and rumors continue to swirl about an Herbalife probe — an official investigation has yet to be launched. Ackman, Rep. Sanchez, Ferreras, and others hope that’ll change. But if the U.S.’s historical approach to MLMs is any indication, they may have to wait a long time. The Amway Decision The landmark MLM case in the U.S. occurred way back in 1975. At that time, the FTC went after Amway for many of the same reasons Ackman and others want the FTC to go after Herbalife today. Amway is a Michigan-based multi-level marketing company (MLM). It’s international — one of the first MLMs to become a household name in the US and one of the first to expand successfully abroad. It’s got a vast product line (including home and personal care products, electronics, jewelry, even insurance and dietary supplements) but its business model is indistinguishable from MLMs all over the world: its non-employee distributors are paid small commissions to sell products and recruit as many new distributors as possible. While the eventual ruling in the 1979 Amway case didn’t make Amway look very good, it also shielded other MLMs from prosecution. As the FTC saw it, Amway had two main problems. First, its distributors weren’t really selling anything. Amway’s distributors would receive a percentage of what they sold, a bonus percentage for what their recruits sold, another bonus percentage of what their recruits’ recruits sold, and so on. But they could only maximize and maintain those percentages by remaining “active” — by selling a certain amount of product every month. So they took the easy way out: instead of selling products, distributors would just buy the minimum number of products every month and stash it somewhere. Second, Amway made unprovable claims about distributors’ income. The FTC decision — a 121-page document that describes years of arguments and questions about Amway’s sales practices — walks readers through a litany of Amway-approved pitch lines: “What are some of your dreams?” “Do you want a new car, a new house, college …read more

Source: FULL ARTICLE at Forbes Latest

Herbalife: Dog, or Just an Underdog?

By Rich Duprey, The Motley Fool

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Short-sellers and hedge funds may be shadowy, but sometimes they’re the smartest guys in the room. They’ve done their homework, and they’re willing to bet their capital against the crowd — an investing strategy that can be as lucrative as it is contrarian.

On Motley Fool CAPS, the 180,000-member-driven investor community where informed opinion is translated into stock ratings of one to five stars, we also have investors who find the chinks in a company’s armor and correctly call its fall. We call them “Underdogs” if they’ve earned 100 or more CAPS points by correctly predicting that one or more stocks would underperform the market.

Today I’m looking at nutritional supplements maker Herbalife , which lost more than a third of its value after becoming the centerpiece of an argument between dueling hedge fund operators. Investors remain wary of its multi-level marketing structure, so there’s little doubt why the nutritionals seller carries the lowest one-star CAPS rating.

It’s been a bit of a wild ride, so if there are any who’ve scored big by correctly predicting which stocks will fail, it may be worth our while to check out those they think will ultimately succeed. And CAPS All-Star Valyooo is one who’s earned the underdog moniker and recently predicted that Herbalife would rout the shorts.

Herbalife snapshot

Market Cap

$4.3 billion

Revenues (TTM)

$4.1 billion

1-Year Stock Return

(35%)

Return on Investment

50.6%

Estimated 5-Year EPS Growth

14.8%

Dividend and Yield

$1.20/2.9%

Recent Price

$41.50

CAPS Rating (out of 5)

*

Source: FinViz.com.

Of course, not every short sale goes as planned, which makes shorting a risky proposition. Stock prices can be irrational longer than you have money to stay in the game. And you don’t want to end up with fleas by lying down with the dogs, so make sure you do your homework.

A scary opportunity
Not that there haven’t been doubts before about Herbalife and its MLM business model, but when David Einhorn of Greenlight Capital appeared on the supplement maker’s conference call early last year asking some tough questions about its operations, investors immediately suspected the worst and bolted for the exits. Einhorn never did take a position in Herbalife — short or long — and it seemed to be on its way to a comeback when Pershing Capital’s Bill Ackman made a very public splash of his very large short position, raising all the same fears and once again plunging the stock into chaos.

That itself turned into a bit of a melodrama when Daniel Loeb and Third Point Capital went very long on Herbalife, saying it was ludicrous to think the FTC would shut down the company. Then Ackman’s longtime arch-nemesis, Carl Icahn, came out and disparaged his rival’s position, with the two getting into a verbal sparring match on CNBC.

The MLM …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance