Tag Archives: LTV

Should I Borrow to Invest in AstraZeneca, National Grid, and Vodafone Group?

By Harvey Jones, The Motley Fool

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LONDON — Crazy days! Interest rates have been stuck at all-time lows for more than four years, and the first rate hike could be another four years away. This has led to some crazy anomalies.

You can now get a five-year fixed-rate mortgage charging just 2.74%, up to 60% loan-to-value (LTV), or a 10-year deal at 3.99%, up to 75% LTV (subject to status, as they say).

At the same time, you can earn a yield of 5% and 6% by investing in solid FTSE 100 favorites, plus the prospect of capital growth if QE-fuelled markets keep rising.

I wouldn’t normally urge you to borrow to invest in shares, because gearing adds an extra layer of risk. But does it make sense today?

Borrow and buy
Do you expect your portfolio to deliver a total return of more than 4% a year over the next decade? I certainly do. If so, and if you’ve got enough spare equity in your home to access a best-buy home loan, then, maybe, just maybe, you should be in less of a hurry to pay down that mortgage.

If you’re tempted, I would suggest taking out a long-term fixed-rate loan, preferably for 10 years, so your plans aren’t scuppered by a sudden upward lurch in interest rates.

To add an extra layer of security, you could then invest into a fat FTSE high-yielder or three. Dividend income is taxable, so, if you’re bold enough to follow this controversial course, use your ISA allowance.

I’ll leave you to find out the cheapest way to borrow money, but here are three stocks you might consider investing in.

AstraZeneca
AstraZeneca  currently yields a base-rate-busting 6.1%. Pharmaceutical stocks are supposed to be defensive, but it is some years since this one has appeared solid at the back. AstraZeneca scored an embarrassing own goal with its $15.6 billion acquisition of Medimmune in 2007, while sales and revenues have plunged lately, as lucrative drug patents expire, and the pipeline of new products remains blocked. New chief executive Pascal Soriot has just announced a major reorganization, axing 1,600 jobs, and investing in new research and development (R&D) centres in the U.S., U.K. and Sweden, in a bid to “put science at the heart of everything we do” and improve R&D productivity. The overhaul will last for three uncertain years.

These disappointments have knocked AstraZeneca’s valuation, which trades on a mere seven times earnings, roughly half the FTSE 100 average. Given its forecast earnings per share (EPS) growth of -19% in 2013, and -3% in 2014, that lowly valuation looks richly deserved. But it does give the share price plenty of scope to recover, if Soriot gets his strategy right. Despite its recent troubles, AstraZeneca is up 7% over the past 12 months, giving a total return of 13%. AstraZeneca is also the biggest single holding in dividend dangerman Neil Woodford‘s Invesco-Perpetual High Income fund, at 8.53%, and he tends to get these things right in the longer …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Kroll Bond Rating Agency Assigns Final Ratings to JPMCC 2013-C10

By Business Wirevia The Motley Fool

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Kroll Bond Rating Agency Assigns Final Ratings to JPMCC 2013-C10

NEW YORK–(BUSINESS WIRE)– Kroll Bond Rating Agency (KBRA) assigned its final ratings to fourteen classes of JPMCC 2013-C10, a $1.28 billion CMBS multi-borrower transaction collateralized by 50 fixed rate commercial mortgage loans that are secured by 101 properties. Concurrently, we have withdrawn our preliminary ratings of the certificates, which were assigned on February 22, 2013 (see our ratings listed below).

The mortgage loan sellers are JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association (JPMCB), CIBC Inc. (CIBC) and Redwood Commercial Mortgage Corporation (RCMC). The respective contribution of each seller to the pool balance is as follows: JPMCB (36 loans, 81.1%), CIBC (8 loans, 12.0%) and RCMC (6 loans, 6.9%). The majority of the loans (29 loans, 69.2%) were used to refinance existing debt, while the proceeds from 21 loans (30.8%) were used for property acquisitions.

The loans have principal balances that range from $3.0 million to $130.0 million for the largest loan in the pool, which is secured by The Shops at Riverside (10.2%), a regional mall property located in Hackensack, New Jersey. The top five loans, which also include Gateway Center (8.8%), EIP Industrial Portfolio (7.1%), 111 West Jackson (6.3%) and Pot-Nets Manufactured Housing Portfolio (4.8%), represent 37.0% of the initial pool balance, and the top 10 loan exposures represent 55.0%. The properties are geographically diverse and located across 22 states with the three largest state concentrations being New Jersey (14.0%), Illinois (11.6%) and Pennsylvania (11.4%). The pool has exposure to two property types with concentrations in excess of 10%: retail (35.2%) and office (33.9%).

KBRA‘s analysis of the transaction incorporated our multi-borrower rating process that begins with our analysts’ evaluation of underlying collateral properties’ financial and operating performance, which determine KBRA‘s estimate of sustainable net cash flow (KNCF) and KBRA value. The analysis utilized our CMBS Property Evaluation Guidelines to determine KNCF, which on an aggregate basis was 3.3% less than the issuer cash flow. KBRA capitalization rates were applied to each asset’s KNCF to derive individual property values that, on an aggregate basis, were 33.4% less than third party appraisal values. The pool has an in-trust KLTV of 97.8% and an all-in LTV of 101.5%.

KNCF and KBRA capitalization rates were among the key inputs used in our credit modeling process. The model deploys rent and occupancy stresses, probability of default regressions, and loss given default calculations to determine losses for each collateral loan that were used by KBRA to assign our credit ratings for this transaction.

Kroll Bond Rating Agency Assigns Preliminary Ratings to Sequoia Mortgage Trust 2013-4

By Business Wirevia The Motley Fool

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Kroll Bond Rating Agency Assigns Preliminary Ratings to Sequoia Mortgage Trust 2013-4

NEW YORK–(BUSINESS WIRE)– Kroll Bond Rating Agency (KBRA) assigns preliminary ratings to six classes of mortgage pass-through certificates from Sequoia Mortgage Trust 2013-4, a jumbo prime RMBS transaction.

The mortgage pool backing SEMT 2013-4 is comprised of 716 first-lien mortgage loans with an aggregate principal balance of $576,435,465 as of the cut-off date. Over 98% of the loans in the pool are 30-yer fixed-rate mortgages; the remainder are 20-year and 25-year fixed mortgages. About 2.2% of the loans are interest-only for the first 10 years; the remainder are fully amortizing. The pool is characterized by substantial borrower equity in each mortgaged property, as evidenced by the average LTV (64%) and CLTV (65%). The weighted average credit score of the mortgage pool is 773 which is well within the prime mortgage range. The SEMT 2013-4 pool is also notable for offering even stronger levels of borrower equity.

KBRA‘s analysis of the transaction included a loan-level analysis of the mortgage pools using our Residential Mortgage Default and Loss Model, together with a review of the transaction parties, results of loan file reviews performed by independent third party firms and review of the legal structure and key documentation. This analysis is further described in our U.S. RMBS Rating Methodology.

For complete details on the analysis, please see our Pre-Sale Report, Sequoia Mortgage Trust 2013-4, which was published on March 12th 2013 at www.krollbondratings.com.

…read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Sequoia Mortgage Trust 2013-4 Preliminary Ratings