Tag Archives: Franklin Electric

Why Franklin Electric May Be About to Take Off

By Seth Jayson, The Motley Fool

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Here at The Motley Fool, I’ve long cautioned investors to keep a close eye on inventory levels. It’s a part of my standard diligence when searching for the market’s best stocks. I think a quarterly checkup can help you spot potential problems. For many companies, products that sit on the shelves too long can become big trouble. Stale inventory may be sold for lower prices, hurting profitability. In extreme cases, it may be written off completely and sent to the shredder.

Basic guidelines
In this series, I examine inventory using a simple rule of thumb: Inventory increases ought to roughly parallel revenue increases. If inventory bloats more quickly than sales grow, this might be a sign that expected sales haven’t materialized. Is the current inventory situation at Franklin Electric (NAS: FELE) out of line? To figure that out, start by comparing the company’s inventory growth to sales growth. How is Franklin Electric doing by this quick checkup? At first glance, not so great. Trailing-12-month revenue increased 8.6%, and inventory increased 35.4%. Comparing the latest quarter to the prior-year quarter, the story looks potentially problematic. Revenue grew 9.6%, and inventory expanded 35.4%. Over the sequential quarterly period, the trend looks worrisome. Revenue dropped 13.6%, and inventory dropped 3.2%.

Advanced inventory

I don’t stop my checkup there, because the type of inventory can matter even more than the overall quantity. There’s even one type of inventory bulge we sometimes like to see. You can check for it by examining the quarterly filings to evaluate the different kinds of inventory: raw materials, work-in-progress inventory, and finished goods. (Some companies report the first two types as a single category.)

A company ramping up for increased demand may increase raw materials and work-in-progress inventory at a faster rate when it expects robust future growth. As such, we might consider oversized growth in those categories to offer a clue to a brighter future, and a clue that most other investors will miss. We call it “positive inventory divergence.”

On the other hand, if we see a big increase in finished goods, that often means product isn’t moving as well as expected, and it’s time to hunker down with the filings and conference calls to find out why.

What’s going on with the inventory at Franklin Electric? I chart the details below for both quarterly and 12-month periods.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Data is current as of latest fully reported quarter. Dollar amounts in millions. FY = fiscal year. TTM = trailing 12 months.

Franklin Electric's Margin Hot Streak Continues

By Seth Jayson, The Motley Fool

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Margins matter. The more Franklin Electric (NAS: FELE) keeps of each buck it earns in revenue, the more money it has to invest in growth, fund new strategic plans, or (gasp!) distribute to shareholders. Healthy margins often separate pretenders from the best stocks in the market. That’s why we check up on margins at least once a quarter in this series. I’m looking for the absolute numbers, so I can compare them to current and potential competitors, and any trend that may tell me how strong Franklin Electric‘s competitive position could be.

Here’s the current margin snapshot for Franklin Electric over the trailing 12 months: Gross margin is 33.8%, while operating margin is 12.8% and net margin is 9.3%.

Unfortunately, a look at the most recent numbers doesn’t tell us much about where Franklin Electric has been, or where it’s going. A company with rising gross and operating margins often fuels its growth by increasing demand for its products. If it sells more units while keeping costs in check, its profitability increases. Conversely, a company with gross margins that inch downward over time is often losing out to competition, and possibly engaging in a race to the bottom on prices. If it can’t make up for this problem by cutting costs — and most companies can’t — then both the business and its shares face a decidedly bleak outlook.

Of course, over the short term, the kind of economic shocks we recently experienced can drastically affect a company’s profitability. That’s why I like to look at five fiscal years’ worth of margins, along with the results for the trailing 12 months, the last fiscal year, and last fiscal quarter (LFQ). You can’t always reach a hard conclusion about your company’s health, but you can better understand what to expect, and what to watch.

Here’s the margin picture for Franklin Electric over the past few years.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Dollar amounts in millions. FY = fiscal year. TTM = trailing 12 months.

Because of seasonality in some businesses, the numbers for the last period on the right — the TTM figures — aren’t always comparable to the FY results preceding them. To compare quarterly margins to their prior-year levels, consult this chart.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Dollar amounts in millions. FQ = fiscal quarter.

Here’s how the stats break down:

  • Over the past five years, gross margin peaked at 33.8% and averaged 31.8%. Operating margin peaked at 12.8% and averaged 10.7%. Net margin peaked at 9.3% and averaged 6.4%.
  • TTM gross margin is 33.8%, 200 basis points better than the five-year average. TTM operating margin is 12.8%, 210 basis points …read more
    Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Don't Get Too Worked Up Over Franklin Electric's Earnings

By Seth Jayson, The Motley Fool

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Although business headlines still tout earnings numbers, many investors have moved past net earnings as a measure of a company’s economic output. That’s because earnings are very often less trustworthy than cash flow, since earnings are more open to manipulation based on dubious judgment calls.

Earnings’ unreliability is one of the reasons Foolish investors often flip straight past the income statement to check the cash flow statement. In general, by taking a close look at the cash moving in and out of the business, you can better understand whether the last batch of earnings brought money into the company, or merely disguised a cash gusher with a pretty headline.

Calling all cash flows

When you are trying to buy the market’s best stocks, it’s worth checking up on your companies’ free cash flow once a quarter or so, to see whether it bears any relationship to the net income in the headlines. That’s what we do with this series. Today, we’re checking in on Franklin Electric (NAS: FELE) , whose recent revenue and earnings are plotted below.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Data is current as of last fully reported fiscal quarter. Dollar values in millions. FCF = free cash flow. FY = fiscal year. TTM = trailing 12 months.

Over the past 12 months, Franklin Electric generated $30.9 million cash while it booked net income of $82.9 million. That means it turned 3.5% of its revenue into FCF. That sounds OK. However, FCF is less than net income. Ideally, we’d like to see the opposite.

All cash is not equal
Unfortunately, the cash flow statement isn’t immune from nonsense, either. That’s why it pays to take a close look at the components of cash flow from operations, to make sure that the cash flows are of high quality. What does that mean? To me, it means they need to be real and replicable in the upcoming quarters, rather than being offset by continual cash outflows that don’t appear on the income statement (such as major capital expenditures).

For instance, cash flow based on cash net income and adjustments for non-cash income-statement expenses (like depreciation) is generally favorable. An increase in cash flow based on stiffing your suppliers (by increasing accounts payable for the short term) or shortchanging Uncle Sam on taxes will come back to bite investors later. The same goes for decreasing accounts receivable; this is good to see, but it’s ordinary in recessionary times, and you can only increase collections so much. Finally, adding stock-based compensation expense back to cash flows is questionable when a company hands out a lot of equity to employees and uses cash in later periods to buy back those shares.

So …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance