Tag Archives: Fool Evan Niu

Could Zynga Rise to Its Former Glory?

By Steve Symington, The Motley Fool

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Let me start by admitting that I’ve never been fond of Zynga from an investment standpoint.

While its games might be mildly entertaining, I’ve voiced skepticism for its buybacks and acquisitions, questioned the sustainability of its business model, and frowned at the seeming lack of faith in the company demonstrated by founding CEO Mark Pincus. Remember, after all, that Pincus sold around 16 million Zynga shares for nearly $200 million just two months before the stock tanked on its terrible second-quarter results last year:

Source: ZNGA data by YCharts.

What’s more, I certainly wasn’t alone in my distaste of the company. The Motley Fool community as a whole voted Pincus the worst CEO of 2012, with additional thanks to Zynga’s skyrocketing R&D costs, a mass exodus of executive and engineering talent, and a crumbling share price.

Departure from the norm
Even so, that’s exactly why it’s so interesting that Pincus last week not only voluntarily lowered his salary to $1, but also opted out of the company’s cash bonus and equity award programs in 2013 in a radical departure from his previous actions. 

Could this be his first step toward making amends with angry shareholders? Maybe.

Then again, perhaps he’s just trying to put on a show in the fallout of his decision to sell in the face of multiple nasty insider trading allegations.

Can this house win?
However, Zynga did jump by as much as 17% last Wednesday after the company made good on its promise of officially launching its first real-money gambling titles in the U.K., including ZyngaPlusPoker and ZyngaPlusCasino. As fellow Fool Tim Beyers pointed out last week, even Zynga haters have found themselves intrigued by the massive upside potential of its bet on real-money gambling games.

Source: Zynga.

Apart from this unproven revenue stream, however, I still remain firmly in the camp of doubters who wonder whether the company can actually innovate to stay afloat. After all, The Sims Social game creator EA sued Zynga last year, claiming the smaller company blatantly copied The Sims franchise with its own version titled The Ville. While the two companies settled the suit out of court in February without disclosing terms, fellow Fool Evan Niu astutely noted many, if not all, of Zynga’s games at the time of the lawsuit appeared to have eerily similar roots in other companies’ existing titles. EA, for its part, seemed to be the only company with a large enough presence to be willing to officially call a spade a spade on paper.

Game-specific spats aside, I’m also concerned that Zynga won’t be able to consistently pump out a large enough number of massively popular, low-priced games with its core business to keep players entertained for any extended period of time. This lack of long-term sustainability is exactly why I would much prefer owning shares of EA or, better yet, gaming stalwart Activision Blizzard, which …read more

Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

T-Mobile Stops Subsidizing Apple

By Rich Duprey, The Motley Fool

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Equally important as the hubbub over T-Mobile finally getting its hands on Apple‘s iPhone was the announcement over the weekend it was finally ending the subsidies it pays on smartphones. Instead users will pay full freight for a handset, but will have the option of paying it off in installments or bringing their own device if they choose. 

Wireless carriers have traditionally subsidized the cost of a new smartphone in exchange for locking in consumers to a two-year contract. And while the greater penetration has helped increase the average revenue per user for carriers as well as greater mobile data revenue, margins end up being compressed because of the subsidy’s costs. 

AT&T said postpaid wireless subscriber ARPU grew 1.9% to $64.98 while its cost of sales grew 4.1%. Verizon reported fourth-quarter average revenue per account — a slightly different way of calculating the number, since multiple devices can share data — jumped 6.6% to $146.80 while its cost of sales were up over 8%. 

Since it’s largely going it alone at the moment, T-Mobile is taking a risk that consumers will calculate the no-contract, unsubsidized program is better for them in the long run. But I don’t think they’ll do the math. They’ll compare their upfront costs — $650 for a new no-contract iPhone versus a tethered $199 subsidized handset — and they’ll choose the latter because they’ll be laying out less cash.

Now the Fool’s Evan Niu suggests T-Mobile is still sending a few bills Cupertino’s way with its payment plan, which, if consumers choose that option, could make it the more attractive plan among the major carriers. But with iPhone 4 units still being given away for free and 4S models going for $99 with two-year contracts at retailers like Best Buy, paying for the phones — even if they’re slightly subsidized — still might not be so attractive.

But a larger question might be on carriers’ minds: Why should they subsidize cash-rich Apple at all, which reportedly sits on $40 billion in cash and short-term investments (or nearly $140 billion, if you include long-term investments), when they’re taking a hit to their margins?

That’s why over the short haul I think T-Mobile will take a hit for blazing this trail, but over time I see Verizon and Ma Bell coming around to its way of thinking. Eventually, highly subsidized smartphones will be a thing of the past.

There’s no doubt that Apple is at the center of technology’s largest revolution ever, and that longtime shareholders have been handsomely rewarded with over 1,000% gains. However, there is a debate raging as to whether Apple remains a buy. The Motley Fool’s senior technology analyst and managing bureau chief, Eric Bleeker, is prepared to fill you in on both reasons to buy and reasons to sell Apple, and what opportunities are left for the company (and your portfolio) going forward. To get instant access to his latest thinking on Apple, …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance