Tag Archives: Following Apple

Apple's iPhone Apology Weighs on Stocks

By John Maxfield, The Motley Fool

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Steve Jobs must be rolling in his grave.

Early this morning, The Wall Street Journal reported that Apple has issued “an apology letter signed by chief executive Tim Cook that vowed to revamp aspects of its customer service policies in China after more than two weeks of pointed attacks by government-run media.” In case you’re curious (and can read Chinese), here’s the letter.

In it, Cook states: “We are aware that a lack of communications … led to the perception Apple’s attitude was arrogant and that we do not care and attach importance to consumer feedback. We express our sincere apologies for any concerns or misunderstandings this gave consumers.”

Apple was first targeted by the Chinese media in the middle of last month after the People’s Daily newspaper, the communist party’s “traditional mouthpiece” according to the Journal, accused the company of not responding to press inquiries and of treating Chinese customers differently from those living elsewhere. More specifically, the piece alleged that Apple fixes broken devices under warranty in China, rather than simply replacing them as it does in the United States.

In response to the original allegations, Apple posted a message on its Chinese website saying that it fixes iPhones with new components but then reattaches the original casing. It also claimed that “Apple’s Chinese warranty is more or less the same as in the U.S. and all over the world.”

Regardless of the veracity and motives behind the attacks, one thing is certain: The news is having a negative impact on Apple’s stock and is fueling negative sentiment among technology stocks more generally. With roughly an hour left in the trading session, shares of the technology giant are down 2.2%.

Following Apple‘s lead downward are virtually all of the tech stocks on the Dow Jones Industrial Average , which itself is off by 24 points, or 0.16%, at the time of writing.

Intel is the index’s biggest laggard today, down by 2% in afternoon trading. As my colleague Matt Thalman noted earlier, the chip maker found itself on the business end of an analyst downgrade. JMP Securities’ Alex Guana said he believes Intel’s full-year EPS will be lower than previously expected. He now expects it to come closer to $1.85 a share, versus his earlier forecast of $2.15 per share.

Shares of Hewlett-Packard aren’t far behind, down by 1.9%. Absent the dour sentiment among tech stocks, there doesn’t appear to be any concrete catalyst for HP‘s move. That said, given that HP is the Dow’s top-performing stock this year, up nearly 70% since the beginning of January, it’s always possible that traders are simply taking the opportunity to realize profits.

Is Apple’s stock doomed for good?
There’s no doubt that Apple is at the center of technology’s largest revolution ever and that longtime shareholders have been handsomely rewarded. However, there is a debate raging as to whether Apple remains a buy. The Motley Fool’s senior …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

This Apple Bear Was Absolutely Right

By Evan Niu, CFA, The Motley Fool

AAPL Chart

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OK, Jeff Gundlach. You were right. Absolutely right.

The bond guru has maintained bearish sentiment on Apple for the better part of a year. Last May at the Ira Sohn Conference in New York, Gundlach went as far as to recommend shorting Apple while going long natural gas, a trade that he said had “monster legs.” Let’s look at the price of United States Natural Gas Fund compared to the Mac maker to see how “monster” this trade turned out.

AAPL data by YCharts.

Over the next four months, Apple would continue rallying and top out at $705, nearly 30% higher than when Gundlach recommended shorting it, while natural gas was up less than 10%. Following Apple‘s peak, shares have cratered and are now down 22% from his initial call, although natural gas has given up most of its gains as well and is now only up 2.6%. Not so sure I would call that “monster,” even though his prediction that Apple would eventually fall has come to fruition.

In November, Gundlach appeared on CNBC at a time when Apple was trading near $550. The fund manager then expressed his belief that Apple has lost its main product innovator and that it would soon try to pass off “tooty-fruity” iPad colors as innovative. His crystal ball told him that Apple would soon hit $425, which was $125 below prices at the time and represented a market cap loss of nearly $120 billion. I panned Gundlach at the time, saying his price target was absurd since it would put Apple’s P/E firmly into single-digit territory of 9.6 (or 6.7 excluding cash), and that Apple’s cash would comprise 30% of its value.

Right after the new year kicked off, Gundlach went back on CNBC to reiterate the same $425 prediction. He said that his call wasn’t about being a bond guru or a equity specialist, but merely because he’s a “market guy” and that $425 was about the price that Apple went vertical and that the “bubble” would soon have to pop and shares would return from whence they came. I wondered if he would ever be right.

By mid-morning today, Apple shares tapped a fresh 52-week low of $422.90. Gundlach was right. Investors are looking at a pullback that has now officially reached 40% since late September — less than six months ago. It took a while for Gundlach’s call to pan out, but pan out it did.

Not so absurd anymore
As far as those “absurd” valuation figures I calculated from his first $425 prediction, they’re even cheaper now since Apple has posted an earnings release since, which also happened to spark a plunge.

Since Apple’s earnings per share last quarter were effectively flat from a year prior (down $0.06), the previously estimated P/E is still right on target at 9.6. However, Apple did add an additional $15.9 billion in cash to its coffers during the fourth …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance