Tag Archives: Peter Nesvold

Ford: Time to Buy or Sell?

By Daniel Miller, The Motley Fool

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There are a lot of factors that go into buying and selling stocks. I’ve had friends and family call me recently with questions about the market‘s record high. Some are nervous about investing more money right now, and I understand their hesitation. My advice to them is to plan for the long term and invest in companies in booming or recovering industries, with excellent management and financial stability. Does Ford  represent those qualities?

Ford has also had a recent run-up over the past few months, giving some a reason to take profits. Does that leave Ford as a buy or sell right now? Let’s take a look at those qualities, and others, that show Ford is a buy.

Dividend
Management was confident enough in its sales projections and cost-cutting programs to double the dividend it pays out — $0.40 a share annually. The yield now sits at about 3%, which is above its competitors. What’s more, the 3% increases the interest in a different type of investor.

“The implied 3% yield now opens the stock up to an entirely new investor class,” Jefferies & Co. equity analyst Peter Nesvold said. He also notes that income managers “look for a 4% to 5% yield typically before initiating a new position” but “might accept a 3% yield if they believe there is sufficient share price appreciation.” He added: “We think Ford now meets these criteria.” 

That’s great news for Ford and its investors, and a doubling of the check that Ford writes its investors each quarter is also a nice perk.

Product quality
The Fusion, Focus, Fiesta, and Taurus show that Ford is making quality, fuel-efficient vehicles that will compete with Toyota and Honda for U.S. market share. Recently, Ford won six categories in the U.S. News & World Report “Best Cars for the Money” rankings. That was the most of any automaker, followed by Toyota, and also represented the majority of the nine awards the domestic automakers received total.

Source: Ford.

This quality is paying off, and the projected resale value of 2010 Ford and Lincoln vehicles increased by roughly $1,300 per vehicle compared with the 2009 models. That’s the largest increase in the industry for full-line auto manufacturers. Why the increase in value? Simple: Because people actually want to buy these vehicles, and not just because Ford dished out large incentives to sell its vehicles.

Less debt
Ford has done a great job paying down its massive debt incurred from its highly unprofitable years. Not only has it repaid all $23 billion of its 2006 loan, but it also has significantly less automotive debt than people realize. When people look at the statements, they see about $90 million in debt and might be shocked at the high level compared with those if its competitors. They don’t realize that it’s much more complicated than that. Ford’s finance division accounts for about …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

UPS 4Q results, 2013 outlook miss estimates

United Parcel Service Inc. says weak global trade and a disappointing holiday-shopping season slowed it down in the fourth quarter.

Profit in the last three months of 2012 fell short of Wall Street expectations. So did UPS‘s outlook for this year as the company took a cautious approach toward the global economy.

UPS also forecast a “relatively flat” first quarter. Shares dropped 2 percent.

“Overall we still see 2013 as a slow-growth economy,” Chairman and CEO D. Scott Davis said Thursday on a conference call with analysts.

Davis said Europe was more stable than a year ago, and “in the U.S., I think we got off to a strong start in January.” But, he added, “We’re not banking on a robust economy.”

UPS is the world’s biggest package-delivery company and something of an economic bellwether. It operates fleets of trucks and planes that haul everything from trinkets to industrial equipment between companies and from businesses to consumers.

The Atlanta-based company said it expects 2013 adjusted earnings of between $4.80 and $5.06 per share. That would be an increase of 6 percent to 12 percent over 2012, but less than the $5.13 per share that analysts expected. UPS said the first quarter would be fairly flat, hurt by one less business day than in 2012.

UPS said that it lost $1.75 billion in the fourth quarter because of a $3 billion charge for pension liabilities, compared with a profit of $725 million a year earlier. Without the pension-accounting charge, UPS said that it would have earned $2.05 billion, or $1.32 per share.

Analysts expected adjusted earnings of $1.38 per share, according to FactSet.

Revenue rose 3 percent to $14.57 billion, beating analysts’ forecast of $14.48 billion.

The company said that disruptions from Hurricane Sandy lowered earnings by 5 cents per share and money spent on the failed pursuit of Dutch delivery firm TNT Express NV cost another penny per share.

UPS increased its plan for spending on buying back its own stock this year to $4 billion from $1.5 billion.

Peter Nesvold, an analyst for Jefferies & Co., said investors expected the company to make a “substantial” increase in share repurchasing after the TNT deal fell apart and freed up cash.

Standard & Poor’s analyst Jim Corridore said the stock buybacks would help protect UPS shares from falling.

UPS said consumer spending on holiday shopping was less than expected, although it still carried a record 500 million packages, including nearly 28 million on the busiest day, Dec. 19.

In January, UPS walked away from an agreement to buy TNT. It would have expanded UPS‘ presence in Europe, but antitrust regulators there insisted on concessions that UPS considered too costly. Davis said Thursday that the company is still interested in acquisitions but probably nothing as big as TNT, which would have been UPS‘ largest purchase ever.

Shares fell $1.71, or 2.1 percent, to $79.52 in afternoon trading Thursday. That pushed the gain for the month of January back below 10 percent.

Source: FULL ARTICLE at Fox US News