Tag Archives: Jim Royal

These 2 Dow Stocks Are Winning Despite the Jobs Report

By Dan Dzombak, The Motley Fool

Filed under:

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is down big-time following a terrible jobs report. As of 1:20 p.m. EDT the Dow is down 88 points, or 0.6%, to 14,518. The S&P 500 is down 0.77% to 1,548.

There were two U.S. economic releases today.

Report

Period

Result

Previous

Nonfarm payrolls

March

88,000

268,000

Unemployment rate

March

7.6%

7.7%

Trade gap

February

($43 billion)

($44.5 billion)

Source: MarketWatch U.S. Economic Calendar.

The key report here is the jobs figures, particularly nonfarm payrolls. A drop in the unemployment rate is not necessarily a good sign, as it stemmed from people leaving the workforce. In March the labor force declined by 496,000, bringing the participation rate in the economy down 0.2 percentage points to 63.3% of the population.

On Wednesday ADP released its private-sector jobs report, which showed an addition of just 158,000 jobs in March, down from 237,000 in February. While ADP’s report does not always line up with the government‘s, investors were concerned that the result fell short of expectations.

Today the government released its own jobs report, which includes both public and private-sector jobs. The report showed that the U.S. added just 88,000 jobs in March, down from 268,000 in February. That is far worse than analyst expectations of 190,000 additional jobs.

US Change in Nonfarm Payrolls data by YCharts.

While some are blaming this on the sequester, the results were actually weak across the economy. In the private sector, the biggest decline was in retail jobs, which fell by 24,000. This is worrisome, as retail has been one of the strengths of the economy and the jobs market, adding an average of 32,000 jobs per month over the last six months. One theory is that consumers are beginning to feel the effects of higher payroll taxes and gasoline prices. We’ll have to wait for retail sales reports to see whether that’s the case.

In the government, the biggest decliner was the U.S. Postal Service, where employment fell by 12,000 in March. Motley Fool senior analyst Jim Royal took an in-depth look at how the Postal Service is being gutted. It’s a fascinating read.

Today’s Dow leaders
Today’s Dow leader is Boeing , up 0.5%. Boeing has been in the news a lot over the past three months since the FAA grounded its 787 Dreamliner. As I’ve said, the Dreamliner problems are embarrassing for Boeing in the short run but will be a minor blip in the 30- to 50-year future of the aircraft. After all, Boeing continued to get orders for 787s throughout this ordeal. In the first quarter the company received orders for 42 Dreamliners. Besides the 787, the company received 156 orders for 737 regional airliners, three orders for 747s, and 19 orders for the 777 airliner.

Boeing is a major player in a multitrillion-dollar market in which the opportunities are massive. …read more

Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

I'm Selling Real-Money Seaspan Calls

By James Royal, The Motley Fool

Filed under:

Seaspan came out with its expected dividend increase. And while the increase wasn’t as much as I had hoped for, it was nonetheless a healthy bump of 25%. The May $20 calls that I hold in my Special Situations portfolio continue to be over my purchase price, but with time value rapidly eroding, I’m electing to sell them.

The quarter
Seaspan turned in a decent quarter, with revenue up 9% and distributable cash flow up 8%. Solid gains, to be sure. But the company has elected to continue growing its fleet, adding as many as 15 ships this year and another 15 within a few years. The company is trying to take advantage of the weak pricing environment and wants to use its strong balance sheet to help it move clearly into the leading company in the containership industry.

To the extent that it can do this without issuing equity, the better the stock should perform in the long run. So management is positioning the company for excellent performance longer-term. That’s why I’m not too disappointed by what I view as a lower-than-expected dividend increase this year. More ships should equal a longer runway for a growing dividend.

I’m electing to keep the May $20 put position for now, since time value is working in our favor here.

So I’m closing out my position of 10 contracts of May $20 calls.

Interested in Seaspan or have another stock to share? Join me on my discussion board and follow me on Twitter (@TMFRoyal).

The article I’m Selling Real-Money Seaspan Calls originally appeared on Fool.com.


Jim Royal owns shares of Seaspan. The Motley Fool recommends and owns shares of Seaspan. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don’t all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 – 2013 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance