Tag Archives: Howard Marks

Why Bank of America Is Down Despite Quadrupled Profit

By Alex Dumortier, CFA, The Motley Fool

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After posting solid gains yesterday, U.S. stocks are falling hard this morning, with the S&P 500 and the narrower, price-weighted Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.87% and 0.7%, respectively, at 10 a.m. EDT.

Bank of America still looks cheap
I’ve been a student of Finance and the financial markets for years, and yet I still fall into this trap. After reading the first part of the Reuters headline “Bank of America profits quadruple,” I immediately checked the quote page and was briefly, almost instinctively, surprised to find that the shares were down in premarket trading. I shouldn’t have been; as Howard Marks writes in the excellent book The Most Important Thing: “First level thinking says, ‘I think the company’s earnings will fall; sell.’ Second-level thinking says, ‘I think the company’s earnings will fall less than people expect, and the pleasant surprise will lift the stock; buy.'”

In other words, expectations provide the context necessary to analyze results and their impact on the share price. And so it was that B of A’s quarterly profit rose to $2.62 billion in the first quarter from $653 million in the prior year period, which worked out to $0.20 per share; alas, analysts were looking for $0.22. In addition, total adjusted revenue fell 4%.

It pays to remain focused on what matters relative to your investing style. Mimicking Marks‘ above distinction, I’d say a trader is concerned with the impact of quarterly earnings on the share price, whereas a long-term investor focuses on what earnings can tell us about a company’s future earning power. In that regard, B of A’s results look encouraging on a number of fronts: Brian Moynihan is doing a creditable job shrinking costs, and the provision for loan losses continues to decline, while capitalization ratios continue to improve.

Based on the newly released end-of-first-quarter balance sheet data, Bank of America shares are changing hands at roughly a 10% discount to their tangible book value this morning, and they still look like an attractive (i.e., underpriced) risk to me.

Bank of America’s stock doubled in 2012. Is there more yet to come? With significant challenges still ahead, it’s critical to have a solid understanding of this megabank before adding it to your portfolio. In The Motley Fool’s premium research report on B of A, analysts Anand Chokkavelu and Matt Koppenheffer lift the veil on the bank’s operations, detailing three reasons to buy and three reasons to sell. Click here now to claim your copy.

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From: http://www.dailyfinance.com/2013/04/17/why-bank-of-america-is-down-despite-quadrupled-pro/

Why Oaktree Is Poised to Keep Growing

By Brian D. Pacampara, The Motley Fool

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Based on the aggregated intelligence of 180,000-plus investors participating in Motley Fool CAPS, the Fool’s free investing community, distressed-debt investor Oaktree Capital Group has earned a respected four-star ranking.

With that in mind, let’s take a closer look at Oaktree and see what CAPS investors are saying about the stock right now.

Los Angeles, Calif. (1995)

$1.6 billion

Asset management

$145.0 million

Co-Founder / Chairman Howard Marks
Principal Executive Officer John Frank

16.0%

$2.9 billion / $1.1 billion

8.2%

Equity Group Investments
KPS Capital Partners, LP

Sources: S&P Capital IQ and Motley Fool CAPS.

On CAPS, 92% of the 39 members who have rated Oaktree believe the stock will outperform the S&P 500 going forward.

Just last week, one of those Fools, dprla, succinctly summed up the Oaktree bull case for our community:

Over 8% [dividend yield] now, excellent business, top notch management with Howard Marks. Hard not to outperform when you start with that high a yield that might vary a bit. Probably one of the best investors around.

If you want market-thumping returns, you need to put together the best portfolio you can. Of course, despite a strong four-star rating, Oaktree may not be your top choice.

If that’s the case, we’ve compiled a special free report for investors called “The 3 Dow Stocks Dividend Investors Need,” which uncovers a few other juicy income opportunities. The report is 100% free, but it won’t be around forever, so click here to access it now.

Want to see how well (or not so well) the stocks in this series are performing? Follow the TrackPoisedTo CAPS account.  

The article Why Oaktree Is Poised to Keep Growing originally appeared on Fool.com.

Fool contributor Brian Pacampara has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of Oaktree Capital. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 – 2013 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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