Tag Archives: Dana Saporta

Minutes show Fed supports stimulus through midyear

A majority of Federal Reserve policymakers want to continue extraordinary bond purchases to help boost the U.S. economy at least through the middle of the year, according to minutes from the Fed’s last meeting released Wednesday.

But many members indicated they want to slow and eventually end the program before the end of the year, as long as the job market and economy show sustained improvement. The Fed’s purchases of about $85 billion a month in Treasury and mortgage bonds are intended to lower long-term interest rates and encourage more borrowing and spending.

The minutes of the Fed’s March 19-20 meeting were released at 9 a.m. EDT — five hours earlier than planned — after the Fed inadvertently sent them a day earlier to congressional staffers and lobbyists.

“One gets the sense that many Fed policymakers are anxious to start paring back the size of the … purchases as soon as the data allow,” Dana Saporta, an economist at Credit Suisse, said in a note to clients.

Still, a weak employment report released Friday is likely to make policymakers even more supportive of keeping the measures in place for the foreseeable future.

The report showed employers added just 88,000 net jobs last month. That was the fewest in nine months and much lower than the average of 220,000 jobs a month created from November through February.

The unemployment rate dropped to a four-year low of 7.6 percent last month. However, the rate fell only because more people stopped looking for work and were no longer counted as unemployed.

In its statement after the last meeting, the Fed said the economy had strengthened but still needed its efforts to help lower high unemployment. In addition to continuing the bond purchases, the Fed stuck by its plan to keep short-term interest rates at record lows at least until unemployment falls to 6.5 percent.

The minutes indicated that many of the Fed’s members want to see sustained improvement in the job market — from a wide range of economic indicators — before making any decision to reduce the pace of purchases.

Stocks rose sharply after the minutes were released. The Standard & Poor’s 500 index rose 16 points to 1,585 in midday trading — above its all-time

Source: FULL ARTICLE at Fox US News

Fed's Yellen hints at longer period for low rates

Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Janet Yellen says the central bank may keep its key short-term interest rate at a record low even after unemployment falls close to a more normal level.

The Fed has said it would hold its benchmark rate near zero as long as unemployment is above 6.5 percent and long-run inflation forecasts are below 2.5 percent. The unemployment rate is currently 7.9 percent.

In a speech Monday to the AFL-CIO, Yellen said those are “thresholds for possible action, not triggers that will necessarily prompt an immediate increase.”

Her comments echoed remarks Chairman Ben Bernanke made in December after the Fed announced it would change its forward guidance for short-term rate increases. At a news conference after the Fed’s December meeting, Bernanke said the Fed might decide to keep stimulating the economy even after unemployment falls below 6.5 percent.

Yellen has been a close Bernanke ally. She has consistently voted to support his initiatives to boost the economy. Those include the latest change in guidance for short-term rates, as well as bond purchases that have helped push long-term rates lower. Both are designed to encourage more borrowing and spending, which boosts economic growth.

Yellen is considered a top prospect to succeed Bernanke as chairman, should he leave when his current term ends on Jan. 31, 2014.

Analysts said Yellen’s comments are a signal that Fed remains committed to aggressive stimulus measures to boost growth and lower unemployment.

“Yellen does not sound ready to slow asset purchases, far less contemplate tightening policy, any time soon,” Dana Saporta, director of U.S. economics at Credit Suisse, said in a research note.

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Source: FULL ARTICLE at Fox US News