Tag Archives: Bernstein Research

Why Apple Rallied to Reclaim a Key Threshold

By Evan Niu, CFA, The Motley Fool

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Shares of Apple enjoyed solid gains today, rising more than $15, or nearly 4%, by the afternoon following four days of relentless selling that saw the Mac maker shed nearly $29 since last Tuesday. That four-day streak of losses put the company down over 6%, representing a market cap decline of an incredible $27 billion.

Apple’s valuation fell below the important threshold of $400 billion in the process, with yesterday’s low of $419 valuing the company at $393 billion. Shares have now reclaimed that threshold. What drove the rally?

Talking heads
Two Street analysts appeared on CNBC this morning to discuss Apple’s prospects, which may have fed some bulls.

BGC Financial analyst Collin Gillis, who rates Apple a hold, acknowledged that it would seem that the stock is starting to bottom out. Gillis feels confident that investors will see some news out very soon regarding its cash balance and the inevitable dividend boost.

The analyst also points out that every time investors have tried to call the bottom thus far, they’ve been cut while trying to catch a falling knife since shares simply keep dropping. If Apple were to increase its dividend to closer to a 4% yield, Gillis sees shares responding. He was a bit surprised by the rally that Apple saw last year when it reinitiated its dividend in the first place.

Bernstein Research analyst Toni Sacconaghi, who considers Apple a buy and has assigned a $725 price target, was expectedly more bullish than Gillis. Investors widely believe that Apple is preparing to “materially” return more cash, a move that Sacconaghi believes could spark a rally of $40 to $50. Without this type of catalyst, shares could potentially be modestly higher or lower by the time the Mac maker’s April earnings release rolls around.

Sacconaghi also goes as far as to say that the June estimates are too high, and investors are now focusing heavily on Apple’s new method of providing guidance since Apple’s forecasts are no longer expected to be comically low. The company’s outlook could prove to weigh on shares, absent any other positive catalysts such as a dividend increase.

Overall, the analyst still believes Apple is “very inexpensively valued and an exceptional value for long-term investors,” but it still has some perception challenges with growth investors. This class of investors still needs to see some product catalysts, such as a major carrier partnership or a new device, to be satiated.

Maybe there’s a simpler explanation
Perhaps the analyst chatter is helping boost shares today. Perhaps it’s just a rebound rally, plain and simple.

On the way down over the past six months, Apple has posted several intense rebound rallies that proved to be nothing more than temporary reprieves. Investors may remember when shares surged a whopping 7% on a single day in November on no specific news. That rebound allowed Apple to reclaim the $500 billion market cap threshold, only to surrender it shortly thereafter.

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Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

Study: China still 10 years away from globally competitive car company

By Zach Bowman

Chinese car plant assembly line

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It may be a spell before Chinese automakers are capable of turning out a globally competitive vehicle. That’s the findings of a sprawling 200 page report by Bernstein Research. The group went through the trouble of purchasing two Chinese-made cars, importing them to Europe and disassembling them down to every last nut and bolt. The study also included in-depth interviews with CEOs at each of the major manufacturers, including Great Wall, Chery, Brilliance and SAIC among others. Researchers found that by and large, global partners aren’t holding up their end of joint venture deals, with the vast majority of foreign automakers seemingly not taking the Chinese market seriously.

The one exception to that rule, according to Bernstein, is General Motors and SAIC. GM has pumped a staggering amount of cash into China, and as a result, SAIC seems leagues ahead of its peers on the design and engineering front. Speaking of engineering, the study found most Chinese cars to simply be reverse-engineered examples of foreign models, with the Toyota Corolla being the most popular. That’s due in part to the fact that Chinese automakers spend $100 million a year on research and development on average. For comparison’s sake, a company like Volkswagen or Toyota spends closer to $1 billion. The Truth About Cars has a closer look at the report’s contents. You can find that writeup here.

China still 10 years away from globally competitive car company originally appeared on Autoblog on Mon, 25 Feb 2013 16:29:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

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Source: FULL ARTICLE at Autoblog

Dell: Will Southeastern Asset Back The Buyout Deal?

By Eric Savitz, Forbes Staff Dell’s largest outside holder is the Memphis-based investment firm Southeastern Asset Management, which among things manages the Longleaf group of mutual funds. Southeastern holds about a 7.5% stake; their cost basis in the stock is over $20 a share, according to Bernstein Research.
Source: FULL ARTICLE at Forbes Latest

BlackBerry: New Phones, New Name, New Ticker New Fan; Bernstein Upgrades

By Eric Savitz, Forbes Staff BlackBerry shares are getting a boost Monday morning from Bernstein Research analyst Pierre Ferragu, who upped his rating on the company formerly called Research In Motion to Outperform, from Market Perform, with a new target of $22, up from $12.
Source: FULL ARTICLE at Forbes Latest