Tag Archives: USX

3 Major Milestones and 1 Merger Mistake

By Alex Planes, The Motley Fool

Filed under:

On this day in economic and financial history…

Show us your papers
The first paper industry in the world was born in the imperial Han court of China on March 11, 105. More than 1,900 years ago today, court eunuch Ts’ai Lun first presented his invention to the Han emperor. The emperor, impressed by the useful new writing surface, rewarded his servant by promoting him to a position of substantial wealth.

Ts’ai’s basic innovations are still used in papermaking today, showing the durability and universality of his method. The first standardized Chinese paper, refined from an earlier process, was made by pulping bamboo fiber and various tree barks in water and then stretching the drained goop over a frame covered in porous cloth. The basic method of pulping plant matter and stretching it thinly remains in use today, although it’s been highly automated and modernized over many centuries. Even today, China remains the leading country in terms of paper production — yet International Paper of the United States leads corporate sales charts with nearly 12 million tons of paper produced in 2010. In Ts’ai Lun’s day, it’s doubtful that all the people in China could have made that much paper in a single year.

Steel and oil, together at last
U.S. Steel expanded beyond its core steelmaking operations for the first time on March 11, 1982, when it finalized a merger with Marathon Oil . The merger, which resulted from a heated battle with Mobil Oil for control of the Ohio-based mid-tier oil company, was — at a cost of $6.2 billion — the second-largest takeover in American corporate history at that time. Marathon executives had pushed back against Mobil’s efforts for fear of antitrust problems, while many employees feared mass layoffs once the larger oil company had gained access to Marathon’s deep oil reserves. Marathon and U.S. Steel executives waged a fierce battle against Marathon’s own shareholders in the days leading up to the merger’s acceptance, as a group of dissidents said the company’s true value was closer to $18 billion. However, U.S. Steel’s white-knight offer was the only one to clear regulatory hurdles and provide a value that major institutional shareholders would accept.

The merger continued a trend of Dow Jones Industrial Average components merging with oil companies, which began the year prior with DuPont‘s record-breaking $7.8 billion acquisition of Conoco. Two years later, Chevron took shape from the merger of Standard Oil of California and Gulf Oil, at a price nearly double that of the record DuPont-Conoco tie-up of 1981.

However, both of the earlier mergers were eventually undone. DuPont divested itself of Conoco in 1998, spinning the business off in what was then the largest IPO in history. U.S. Steel, which became USX in 1986 and left the Dow in 1991, split into steel and nonsteel operations in 2001. The energy-focused half …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance

This Just In: More Upgrades and Downgrades

By Rich Smith, The Motley Fool

Filed under:

At The Motley Fool, we poke plenty of fun at Wall Street analysts and their endless cycle of upgrades, downgrades, and “initiating coverage at neutral.” Today, we’ll show you whether those bigwigs actually know what they’re talking about. To help, we’ve enlisted Motley Fool CAPS to track the long-term performance of Wall Street‘s best and worst.

Who’s hot and who’s not in steel stocks
Wading into the steel sector Wednesday, Longbow Research announced a series of four new stock initiations — three buys, and one hold. Now, there’s nothing unusual about that on its face. After all, across the length and breadth of Wall Street, multiple analysts make dozens of picks (and pans) every day of the trading week.

What’s significant about Longbow, though is that it’s actually good at this stock picking thing. (Well, usually. As you’ll see in a moment, even good stock pickers sometimes make boneheaded calls). Ranked in the top 5% of investors we track on CAPS, Longbow gets the majority of its stock picks right, and tends to outperform the market by about 11.9 percentage points per pick. That seems like statistically significant outperformance, folks. So today, let’s take its picks one at a time, beginning with…

Nucor
According to Longbow, one of the better steel buys out there today is mini-mill specialist, and maxi-market-cap operator Nucor. According to Longbow, checks on inventory and pricing at distributors suggest the steel market is approaching a “near-term bottom” in pricing. If second-half 2013 non-residential construction projections hold up, this could be good news for Nucor.

This is, however, a big “if.” Last week, the Steel Market Update newsletter reported that market giant U.S. Steel has raised its base prices for all flat-rolled steel by at least $50 a short ton. According to SMU, the last time USX made a move like this, it “marked the bottom, and list prices moved higher almost immediately.” AK Steel quickly followed USX‘s lead, announcing its prices for carbon flat-rolled steel are going up “at least” $50 a ton.

Needless to say, price hikes at competitors bode well for Nucor, offering breathing room for the company to raise its own prices, and offering the prospect of fatter profit margins for all concerned. That said, if projections don’t bear out — if the revival in steel pricing should turn out to be a mirage — then a rally in Nucor’s share price could turn into a rout.

Already, the stock looks overpriced at a P/E ratio of nearly 29, but only 8% long-term earnings growth projected. Meanwhile, free cash flow at Nucor is exceedingly weak — barely $0.50 in FCF for every $1 the company reports as net income. Suffice it to say that a price-to-free cash flow ratio of more than 57, I’m not optimistic about Longbow’s first pick.

Steel Dynamics
Moving on then to the analyst’s second recommendation, we find Nucor twin Steel Dynamics — again, a mini-mill …read more
Source: FULL ARTICLE at DailyFinance